Marc Elias's predictions for tomorrow's elections

[highplainsdem]

[spooky3]

1. What is Q1?

In VA, the most ambiguous question tomorrow is the attorney general race. If the (incumbent) R wins, that will complicate things for Spanberger’s agenda. For example, he kept VA from joining other states in suing TSF over SNAP.

[D_Master81]

3. Basically

It sounds like from a quick search that it’s a GOP effort to make voting more difficult. Photo ID required among other things to be stricter on absentee voting

[yorkster]

8. I did 2 phonebanking sessions thru Maine Dems

and most people I reached were very eager to vote No on Question 1. A No vote keeps things as is. A yes vote would mean much more than showing a photo id and in particular it would put constraints on absentee voting and much more. People seem to recognize it for the sneaky move it is. so I'm hoping it will be defeated, 🤞 .

[Bernardo de La Paz]

10. Phone banking is not anything like polling, bc volunteers are given selected phone numbers. . . . nt

[yorkster]

12. There's no comparison, nor did I make one.

I said I was hoping for a good result.
I also heard a lot of anger that this was even on the ballot and I reached people who in fact were disabled and would be directly affected by this passing.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

13. Well, I didn't say you did

However, it is true you wrote "People seem to recognize it for the sneaky move it is", which is a kind of conclusion drawn from sampling.

[yorkster]

14. The people with whom I spoke, of course,

many of whom commented on the weasel wording of the ballot question itself as designed to cause voter confusion.

[BaronChocula]

16. Thank you for your investment in the fight

I think most people here appreciate your initial comment for what it was without the need for any superfluous overcritical commentary from anybody else.

[Cha]

17. Whoa... It's like

you read my mind only Better... Mahalo!!

[BaronChocula]

18. TY

I mean, we're all on the same side here according to the tagline.

[Cha]

21. Ha! Thanks for the Reminder... I forgot

that. I don't think I'm the only one.

[yorkster]

22. Too bad we can't all go out for a beer...

Well, in spirit anyway. To be frank, I decided
to make calls because I'm so angry about the current state if affairs and had to do something in addition to protesting.
I also called offices of our 2 senators and 2 reps to grant a public hearing before Congress to Jack Smith I think that was due to a suggestion in a post from H2O man, iirc.

Good luck to all tomorrow. We need it

[BaronChocula]

25. Some wind at our backs

for tomorrow, but of course we won't know until we know. Even in close races, this regime has so readily tilted the odds in our favor. In any event, we keep standing up.

[yorkster]

26. Regime is the word. But onward and upward,

she said hopefully....

[LoisB]

19. Thank you for volunteering.

[yorkster]

23. Thx. Took me awhile to get around to it.

I barely did anything, but several people over the sessions told me they were clearer about the ramifications of this passing and would definitely vote no.
Plus, the primaries and next November lie awaitin'.

[TommyT139]

28. And they told two friends,

...and they told two friends....

You can't know how many more people you helped nudge with your calls.
🙏🏻

[yorkster]

29. Thx. What a good group of people we have here

on DU.

[LoisB]

31. The point is you did something and that is worth everything.

[dflprincess]

6. Ballotpedia has an explantion

https://ballotpedia.org/Maine_Question_1,_Require_Voter_Photo_ID_and_Change_Absentee_Ballot_and_Drop_Box_Rules_Initiative_(2025)

A "YES" vote supports changing election law to:
require voters to present a photo ID for in-person voting, with an exception for those with religious exemptions;
require voters to present a proof of photo ID for absentee voting, with an exception for those with religious exemptions;
require the secretary of state to provide free photo ID cards to voters without a driver's license upon request;
prohibit requesting an absentee ballot through a family member;
limit the number of election drop boxes in a municipality to one;
mandate a bipartisan team of election officials to collect ballots from drop boxes; and
eliminate the option to request an absentee ballot automatically for each election without a separate request, among other changes.

[spooky3]

9. Thanks. Sounds like another R "solution" in search of a problem. Nt

[pat_k]

30. For Kansas, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania, it was the Dem Governors who joined the lawsuit...

...because the asshole Republican AGs in those states refused to stand up for their people. Those states joined the 23 members of the Democratic AGs association.

ALL the Plaintiff's in the lawsuit heard by Judge Talwani were Democrats. A fact that seems to never be mentioned in reports about 25 states suing.

Democrats, and only Democrats, forced this lying administration to do what the regime KNEW they had to do as a matter of law.

We know that they knew it because page 15 of their own plan said so -- a plan that was at the following url. A plan that was replaced with a moronic statement of filthy lies on October 27.

https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fy2026-usda-lapse-plan.pdf

Here is the plan from the archive:
https://web.archive.org/web/20251009082455if_/https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fy2026-usda-lapse-plan.pdf#page15

The first appearance of their moronic statement was October 27. (At least that is the date the first snapshot appeared.)

From the archive:

https://web.archive.org/web/20251027060523/https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fy2026-usda-lapse-plan.pdf

The same statement appeared yesterday at the plan's original url. Today it is page not found.

Their clumsy attempt to cover up their guilty knowledge should be getting front page coverage -- along with these other headlines:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100220772034

[Easterncedar]

2. Please let it be so!

I have been campaigning for No on 1 here in Maine. I want to win this. And the school board, which I am not optimistic about. That’s turned into such an evil clown show.

[UTUSN]

4. Loves me clean sweep Dems/democracy!

[Ollie Garkie]

5. Fingers crossed for all.

The wide spread in the polls for Mamdani have me nervous with recent tightening to only 5 points ahead.

[SSJVegeta]

7. VA supermajority too! 🤞

[Wednesdays]

11. Yes! Let's make it so.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100220769139

[WarGamer]

15. if ANY of those didn't end up that way... it'd be a shocking upset.

[W_HAMILTON]

24. Oh, you!

[MichMan]

20. How accurate were his predictions last year?

[DrMJG10]

27. It has been said...

your mouth to God's ear!