General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPotential '100 Foot' Waves Headed for U.S. East Coast
Its official: Tropical Storm Erin has been upgraded to Hurricane status.
As of Friday, the Category 1 storm (but expected to grow) is moving towards the Caribbean, then its slated to curve northeast off the United States East Coast by next week bringing with it heavy rains, flash flooding, gusty winds, and most likely waves.
Regarding the latter, some scientists are predicting potentially huge surf.
.....
Speaking to Newsweek, Jean-Raymond Bidlot, senior scientist in ocean modeling at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), said: The latest forecast does indeed indicate that the largest significant wave height could reach values in excess of 50 feet with an associated most likely largest wave of more than 100 feet.
Thats
absurd. Of course, 100-footers arent going to be hitting New Smyrna Beach, up to the Outer Banks, and beyond. But there will be swell, thats for sure.
Meanwhile other experts, like AccuWeathers lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva, downplayed the size potential of the waves. Yet still, its significant. DaSilva said: While 100 feet cant be ruled out, I think they would only be possible if the storm become a Category 4 or 5 storm. I think waves near the center of 50-75 feet are much more realistic (assuming a Category 3 storm).
https://www.surfer.com/news/hurricane-erin-100-foot-waves-east-coast

TnDem
(1,390 posts)Waves were only 20 feet high with a direct hit as a Cat 4 on South Carolina coast in 1989 during hurricane Hugo.
Tsunamis wouldn't have 100 feet waves.
orangecrush
(30,253 posts)miyazaki
(2,649 posts)TnDem
(1,390 posts)Again, direct hit on SC by Hugo in 1989, cat four= 20 foot waves.
Celerity
(54,405 posts)Oopsie Daisy
(6,670 posts)malaise
(296,089 posts)Meanwhile other experts, like AccuWeathers lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva, downplayed the size potential of the waves. Yet still, its significant. DaSilva said: While 100 feet cant be ruled out, I think they would only be possible if the storm become a Category 4 or 5 storm. I think waves near the center of 50-75 feet are much more realistic (assuming a Category 3 storm).
orangecrush
(30,253 posts)It's a monster.
malaise
(296,089 posts)Now 125mph
Greg_In_SF
(1,245 posts)GreenWave
(12,641 posts)Tetrachloride
(9,623 posts)edhopper
(37,368 posts)In the middle of the storm, don't translate into the waves that hit shore.
The shape of the bottom is what is important.
Ursus Rex
(486 posts)As opposed to someone from the NHC or US Weather Service.