Did Texas Republicans Overplay Their Hand on Redistricting?
When Texas Republicans redrew the state’s congressional map over the summer, they aimed to flip five districts held by Democrats and were guided by the 2024 presidential election results, which showed voters moving to the right.
But winning all five of those seats under the new map is far from a lock for Republicans next November.
With Hispanic voters showing signs of souring on President Trump in special elections this year and concerns mounting over the cost of living, Democrats believe they could hold on to as many as three of the redrawn seats in Texas, two in the Rio Grande Valley and possibly a third centered in and around San Antonio. The party is also looking at flipping a Republican seat in the Valley, little changed in its partisan makeup by the new map, where a popular Tejano music star is running as a moderate Democrat.
The fight in Texas is ultimately about whether Republicans can maintain their narrow control of the U.S. House into the second half of the Trump administration. The U.S. Supreme Court allowed the new map to go into effect last week.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/10/us/texas-house-redistricting.html