What does it look like in NJ and VA.

[Pototan]

The election for Governor in New Jersey and Virginia are big deals. The polling seems OK for us and the early voting numbers are positive in both states.

However, do any DUers in the area have some first hand accounts of the campaigns and any predictions?

[FBaggins]

1. NJ looks too close for comfort... the rest look pretty good

Not AG in VA of course… but the polls would have to be further off than normal for the rest to be in danger

[spooky3]

2. I saw a poll reporting a pretty sizable advantage for Sherrill yesterday.

Last edited Fri Oct 31, 2025, 11:38 AM - Edit history (1)

Spanberger had a strong lead and is trying to build it by visiting red towns. Hashmi (lt Gov) has run several ads and has avoided controversies. Jay Jones is running lots of ads presenting himself as calm and reasonable. Polls still give them an edge.

People just need to get out and vote especially in NoVA, the college towns , Richmond and Tidewater.

[FBaggins]

3. That was the Fox News poll showing a 7-point gap

Which is great - but there are also four other polls showing 1-3 point leads. The rolling average was three points IIRC

The problem here isn’t just the narrowing range… but four years ago the polls showed an eight point deficit for Cittarreli and we ended up winning by less than three points.

[spooky3]

5. There have been multiple polls from sources other than Fox that typically showed 7+ point advantage

for Spanberger.

Maybe you are referring to a different race.

[Demsrule86]

4. I have watched polls...I think we are good. Also,

Elections are won and lost in Northern Virginia where many work for the government...with the shutdown. I think the GOP is toast...Jersey also.