What's the over under on the job numbers tomorrow?

[JMCKUSICK]

I'm gonna say +120,000 phony as it may be.

[Walleye]

1. We can't trust the official numbers anymore

[Wiz Imp]

22. See post #19

[rurallib]

2. wonder how reliable it will be?

Hope there are some experts able to verify it.

[Wiz Imp]

19. No prediction, but I'm confident it will be legit.

Trump's pick for new BLS Commissioner has not been confirmed yet. In the meantime, Bill Wiatrowski is the Acting Commissioner. He's a long time BLS employee who came up through the statistical programs and has served as Deputy Commissioner and Acting Commissioner on several different occasions previously. In addition, Julie Hatch Maxfield is still the Associate Commissioner for Employment and Unemployment Statistics which oversees the jobs report. She has spent her whole career at BLS working in the CES (jobs) program eventually moving up to upper management overseeing the program. I know Bill & Julie and can say unequivocally that they will NOT falsify numbers. They are good honest people. The numbers will come out on time and they will be legit. What happens after this month remains to be seen, but as long as Bill & Julie are running things, the data will be legit.

[rurallib]

28. Thanks!

[newdeal2]

3. It will be 100% fake

And there will be some North Korean style bullshit commentary attached to that report.

[Wiz Imp]

20. Nope.. See post #19

[FirstLight]

4. I can tell you what my experience is..

It's all bullshit. And now the scams have gotten enmeshed in all of the online applications so that if you go to go apply for something you end up getting 10 spam emails saying oh we've got you we want you and it's all just bullshit. I am so sick and tired of the job market! I'm going back to school there seems to be nothing else left to do

[BlueWaveNeverEnd]

8. Better to apply directly on a company's website

[róisín_dubh]

23. Yup...

The number of shit emails I get as I’m desperately job hunting under complex circumstances is staggering (I’m on a visa in the UK and whew they hate immigrants as much as the US does)

[Silent Type]

5. If there is any appearance of manipulating numbers, podcasters and economists will be very critical. Can't wait.

I bet none of the big financial companies rely on trump's admin for accurate data.

[JMCKUSICK]

13. I don't do economics per se, it has me wondering

What the correlation is between ADP numbers and Labor department

[Silent Type]

15. I've watched that a little. I've seen recent months where ADP showed job loses, but not Labor, and vice versa.

I bet long-term and on average, they are close.

[JMCKUSICK]

16. Thank you Silent Type

[MichMan]

6. Minus 750,000

[LastLiberal in PalmSprings]

7. +5,000,000

Dementia Don will crow, "NOBODY HAS EVER SEEN NUMBERS LIKE THIS!"

No shit. The rest of us live on Earth One.

And not a single Repuke will contradict him.

Is he DEAD yet? IHDY

[Captain Zero]

30. We are all employed and all of us are getting rich!

Is what Taco will say.

[greatauntoftriplets]

9. They'll lie.

[Wiz Imp]

21. Nope. See post #19

[sop]

10. 🎵🎶 Happy days are here again! The skies above are clear again, Let us sing a song of cheer again,

Happy days are here again! 🎵🎶

[onethatcares]

18. buc, buc, buc

half a diseased chicken in every pot..

[Prairie Gates]

11. +250,000

The bigger the lie, etc.

[JMCKUSICK]

12. I think you might be into something.....lol

[haele]

14. Just use that sharpie to turn a negative number positive...

It's easy ...

[JMCKUSICK]

17. Lol

[0rganism]

24. +1 brazillion

No one has created so many jobs in the history of work.

Expect it.

[JMCKUSICK]

25. Is that just in the female undergarments sector?

[0rganism]

26. Some call it the Greatest Jobs Report Ever!

Last edited Thu Sep 4, 2025, 08:36 PM - Edit history (1)

Big Beautiful Jobs. Perfect Jobs. Ladies couldn't even FIND panties for the last 4 years, but we're making them Great Again. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Expect it.

[Hassler]

27. If the number is high, it's lower. If it's low,

It's even lower.

[Johonny]

29. Wall Street has been betting low

So I'd guess low.