Inside Trump's Plan to Subvert the Midterms

[babylonsister]

https://politicalwire.com/2025/10/28/inside-trumps-plan-to-subvert-the-midterms/


Inside Trump’s Plan to Subvert the Midterms
October 28, 2025 at 8:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard

David Graham: “Imagine for a moment that it’s late on Election Day, November 3, 2026. Republicans have kept their majority in the Senate, but too many House races are still uncalled to tell who has won that chamber. Control seems like it will come down to two districts in Maricopa County, Arizona.”

“ICE agents and National Guardsmen have been deployed there since that summer, ostensibly in response to criminal immigrants, though crime has been dropping for several years. The county is almost one-third Hispanic or Latino. Voting-rights advocates say the armed presence has depressed turnout, but nonetheless, the races are close. By that evening, the Republican candidates have small leads, but thousands of mail and provisional ballots remain uncounted.”

“Donald Trump calls the press into the Oval Office and announces that the GOP has held the House—but he warns that Democrats will try to steal the election, and announces plans to send a legal team to Arizona to root out fraud. He spends the rest of the night posting threats and allegations on Truth Social. In the morning, Republican lawyers file to stop vote counting, arguing that any votes counted after Election Day are illegal under federal law.”

[markodochartaigh]

1. And before noon

the supremacist court has given control of the House to the Republicans.

[OLDMDDEM]

2. Fortunately, we have Marc Elias od Democracy Docket.

[LeftinOH]

3. It's a given that he will reject any election result he doesn't like -- in two

weeks, if/when the governor elections in NJ and VA and the anti-gerrymandering issue in California turn out for positively for Democrats, he is going to claim "fraud." No question about it.

If the Dems win the House in 2026, he will not accept the results -- likewise the GOP establishment will reject the results, following his lead. It's going to be very ugly. I'm saving personal days at work for next fall, because we're going to need a general strike.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. Dystopian fantasy - it's not going to be that close.

Analyses I have seen suggest that, in order to overcome gerrymandering, Dems need to have a 3-4 point lead in generic ballot polling.

They currently have a 9 point lead.

A year from now, the economy will be in recession, with double digit inflation (regardless of what BLS says), higher unemployment and skyrocketing healthcare premiums.

Do you think that margin will shrink or grow?

In 2018, with a better economy, Dems gained 40 seats;In 2026, gerrymandering could turn up to 19 seats from Dem to likely (but not a lock) Republican. Subtract 5 when California passes prop 50, then add two for the current republican margin, and the math reveals Dems need to gain a maximum of 16 seats to regain control of the house.

I don’t think it will even be close, especially if turnout exceeds 2022, and definitely if turnout gets close to that of 2020-24 presidential years.

[SSJVegeta]

5. Its gotta be a landslide inbthe red states too

Hes concerned about blue states and red states are cool with it because they arent being bothered by it much. So the democrats MUST appeal to the overwhelming dissatisfaction of the status quo in red states through broadly targeted democratic populism. They can win the white working class that way...

[milestogo]

6. They screwed us over in 2000 with the help of the Supreme Court

and they screwed us over again in 2004 when Kerry won Ohio but mysteriously lost it overnight.