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The house is a done deal- 20-30 seat pick up minimum, despite gerrymandering
The senate map was always going to be a challenge, but Dems’ odds are improving daily.
Best chances are in ME and NC, but OH, IA (Ernst is retiring), and AK are within the realm of possibility.
Your question was how do Dems win-
IMO, Dems win by running populist campaigns centred on affordability, with a side helping of stability and democracy.
We have the best chances If we primary out the stand-for-nothing-but-politics-as-usual performative centrists, and select candidates who put the people first.