Hurricane Melissa - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL - 500 PM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025
500 PM EDT...SUMMARY
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LOCATION...22.9N 74.8W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES
Hurricane Melissa
Melissa is now offshore of E Cuba in the southwestern Atlantic... Damaging winds + flooding rains
continue for Cuba, the Bahamas + a dangerous storm surge is expected in the Bahamas today...
As of 5:00 PM EDT Wed Oct 29 the center of Melissa was located near 22.9, -74.8 with movement NE
at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 974 mb w/ maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Melissa is showing some some signs of convective recovery after weakening a little more from the land interaction w/ Cuba.
After looking quite ragged after emerging off Cuba, convection is redeveloping on its upshear flank + showing some signs of
wrapping around the center again. Aircraft fixes from the Air Force Hurricane Hunter mission also show that the hurricane is
beginning to accelerate to the northeast. Peak 700 mb flight level winds were 87 kt both to the east and northeast of the
center + the minimum central pressure was unchanged from this morning, at around 974 mb. The mission also indicated a
much larger eyewall w/ an eye diameter of 40 n mi.
It is worth noting that the forecast track does take Melissa close to the southeastern tip of Newfoundland, but as an post-tropical
extratropical cyclone.
Key Messages:
1. Bahamas + the Turks + Caicos: Hurricane conditions, life-threatening
storm surge + heavy rainfall are expected across parts of the southeastern
+ central Bahamas through this evening. Remain sheltered until local officials
deem it safe to venture out. Tropical storm conditions, heavy rains + and
significant storm surge are expected in the Turks + Caicos Islands through
this evening.
2. Bermuda: Hurricane conditions + heavy rainfall are expected in Bermuda
beginning late Thursday + continuing through Thursday night.
3. Post-storm safety: Follow advice of local officials as you may need to remain
sheltered after the storm due to downed power lines + flooded areas. Ensure
generators are properly ventilated + placed outside at least 20 feet away from
dwellings + garages to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. During clean up, be
careful when using chainsaws + power tools. Drink plenty of water to avoid heat
exhaustion.
FORECAST POSITIONS + MAX WINDS
INIT 29/2100Z 22.9N 74.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 25.1N 73.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 30/1800Z 29.1N 70.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 31/0600Z 34.4N 65.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 31/1800Z 40.7N 58.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 01/0600Z 46.6N 52.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1800Z 52.0N 45.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1800Z 56.0N 32.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1800Z 57.0N 27.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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Y'all stay safe out there...
