BLS Jobs Report misses, 73,000 jobs added, UE rises to 4.2%, May June revises way down (-258,000)

[Johnny2X2X]

Job growth screeches to a halt, 73,000 jobs added. UE rises to 4.2%

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

"Revisions for May and June were larger than normal. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment
for May was revised down by 125,000, from +144,000 to +19,000, and the change for June was revised
down by 133,000, from +147,000 to +14,000. With these revisions, employment in May and June
combined is 258,000 lower than previously reported."

This is a no good and very bad report.

We added 106,000 jobs total the last 3 months! That is awful. The job market is in real trouble,

19,000
14,000
73,000

Those are the worst jobs numbers since the Covid recession. If Biden had posted any 3 months close to this bad he would have gotten hammered for weeks about it in the media. This is no joke, jobs growth cratered and isn't even close to keeping up with population growth.

[mahatmakanejeeves]

1. BLS is using the headline writer for JOLTS.

https://www.bls.gov/

Both payroll employment (+73,000) and unemployment rate (4.2%) change little in July
Total nonfarm payroll employment changed little in July (+73,000) and has shown little change since April. The unemployment rate, at 4.2 percent, changed little in July. Employment continued to trend up in health care and in social assistance. Federal government continued to lose jobs.

[Johnny2X2X]

3. Yeah, the revisions are stunning

Averaging a mere 35,000 new jobs a month over a quarter is just pathetic.

Even before Covid, Trump had a poor jobs record, but that was still 167,000 jobs a month added on average, which is way behind Obama or Biden, but at least was keeping up with population growth.

As old as I am now, the GOP's worker strategy could always be summed up with 2 words, "Cheap Labor." With fewer and fewer jobs to go around, people are going to be taking what they can get to stay employed, the robust wage growth of the Biden era will be the next thing to follow the jobs.

[mahatmakanejeeves]

5. Before I forget, good morning. NT

Last edited Fri Aug 1, 2025, 09:39 AM - Edit history (1)

[gab13by13]

2. BLS still has reliable numbers,

hasn't been affected yet by Krasnov rot.

[Johnny2X2X]

4. That's my view too

And we have a poster here on DU who used to work for the BLS and help gather these statistics, they will probably be here soon backing that up, that the numbers are still true.

But don't be surprised if these numbers cause Trump to start attacking the BLS and threatening a political takeover.

[Wiz Imp]

11. Yes. That's me. Though I technically don't work for BLS, I worked in a state on the Current Employment Statistics

program. That's the BLS employer survey used to come up with the monthly job count. So I worked very closely with BLS and still know many statisticians/economists at BLS. I've been saying all along that that those BLS employees have made clear they would resign before falsely manipulating data. This report should confirm to everyone that these numbers aren't being manipulated. I've said before, if/when they try to put out fake numbers, it will be obvious and the public will know.

[Johnny2X2X]

12. I think the media is enough in the bag it won't correctly inform the public

I think, yes, it will be obvious the numbers are fake at first, but then the media will just forget that and after a few months, they'll just report the new fake numbers as the actual numbers and the public will forget about it. And the GOP will rebrand it as, "The new real jobs numbers that aren't woke."

[themaguffin]

13. and if he tries to fuck with it, market numbers will contrast significantly and call it out. There's no hiding this shit

[Prairie Gates]

6. Wait until they revise down the 73,000

[Wiz Imp]

7. Absolutely terrible numbers.

Taking the May and June revisions into account, The Job level for July is actually 185,000 lower than the initial level reported in June.

Oh and keep in mind, there's about 150,000 Federal workers who took the deferred resignation option. Those people are still being counted as employed until their payments stop. So we should see at least 150,000 drop in Federal Government alone with October's numbers (I believe the payments end in September).

[jonstl08]

8. Not surprising

Been having an argument with Trumpers in my family about how these job numbers from May and June did not make sense. Kept telling them these numbers seemed high since we can all see what is happening out there. These revised numbers give credence to my thinking. Hope they are all prepared for a I told you so email.

[Johnny2X2X]

9. What's crazy

What's crazy is that the expectations are so low now. I remember Biden adding just 190,000 jobs one month and the media skewered him because more were expected.

The last 3 months, we're averaging 35,000 new jobs a month. If Biden had presided over that he'd have been impeached. Trump's extended game of chicken with the economy is directly destroying the great economy that Biden had built.

[Cosmocat]

21. YEP

nm

[Ron Green]

10. De-growth is good news.

It’s a fact we cannot sustain endless growth on a finite planet. The goal should be to take better care of people, not make more of them.

[Johnny2X2X]

15. People losing their jobs is not good news

We do need sustainable growth and we had a better shot at that under Biden than we do now.

But people are losing their jobs and having trouble finding new ones. We're heading towards a recession and a period of lower wages. The poor and working class will suffer.

[W_HAMILTON]

16. Republicans are for NOT caring for people + making more people + accelerating the destruction of our planet.

So there's that, if their terrible economic performance isn't enough to sway you.

[Johnny2X2X]

14. Markets yell, "Look out below!"

Cratering today.

You simply can't play chicken with a fickle economy for 6 months.

Biden never got the credit he deserved, he inherited a disaster of an economy from Trump with inflation already baked in and he completely turned it around and delivered the biggest gains for working people in generations. Never got credit. Wage growth easily exceeded inflation under his watch, and that was even more pronounced with low wage workers.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

17. Maddow Blog-U.S. job growth turns cold as Trump's agenda takes its toll on the economy

The question for the White House is simple: “If Trump has created a ‘hot’ economy, why has American job growth slowed to a 16-year low?”

How weak is the job market? Excluding the pandemic, Americans haven’t seen employment numbers this bad since 2009 — during the Great Recession.

The question for the White House is simple: “If Trump has created a ‘hot’ economy, why has American job growth slowed to a 16-year low?”

— Steve Benen (@stevebenen.com) 2025-08-01T13:38:22.471Z

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/us-job-growth-turns-cold-trumps-agenda-takes-toll-economy-rcna222448

Expectations heading into this week showed projections of about 100,000 new jobs having been added in the United States in July. As it turns out, according to the new report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the totals fell short of those expectations. CNBC News reported:

Nonfarm payroll growth was slower than expected in July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, raising potential trouble signs for the U.S. labor market. Job growth totaled 73,000 for the month, above the June total of 14,000 but below even the meager Dow Jones estimate for a gain of 100,000.

While the data from July was discouraging, far more important were the drastic revisions from May and June — which were down by a combined 258,000 jobs, compared with earlier, preliminary reporting.

Indeed, according to the revisions, the U.S. economy created just 33,000 jobs combined over May and June, which is a woeful total for an economy that Donald Trump and his Republican cohorts have incessantly described as “hot” in recent weeks.

Over the first seven months of 2025, the latest data suggests the economy has added 597,000 jobs. That might sound like a decent number, but over the first seven months of 2024 — when Trump said the economy was terrible — the total was over 1 million jobs, and over the first seven months of 2023, the U.S. economy added nearly 1.7 million jobs.....

Indeed, the question the president and his team ought to face is simple: “If Trump has created a ‘hot’ economy, why has American job growth slowed to a 16-year low?”

[Johnny2X2X]

18. It's a disaster

And this is just some abstract number t most people. Most people won't notice until their own job gets cut or their wages get trimmed. This is very very bad for working people.

[dalton99a]

20. +1

[dalton99a]

19. Kick