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Sogo

(7,305 posts)
2. Who is Christopher Webb, and how does he know which states they plan to gerrymander?
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 09:26 PM
Aug 2025

For one thing, Indiana is not shown in his graphic, and it's been all over the news as the next in line after Texas.

WarGamer

(18,860 posts)
3. Here's the rundown.
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 09:33 PM
Aug 2025

They are all GOP trifecta States which means Gov, State House and Senate.

Texas has 12 Democratic Congressmen.

Florida has 8 Democratic Congressmen.

Ohio has 5 Democratic Congressmen.

Missouri has 2 Democratic Congressmen.

South Carolina has 1 Democratic Congressmen.

That's 28.

Illinois has 3 Republican Congressmen.

California has 9 Republican Congressmen.

New York has 7 Republican Congressmen.

Oregon has 1 Republican Congressmen.

Washington has 2 Republican Congressmen.

New Jersey has 3 Republican Congressmen.

Massachusetts has 0

CT has 0

Md has 1 Republican Congressmen.

That's 26

Celerity

(54,884 posts)
8. Here are the number of Dem house members in other Red Trifecta State
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 10:11 PM
Aug 2025

Alabama 2

Georgia 5

Indiana 2

Louisiana 2

Mississipi 1

New Hampshire 2

Tennessee 1

Kentucky has Rethug supermajorties in both chambers, so it could put the one Dem US House seat we have at risk as they can override a Beshear veto.

That's 16 potential less Dem seats as well, but New Hampshire for sure will not do it, so 14.

Wisconsin (2 Dem House seats) and North Carolina (4 Dem House seats) both lost their Rethug supermajorties, so those 6 Dem seats should be safe as they cannot override an Evers nor a Cooper veto.

dsc

(53,445 posts)
10. It is Stein now and he can't veto
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 11:10 PM
Aug 2025

so NC can do so but there is only one target and it is a VRA district and our circuit isn't as out of line as the one Texas is in. Dems have 4 districts, three of which are Democratic vote sinks (Alma Adams plus 24 also VRA, Deborah Ross plus 17, and Valorie Foushee plus 23). That leaves Don Davis (my Congressman) in a R plus 1 but still from a historically VRA district in the east. It would be easy to make his district more Republican (he borders a R plus 10 and a R plus 8 and is close to a R plus 7). But if they make that district too White it will get blocked in court.

dsc

(53,445 posts)
11. We won a bunch of swing districts in Ohio
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 11:31 PM
Aug 2025

frankly we could well lose seats there even without a redraw. We hold an even district, a R plus 3, and a D plus 3. But that said, they also hold a couple (a R plus 3 and a R plus 5).

Baitball Blogger

(52,723 posts)
6. This will backfire on them in Florida if the Cubanitos decide to punish Republicans
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 09:47 PM
Aug 2025

for the betrayal they're experiencing on the immigration issue.

But, I won't place any bets.

Ars Longa

(576 posts)
9. I think we can very well pick up 1 or 2 in Minnesota
Sun Aug 10, 2025, 10:57 PM
Aug 2025

as well.. 8th district----Iron Range N. Minn
& maybe #1--Tim Walz's old dist...

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