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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMy unsubstantiated theory about Ukraine
Here's my theory of which I have no proof, but a lot of common sense to my conjecture.
First off, Russia did assist the Trump campaign in 2016, and Putin and Trump's friendship goes back years (Trump Moscow). It wasn't a coincidence that Manafort was chosen as Trump's campaign manager. Mueller's report in section 2 explains that he couldn't recommend collusion because of the of the obstruction. Last time I looked, obstruction of justice is a crime.
Now, fast forward to Helsinki and Putin and Trump's private meeting. Trump sent his American interpreter out of the meeting and took his (or her) notes. Trump and Putin were one on one and Trump trusted Putin's interpreter.
So, now, here's my unproven theory. Putin told Trump that he wanted Ukraine. Trump said, "not during my first term. It could cost me re-election. I'd like to fuck Zelenskyy as much as you, but not this year. Wait until the beginning of my second term (2021) and then I won't back him. You can walk in."
Putin agreed. It made sense to him. It gave him time to prepare for the invasion. Then Biden won in 2020, and January 6 happened. Then the Trump indictments hit and it looked like Trump was cooked. No chance for a second term.
Putin then executed his agreement with Trump while Biden was President. To everyone's shock, Trump wins the 2024 election. Now, Putin and Trump are salvaging the initial agreement from 2019. Trump is engineering a Ukraine surrender,
True Dough
(26,667 posts)Europe prevents that outcome.
Walleye
(44,800 posts)That was why Trump was so panicked when he lost he knew he couldnt keep up his end of the deal. Hes probably scared of Putin. He only respects people that really scare him and where does Melania fit into this? Manafort is an outright traitor. He worked for no salary thats suspicious right there Kellyanne was only too willing to be the face of that campaign
Pototan
(3,132 posts)Last edited Sat Mar 8, 2025, 07:47 AM - Edit history (4)
One of the only other countries in the EU, besides Hungary and Romania, that supports Russia.
Corrected on edit
My error. Although Slovenia and Slovakia are often confused and quite similar in history, culture and geography, you are correct. They are two different countries. Slovenia is supportive of Ukraine and Slovakia is not.
Sorry for the mistake and thank you for the correctio, Texas Towelie
Walleye
(44,800 posts)TexasTowelie
(127,343 posts)Two different countries.
Pototan
(3,132 posts)Please read reply #4.
Thank you for the correction
kkmarie
(340 posts)She made a rare appearance when Orban was at the golf motel. She was all smiles with orban. I don't know if she's ever smiled that much in public. And she definitely didn't smile in her artistic photo shoots, you know the photos that russian tv couldn't stop showing.
https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/melania-trump-stuns-white-power-181545609.html
MadameButterfly
(4,039 posts)My reading is that Slovakia considers Russia a terrorists state, Slovenia turned against Russia over the invasion of Ukraine, and Romania is fighting off a Russian-supported coup to install a pro-Russian leader. So far they have protected themselves better than we did.
I can find no evidence that Melania is a spy or an asset of Putin. There is a lot of evidence that Donal Trump is. Clearly his private conversations with Putin are suspicious. It is logical to suspect that Ukraine was part of some transactional deal. One may wonder if Trump has received advice on how to install a dictatorship, as well as assistance.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/romania-detains-plotting-coup-collusion-russia-rcna195155
Americanme
(497 posts)that Putin was waiting for America to quit NATO, as he probably ordered trump to do. When Biden won, Putin knew we wouldn't be quitting NATO anytime soon, so he went ahead with his invasion.
Walleye
(44,800 posts)Irish_Dem
(81,261 posts)You need to add more of the quid pro quo.
Putin says Trump can have North and Central American.
Putin gets Europe, Xi gets the Pacific.
The Axis of Evil is born with US a prime member.
Blue Full Moon
(3,484 posts)Blue Full Moon
(3,484 posts)Kushner went in his first 4 years to work out a deal. The hairbrained idea of putting luxury hotels started then. Biden tried to work out a deal. Netanyahu told him he would wait for Trump.
Pototan
(3,132 posts)sunnybrook
(1,277 posts)HIGHLY likely.
Buckeyeblue
(6,352 posts)I bet Putin suggested waiting until Trump's second term. Trump isn't a strategic thinker. He's an in the moment thinker. Probably in the moment reactor is more like it.
After Trump's defeat, Putin decided to execute on his plan. I think he thought it would be easy but he didn't realize (shame on him) how bad of shape his military was in.
Now it's turned into something different. I think the European resolve to stand up to Putin is at an all time high. Trump thinks he's helping Putin by being tough on Ukraine. But I think it's the opposite. European military could inflict a great deal if damage on Russia which could lead to Putin's demise.
Joinfortmill
(21,162 posts)lostnfound
(17,520 posts)MadameButterfly
(4,039 posts)My reading is that Slovakia considers Russia a terrorists state, Slovenia turned against Russia over the invasion of Ukraine, and Romania is fighting off a Russian-supported coup to install a pro-Russian leader. So far they have protected themselves better than we did.
I can find no evidence that Melania is a spy or an asset of Putin. There is a lot of evidence that Donal Trump is. Clearly his private conversations with Putin are suspicious. It is logical to suspect that Ukraine was part of some transactional deal. One may wonder if Trump has received advice on how to install a dictatorship, as well as assistance.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/romania-detains-plotting-coup-collusion-russia-rcna195155