Hurricane Melissa - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL - 1100 AM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025
11:00 AM EDT Wed Oct 29
Location: 21.4°N 75.6°W
Moving: NE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 974 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph
Melissa is now offshore of E Cuba in the southwestern Atlantic... Damaging winds, flooding rains
continue for Cuba, Bahamas + dangerous storm surge is expected in the Bahamas today...
NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft flew around Cuba + more recently was able to make a fix of Melissa just offshore.
This matches the latest view from the GOES-19 satellite + radar out of Camaguey, Cuba. However, the smaller core
that Melissa had stubbornly maintained over the past few days has been destroyed by the higher terrain of Cuba,
+ a larger core structure is developing. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission will be sampling Melissa later
today.
Key Messages:
1. Eastern Cuba: Life-threatening storm surge, flash flooding +
landslides. Damaging winds are ongoing through this afternoon.
Remain in a safe shelter.
2. Bahamas + the Turks + Caicos: Hurricane conditions, life-threatening
storm surge + heavy rainfall are expected across parts of the southeastern
+ central Bahamas today. Find a safe shelter + follow local official guidance.
Tropical storm conditions, heavy rains + significant storm surge are expected
in the Turks + Caicos Islands today.
3. Haiti + the Dominican Republic: Catastrophic flash flooding + landslides
are expected across parts of Haiti + the Dominican Republic through today.
In Haiti, extensive damage + isolation of communities is likely. Tropical storm
conditions are expected through this afternoon.
4. Bermuda: Hurricane conditions + heavy rainfall are expected in Bermuda
beginning late Thursday + continuing through Thursday night.
5. Post-storm safety in impacted areas: Follow advice of local officials
as you may need to remain sheltered after the storm due to downed
power lines + flooded areas. Ensure generators are properly ventilated
+ placed outside at least 20 feet away from dwellings + garages to avoid
carbon monoxide poisoning. During clean up, be careful when using
chainsaws + power tools. Drink plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion.
FORECAST POSITIONS + MAX WINDS
INIT 29/1500Z 21.4N 75.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 30/0000Z 23.4N 74.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
24H 30/1200Z 26.9N 71.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 31/0000Z 31.6N 67.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 31/1200Z 37.2N 61.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 01/0000Z 43.3N 55.2W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1200Z 49.0N 48.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1200Z 55.0N 36.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1200Z 58.8N 18.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
= new reply since forum marked as read
As of 11:00 AM EDT Wed Oct 29 the center of Melissa was located near 21.4, -75.6 w/ movement NE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 974 mb w/ maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.
Here's a peek at the whole US shebang...
Staggering to see Florida forecasts being totally omitted... The rain bands
have been prodigious...
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