Why someone not yet running leads the Democratic pack in Texas' Senate race

[Quiet Em]

None of the three Democrats who have announced a run for U.S. Senate next year are leading in a statewide poll published Thursday.

Instead, Dallas U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who has not disclosed her plans for 2026, has a 6-point lead over state Rep. James Talarico of Austin and a 2-1 advantage over Colin Allred, the former Congress member who came up short in a run for the Senate in 2024. Beto O'Rourke, who has twice lost statewide general election races but so far is not running this cycle, is tied with Talarico in the latest poll by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/why-someone-not-yet-running-leads-the-democratic-pack-in-texas-senate-race/ar-AA1O9fLz?ocid=BingNewsBrowse

I would love to have her voice in the Senate.

[gab13by13]

1. I'm guessing it's the old maxim,

need a moderate to win.

[SSJVegeta]

2. Crockett needs to endorse Talarico

And maybe consider a run for Governor.

Right now Talarico is the best bet for the Senate.

[JustAnotherGen]

3. Texas will never vote for a

Black woman. Not as Senator and not as Governor. They just won't do it.

Wouldn't mind if in the future she was considered for Attorney General of the USA.

[bluesbassman]

5. I love and respect JC, but as a resident of this state I agree with you.

There has been a lot of migration into Texas in the last ten to twenty years, many of these people have been blue leaning, but many are red. It’s true that all of the large metro areas like DFW, Houston, and Austin are reliably blue, but once you get ten miles outside the city limits in these areas it’s blood red. That’s how the Republicans have kept a stranglehold on the Statehouse. I’m sorry, but rural Texas voters are just not going to vote for a black woman, no matter how qualified and smart she is.

[JustAnotherGen]

9. Don't forget

The voter suppression too. And gerrymandering - Fed and State.

I think it will be easier to get PA and Ohio back than Texas for a very long time. TX is like FL -

Too many of our Democratic Party brothers and sisters have boots on their neck by magapubs. We support you guys - but I don't see the pathway until these magapub policies start hurting Floridians and Texans in masse.

[bluesbassman]

11. So true.

They corruption and authoritarianism in Texas is out of control.

[displacedvermoter]

4. I fear she would not be elected to either office

As the racism still seems to run deep, as does the misogyny. I may be wrong but no women in any statewide office there, correct?

As long as her seat remains ungerrymandered, like AOC, I think Crockett should stay as s strong, attention getting Progressive in the House. Think Maxine Waters, or dare I say, Shirley Chisolm!

[gab13by13]

6. AOC would win a Senate seat in a landslide.

[displacedvermoter]

10. I think she might, I don't believe Crockett would

I still believe both are more valuable, right now, where they are. Speaker AOC has a nice ring to it, down the road.

[dem4decades]

7. Texas, the place where good Democratic candidates have their career's ended.

I can't dislike that state enough.

[Torchlight]

8. Terrain is still foggy, but I won't count it out or dismiss it

A handful of model's I've read through show trump will be depressing conservative voter turnout and simultaneously increasing Dem turnout as the midterms come around. The current Cornyn-Paxton tiff is putting them in even worse lighting. I won't count it out or dismiss it.