The G.O.P. Continues to Slip
Over the last 20 years, something keeps happening to the party that wins a presidential election.
It starts losing.
While it might seem unimaginable in the wake of a triumphant victory, the winning party in the last five presidential elections has gone on to lose each of the next five midterms — and four of the next five presidential elections.
If the last month — or really, the last year — of election results is any indication, today’s Republicans are following the same path. Almost every election night this year has gone poorly for them. They’ve lost or badly underperformed over and over — including on Tuesday in a special congressional election in Tennessee, where with nearly all of the vote counted the Republicans led by nine percentage points in a district that voted for President Trump last year by 22 points.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/02/upshot/election-tennessee-republicans-democrats.html