NJ-GOV: Sherrill Ahead in New Jersey's Gubernatorial Election

[RandySF]

In the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election, incumbent Democratic Party governor Phil Murphy defeated Republican Party candidate Jack Ciattarelli (51% to 48%). The Garden State has a two consecutive term limit for governors.

The 2025 gubernatorial race in New Jersey is very similar to the previous one, with Democratic candidate Mikie Sherrill holding a three-point edge over Republican Ciattarelli among decided voters (51% to 48%), with 1% going to Libertarian candidate Vic Kaplan.

Ciattarelli does particularly well with decided voters aged 55 and over (57% to 43%), while Sherrill holds the upper hand with decided voters aged 35-to-54 (52% to 46%) and aged 18-to-34 (58% to 41%).

More than half of decided voters who are Independent (54%) would support Sherrill tomorrow, while 43% would back Ciattarelli and 3% would support Kaplan.


https://researchco.ca/2025/11/03/2025-governors/

[rurallib]

1. Will the ICE presence at the polls have any effect?

[wiggs]

2. Research Co does not meet the NYT standards for reliability. NYT shows the result, but with an asterisk. More

'reliable' recent polls vary between 1 and 8 in favor of Sherrill

Just FYI