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ultralite001

(2,551 posts)
Thu Oct 30, 2025, 03:30 PM Oct 2025

Hurricane Melissa - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL - 1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

11:00 AM EDT Thu Oct 30
Location: 27.8°N 71.7°W
Moving: NNE at 24 mph
Min pressure: 965 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

Melissa will be approaching Bermuda later today + tonight. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for Bermuda.
Conditions in Bermuda will deteriorate rapidly...





Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance recently investigated Melissa + found winds in the southeast quadrant that supported a 90 kt intensity.
The central pressure is about 965 mb, based on dropsonde data. Satellite presentation remains fairly impressive w/ an eye feature emerging
on GOES 19 imagery over the past couple of hours.





Melissa is accelerating toward the north-northeast, now moving at 21 kt. A faster motion is expected during the next couple of days. Melissa
is likely to pass to the west + northwest of Bermuda tonight. Melissa should then pass near the southeastern tip of Newfoundland as a strong extratropical cyclone on Friday night before turning more towards the east-northeast + moving across the North Atlantic this weekend.

Key Messages:

1. Bermuda: Hurricane conditions are expected in Bermuda tonight,
w/ tropical storm conditions beginning late this afternoon. Preparations
should be rushed to completion.

2. Post-storm safety: Follow advice of local officials as you may need
to remain sheltered after the storm due to downed power lines + flooding.
Any flooding across the Bahamas is expected to subside today. Flooding
across Cuba, Jamaica + Hispaniola may persist for another few days.
Ensure generators are properly ventilated + placed outside at least 20 feet
away from dwellings + garages to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning.
During clean up, be careful when using chainsaws and power tools. Drink
plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion.


FORECAST POSITIONS + MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 27.8N 71.7W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 31/0000Z 31.6N 68.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
24H 31/1200Z 37.5N 62.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 01/0000Z 43.8N 55.8W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 01/1200Z 49.5N 48.9W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 02/0000Z 53.3N 43.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 02/1200Z 54.7N 37.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 03/1200Z 56.6N 26.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 04/1200Z 61.0N 19.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

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Hurricane Melissa - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL - 1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025 (Original Post) ultralite001 Oct 2025 OP
Stay safe folks in Bermuda malaise Oct 2025 #1
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