NJ-GOV: New Jersey Governor's Race Looks Very Close

[RandySF]

A new Emerson College poll in New Jersey finds Mikie Sherrill (D) barely head of Jack Ciattarelli (R) in the governor’s race, 49% to 48% with just 2% undecided.




https://politicalwire.com/2025/10/30/new-jersey-governors-race-looks-very-close/

[Lovie777]

1. I think she will win!...............

Last edited Thu Oct 30, 2025, 07:10 AM - Edit history (1)

[JI7]

2. Are there reasons this could be possible ?

There have been polls which show the opposite so hopefully this is just not accurate at all .

[Scrivener7]

8. She has made a number of unforced errors, and they have been broadcast incessantly in ads.

In short, messaging.

[mdbl]

10. Even if she didn't make errors

They will make crap up and broadcast it anyway.

[Scrivener7]

11. Their ads are literally just her saying things.

We really need to stop helping them.

[mdbl]

12. no argument here.

[Chasstev365]

3. Polls:

* Land line phone survey? (Only old people still have land lines)
* Random sampling?
* Political bais of the polling organization or media?


Let's say it is that close. At this point its all about GOTV and who has a better ground game.

[ananda]

7. Yes, could be doctored to influence the turnout.

It's been done before.

[Scrivener7]

13. No. She has not run a good campaign and there has been a lot of money and a lot of

ads against her.

The polls are likely accurate.

[bucolic_frolic]

4. NJ Republican overperform and Democrats fight apathy

That is NJ. It's a horse race for sure.

[dem4decades]

5. Why is New Jersey so close? That can't be a good sign for the rest of us.

[Amishman]

6. One of the biggest issues in the state right now is taxation

especially property taxes.

Jersey has one of, if not the highest, property tax rates in the country.

The Pubs are campaigning on slashing property taxes, which sounds good to low information voters.

We get some Philly TV stations, which are loaded with NJ campaign ads, so been somewhat in the loop on this one.

[videohead5]

9. RCP

Has another poll taken within the same time period has Sherrill with a 3-point lead with a smaller margin of error. No recent poll has Ciattarelli ahead.

[PatSeg]

14. That is too close, close enough for them to cheat