Known nominees for the 2025 Nobel Peace prize include:

[Ocelot II]

Pope Francis
The January 6 Committee
The International Criminal Court
Russian dissident Alexei Gorinov
The children of Gaza
Many civil rights advocates from a variety of countries
NATO
Women Wage Peace

How does Trump differ from these nominees? Any guesses?

Though the names of nominees are not disclosed by the committee, some nominators announce their favored candidates. As of March 5, 338 candidates have been nominated (244 individuals and 94 organizations). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Nobel_Peace_Prize

[eppur_se_muova]

1. PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE let it be the Jan 6th Committee ....

Turnip will blow an aneurysm heard all the way to Kyiv.

[Ocelot II]

2. Wouldn't that be sweet?

[Wiz Imp]

3. Here's the current odds

Despite Trump's current strong odds, he has no chance. Most of the people in this list have no chance. I mean, people have actually bet on Elon Musk to win it? Insane.

Candidate US Odds Implied Probability
Donald Trump +250 28.57%
Yulia Navalnaya +250 28.57%
Volodymyr Zelensky +1000 9.09%
Doctors Without Borders +1200 7.69%
International Criminal Court +1200 7.69%
Greta Thunberg +1600 5.88%
Sir David Attenborough +2000 4.76%
Julian Assange +2000 4.76%
European Union +2000 4.76%
Ursula von der Leyen +2500 3.85%
Elon Musk +2500 3.85%
Keir Starmer +3300 2.94%

https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/nobel-peace-prize-odds-and-predictions

[Ocelot II]

5. Considering the fallout from the award to Kissinger in 1973,

I can't imagine that the committee would step on its own dick that hard again. Kissinger got the award jointly with Le Duc Tho for their work in negotiating the Paris Peace Accords which were supposed to end the Vietnam War. Direct American intervention was supposed to end and the remaining U.S. troops were to be withdrawn in exchange for a ceasefire and the end of the conflict. But the agreement was not ratified by the Senate, and fighting restarted before American soldiers even left Vietnam. Additionally, and importantly, South Vietnam had not been consulted on the terms of the agreement, and had not even been informed that negotiations had resumed (doesn't that sound like what Trump and Putin are trying to do to Ukraine? Would the committee give the award to Trump and Putin jointly?). The South Vietnamese government subsequently refused to accept the accords, and both sides regularly violated the ceasefire. Le Duc Tho refused to accept the prize, Kissinger tried to give his back, and two members of the committee resigned in protest.

[dalton99a]

4. Some asshole nominated Elon Musk

What a fucking joke

[UTUSN]

6. K&R