Tropical Storm watches for

[malaise]

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Anguilla and Barbuda
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* Sint Maarten

————
That is
Antigua and Barbuda
Anguilla is separate but should also be on that list

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/142352.shtml?

———-
By tomorrow Puerto Rico will have warnings .
The heavy stuff should stay in the Atlantic north of all the islands

[PJMcK]

1. That doesn't look so good

This chart of projected winds is sobering:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/142352.shtml?tswind120#contents

It's that time of year again.

Be safe and stay vigilant.

[malaise]

3. Well better a TS than a direct hit

from a major hurricane

[PJMcK]

7. True but then you could say...

... better a hurricane than a direct hit by an asteroid! (wink)

Seriously, any storm can be a bad day.

[malaise]

8. Tell me about it

I’m ready for whatever shut is heading my way.
Can’t wait for November and six months of peace and quiet. Still we had no early ones this year. 😀

[surfered]

11. I hate this time of year!

[malaise]

15. I don't hate it

I am watchful and ready for whatever the hell comes my way. What I hate is the inconvenience associated with a hurricane. That said I do have really nice neighbours or it could be worse. We bring out board games and playing cards .😀

[tavernier]

18. Yes, Sister!

Don’t panic. Make a plan and stick to it.
♥️

[malaise]

21. We get it bro

We have no other options 😀

[BadgerMom]

2. We're in St. John, USVI this week.

We’ve trimmed our vacation by a day in hopes of being able to get off the island and out of St. Thomas without incident. Fingers crossed! 🤞🏻

[malaise]

4. Yes good thinking

Here’s Erin on the move

[BadgerMom]

5. The flight from STT is one uncertainty; being able to take a ferry from

St. John to St. Thomas is another. Once the sea gets high, the ferries will stop. Determining when that will occur is a bit daunting.

And, thanks, Malaise, for tracking these things.

[malaise]

6. Well the water will be rough

You may have to batten down and stay put

[PJMcK]

9. Hope you can get out!

The waters between those islands can get pretty lively when a storm is brewing in the vicinity. My modest suggestion is simple: If you're going to leave, do it ASAP! Don't delay as conditions will only deteriorate. Alternatively, stay put and get comfortable and safe lodging as soon as you can.

Good luck! Stay safe!

[BadgerMom]

14. Thanks.

[malaise]

10. Looking at time I think you can still get to St Thomas and leave

It will become a hurricane any time now but should not reach near you before Saturday after lunch.

[surfered]

12. Forecast in St John's is not that bad. Storm to the north, 20 mph winds, 50% chance of rain. It could change.

[cachukis]

13. Jet stream will keep most east unless they sneak south.

[Justice matters.]

16. Upgraded to hurricane (cone seems to point to east coast states)

Well, the westward line does: Hopefully not.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052025_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/150247_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

[ancianita]

17. Been keeping an eye on the NOAA map for the last five days. Erin's what you're talking about, right?

As of tonight...

[malaise]

20. Yep

Still a TS

[CaptainTruth]

19. The latest from cyclocane.com

[malaise]

22. Now a hurricane

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[ancianita]

23. As of 8 am today, looks like Erin's hurricane level is going to miss us.

[malaise]

24. It's also moving fast

which is good for those likely to face outerbands.
This is a major hurricane.

[ancianita]

25. Yes. So when it turns past my FL location by Tues, you can consider it gone.

About those letters...

The legend on the map will typically provide a breakdown of these symbols, where:

D represents a Tropical Depression (wind speed less than 39 mph)
S represents a Tropical Storm (wind speed between 39 mph and 73 mph)
H represents a Hurricane (wind speed between 74 mph and 110 mph)
M represents a Major Hurricane (wind speed greater than 110 mph)

It's important to remember that this "H" indicates the forecast intensity at that time, and the actual strength of the storm can change as it develops or weakens.

By Thursday we can say one down, eight to go lol.

[malaise]

26. We have to remain vigilant

Peak season approaches

[ancianita]

27. Always. Especially for the next three months.

Thanks for the frequency graph.

[Deuxcents]

28. I also keep an eye for the millibars stats..the lower the number, the stronger the storm. Be safe everyone

[malaise]

29. Yes indeed

Stay safe