General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRanked Choice from NYC is in: Mamdani Wiped the Floor with Cuomo 56% - 44%
The map didn't change much.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/06/24/us/elections/results-new-york-city-mayor-primary.html
FadedMullet
(1,019 posts)SocialDemocrat61
(8,037 posts)
Prairie Gates
(8,479 posts)Akakoji
(563 posts)But a serious issue still persists.
Citywide, an estimated 39 % of registered Democrats participated in the primary.
That better than usual (since the late 80s), as turnout rose sharply in Brooklyn and Queens (early voting doubled), and Manhattan likely followed suit. The Bronx remained more subdued, likely seeing a smaller bump. Brooklyn, Queens, and Manhattanwhere Mamdani ledhad notably high turnout increases due to energized younger, progressive, and multilingual outreach.
The Bronx and Staten Islandwhere Cuomo wonsaw more modest turnout gains, especially in the Bronx where lagging early-vote increases limited turnout growth.
If total Democratic registration is about 67% - it's fluid, so more or less - but If turnout is 39% in the General, a candidate could win a 5-way race with just 7.8% (382, 201) of around 4.9 million of all registered voters, as long as they get slightly more votes than any other candidate.
In the last Mayoral election turnout about 23% of active registered voters or around 1.15 million votes.
So, games on. Nothing is certain or assured.
muriel_volestrangler
(106,601 posts)In 2021, Adams got 289,403 out of 942,031 in the primary first round (404,513 out of 801,829 in the final round). In the general, he got 753,801 out of 1,125,258 (with a maximum of about 30,000 voting "to the left" of Adams"
Sliwa got about 310,000. That implies a non-Democratic vote of about 320,000, with RW independents, available in the general election. Cuomo was about 120,000 votes behind Mamdani in this year's primary final round. He'd have to hang on to all his Democratic primary final round votes, and get about 40% of all the other votes, to overhaul Mamdani - even if Mamdani didn't pick up a single vote in the general (but in practice, there will be some people who voted for Cuomo in the final round who will turn out for Mamdani because they're Democrats; and some independents who choose Mamdani) . And Cuomo would be running against Adams as an independent, and Sliwa as the Republican.
The only realistic chance for the non-Mamdani vote is if 2 out of the 3 drop out.
Prairie Gates
(8,479 posts)They're proceeding apace, but they've lost so much credibility and the shit they say about him keeps being untrue, so it's been a pretty pathetic effort thus far.
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