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Ranked Choice from NYC is in: Mamdani Wiped the Floor with Cuomo 56% - 44% (Original Post) Prairie Gates Jul 2025 OP
Mamdami carried Crown Heights by +28 which is pretty cool, given the Orthodox Jewish population there. FadedMullet Jul 2025 #1
Final results SocialDemocrat61 Jul 2025 #2
That's an ass kicking Prairie Gates Jul 2025 #3
He certainly got more votes. Akakoji Jul 2025 #4
Mamdani starts well out in front of any opponent muriel_volestrangler Jul 2025 #5
Their one chance is to completely trash the guy Prairie Gates Jul 2025 #6

FadedMullet

(1,019 posts)
1. Mamdami carried Crown Heights by +28 which is pretty cool, given the Orthodox Jewish population there.
Tue Jul 1, 2025, 02:15 PM
Jul 2025

Akakoji

(563 posts)
4. He certainly got more votes.
Tue Jul 1, 2025, 02:37 PM
Jul 2025

But a serious issue still persists.

Citywide, an estimated 39 % of registered Democrats participated in the primary.

That better than usual (since the late 80s), as turnout rose sharply in Brooklyn and Queens (early voting doubled), and Manhattan likely followed suit. The Bronx remained more subdued, likely seeing a smaller bump. Brooklyn, Queens, and Manhattan—where Mamdani led—had notably high turnout increases due to energized younger, progressive, and multilingual outreach.

The Bronx and Staten Island—where Cuomo won—saw more modest turnout gains, especially in the Bronx where lagging early-vote increases limited turnout growth.

If total Democratic registration is about 67% - it's fluid, so more or less - but If turnout is 39% in the General, a candidate could win a 5-way race with just 7.8% (382, 201) of around 4.9 million of all registered voters, as long as they get slightly more votes than any other candidate.

In the last Mayoral election turnout about  23% of active registered voters or around 1.15 million votes.

So, games on. Nothing is certain or assured.

muriel_volestrangler

(106,601 posts)
5. Mamdani starts well out in front of any opponent
Tue Jul 1, 2025, 03:53 PM
Jul 2025
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_New_York_City_mayoral_election

In 2021, Adams got 289,403 out of 942,031 in the primary first round (404,513 out of 801,829 in the final round). In the general, he got 753,801 out of 1,125,258 (with a maximum of about 30,000 voting "to the left" of Adams&quot (that may indicate a fair amount of Democrats who decided the general was a foregone conclusion, so didn't bother in November; or Democrats who didn't like Adams but knew no one to the left of him could win).

Sliwa got about 310,000. That implies a non-Democratic vote of about 320,000, with RW independents, available in the general election. Cuomo was about 120,000 votes behind Mamdani in this year's primary final round. He'd have to hang on to all his Democratic primary final round votes, and get about 40% of all the other votes, to overhaul Mamdani - even if Mamdani didn't pick up a single vote in the general (but in practice, there will be some people who voted for Cuomo in the final round who will turn out for Mamdani because they're Democrats; and some independents who choose Mamdani) . And Cuomo would be running against Adams as an independent, and Sliwa as the Republican.

The only realistic chance for the non-Mamdani vote is if 2 out of the 3 drop out.

Prairie Gates

(8,479 posts)
6. Their one chance is to completely trash the guy
Tue Jul 1, 2025, 04:39 PM
Jul 2025

They're proceeding apace, but they've lost so much credibility and the shit they say about him keeps being untrue, so it's been a pretty pathetic effort thus far.

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