It's been very close, but nearly everywhere is now counted, and D66 has a 15,000 vote lead over PVV

[muriel_volestrangler]

Centrist D66 back in lead in Dutch vote count, edging past Wilders's PVV
Aaaand we have a change at the top, with the centrist D66 party back in the lead after almost all votes were counted in Amsterdam and Hilversum.

Rob Jetten’s party is now leading by 15,122 votes, NOS reported, putting it back in the pole position to lead the talks on forming the next government.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/oct/30/dutch-election-results-netherlands-geert-wilders-rob-jetten-france-louvre-russia-poland-ukraine-latest-news-updates?CMP=share_btn_url&page=with%3Ablock-690364278f084e5a6d19876a#block-690364278f084e5a6d19876a

99.7% of votes now in: https://app.nos.nl/nieuws/tk2025/

So about 0.3% votes remain to be counted, out of about 10 million cast, so about 30,000. I don't think PVV can get 50% of the vote anywhere, so D66 should be the most popular party at the end.

This probably means they'll have the same number of seats, but getting more votes helps the case for D66 to lead the resulting coalition. And no major party wants to work with the PVV, so it would inevitably be a coalition that excludes them anyway.