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RandySF

(85,504 posts)
Wed Jul 16, 2025, 06:44 PM Jul 2025

VA-GOV: Spanberger leads Virginia governor's race by 12 points: Survey

Former Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.) holds a double-digit lead over Virginia Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R) in the state’s gubernatorial race, according to a poll released on Wednesday.

The survey, conducted by the Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs at Virginia Commonwealth University, showed Spanberger leading Earle-Sears 49 percent to 37 percent among registered voters in the state. The latest results mark an uptick in support for Spanberger from the last poll, which showed her leading Earle-Sears 45 percent to 35 percent.

The poll’s results out of the lieutenant gubernatorial race and the attorney general race mirrored the governor’s race results. In the lieutenant governor’s race, state Sen. Ghazala Hashmi (D) leads conservative talk show host John Reid 46 percent to 36 percent, while in the attorney general race, former state Del. Jay Jones (D) Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares 47 percent to 38 percent.

However, roughly half of independents in all three matchups said they were undecided.



https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5404585-spanberger-leads-earle-sears-virginia-governor-race/

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VA-GOV: Spanberger leads Virginia governor's race by 12 points: Survey (Original Post) RandySF Jul 2025 OP
TY Kick for Abigail Spanberger! Cha Jul 2025 #1
Previous results: W_HAMILTON Jul 2025 #2
This Republican is especially bad, though. RandySF Jul 2025 #6
I looked at the others and the same was said for them at the time. W_HAMILTON Jul 2025 #7
Kick! sheshe2 Jul 2025 #3
Should be up more against that nut! Nt helpisontheway Jul 2025 #4
Spanberger Will Win DET Jul 2025 #5
There is room to grow with those numbers. There is 14% Ars Longa Jul 2025 #8
Because what the Democrats really need is DJ Synikus Makisimus Jul 2025 #9
Is Abigail Spanberger a Manchin type? Polybius Jul 2025 #10
Thanks. I appreciate good news. Ping Tung Jul 2025 #11

W_HAMILTON

(10,400 posts)
2. Previous results:
Wed Jul 16, 2025, 07:22 PM
Jul 2025

2021: 48.64% to 50.58%, Republican wins
2017: 53.90% to 44.97%, Democrat wins
2013: 47.75% to 45.23%, Democrat wins
2009: 41.25% to 58.61%, Republican wins

The 49% to 37% that the Democrat leads in this poll would put it on pace to surpass 2017 -- and we know how that portended absolute disaster for Republicans in the 2018 midterms.

W_HAMILTON

(10,400 posts)
7. I looked at the others and the same was said for them at the time.
Thu Jul 17, 2025, 03:39 AM
Jul 2025

Ed Gillespie? Ken Cuccinelli? Most people will have never even heard of Earle-Sears (current Republican candidate), but will know who those two were because they were terrible on a national level.

DET

(2,564 posts)
5. Spanberger Will Win
Wed Jul 16, 2025, 07:54 PM
Jul 2025

They’re going to have to cheat extra hard for Earle-Sears to win.

Ars Longa

(553 posts)
8. There is room to grow with those numbers. There is 14%
Thu Jul 17, 2025, 09:39 AM
Jul 2025

undecided(?) I don't see Sears, with her ties to the unpopular Trumpy
(R) Party, and Youngkin, growing much from 37%..

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