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mahatmakanejeeves

(69,887 posts)
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 08:50 PM Jan 31

'Melania' Arrives With Strong Box Office Showing for a Documentary

I'm just telling you what it says.

‘Melania’ Arrives With Strong Box Office Showing for a Documentary

Amazon backed up the Brink’s trucks to promote the vanity film, resulting in opening-weekend ticket sales of roughly $8 million, or 60 percent more than expected.


The first lady, Melania Trump, at a screening of “Melania” at the Kennedy Center in Washington D.C., on Thursday. Doug Mills/The New York Times

By Brooks Barnes
Reporting from Los Angeles
Jan. 31, 2026, 3:19 p.m. ET

Amazon’s gold-plated rollout for Melania Trump’s documentary is likely to result in opening-weekend ticket sales of roughly $8.1 million in the United States and Canada, box office analysts projected on Saturday. That would give “Melania” the best start for a documentary (excluding concert films) in 14 years.

It would be a face-saving result for the first lady — just a few days ago, ticket sales were pacing at about $5 million — but not for Amazon, which spent an exorbitant $75 million to buy distribution rights to “Melania” and market its release. Theater owners keep roughly 50 percent of ticket sales, meaning that Amazon would end the weekend with about $4 million to show for its investment. (Overseas ticket sales are expected to be negligible. Specific estimates were not yet available on Saturday. Analysts project weekend ticket sales by collecting Friday sales data from various theater circuits, measuring presales for Saturday and Sunday and extrapolating from there.)

EntTelligence, a research firm, estimated that theaters in rural areas would contribute roughly 46 percent of the opening-weekend total for “Melania,” far higher than is typical for a film opening. Republican counties would also over perform, contributing about 53 percent of ticket sales, according to EntTelligence. Top states included Florida, Texas and Arizona. ... The audience was overwhelmingly female (72 percent) and over the age of 55, according to Amazon.

At the Cinemark Valley View in Cleveland on Friday, the audience for a “Melania” screening included a couple of buses worth of people from a nearby senior center. “It was a nice fluff piece,” Gordon Wilson, 80, said as he exited. Another Cleveland attendee, Anita Dloniak, 68, chuckled when she heard that some of the other ticket buyers called the film propaganda. “What did they think it was going to be?” she said.

{snip}

Ida Lieszkovszky, Michaela Towfighi, Nicole Danna and Emmanuel Morgan contributed reporting.

Brooks Barnes is the chief Hollywood correspondent for The Times. He has reported on the entertainment industry for 25 years.
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Keepthesoulalive

(2,307 posts)
1. The only numbers available are for Friday
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 08:59 PM
Jan 31

Domestic box office almost 3 million. No worldwide numbers yet.

AloeVera

(4,266 posts)
3. It's a forecast.
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 09:14 PM
Jan 31

Based on matinee and eary Friday evening sales. Which of course were perfectly on the level, I'm sure.

newdeal2

(5,437 posts)
10. The expectations were set so low, hard not to overperform
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 10:06 PM
Jan 31

Let’s see how much money they make next weekend or how long it even stays in theaters.

Beartracks

(14,609 posts)
6. Amazon bought the rights, then heavily marketed it, so I wonder...
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 09:33 PM
Jan 31

... if Amazon might also be buying the tickets to goose the sales numbers.

===========

Liberal In Texas

(16,274 posts)
13. It would be instructive to know the actual theater attendance, not just sales.
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 11:22 PM
Jan 31

Like RW books, they buy large amounts to sit stored in a warehouse. The same has probably been done for this cinematic masterpiece.
It's something I thought all along was going to happen, especially after reports of the dismal pre-sales. Places like Heritage will pour money into these things to boost the propaganda value.


Blasphemer

(3,623 posts)
11. What a BS headline - a $75 million dollar film opening to a paltry 8 mil in ticket sales is a FLOP. nt
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 10:07 PM
Jan 31

choie

(6,908 posts)
14. Jesus christ,
Sat Jan 31, 2026, 11:22 PM
Jan 31

it's like those books on the Times "Best Sellers" list that are bought in bulk by conservative groups to prop up the numbers.

I mean, a couple of bus loads from a senior center? That's elder abuse!

bmichaelh

(1,187 posts)
19. The Numbers
Sun Feb 1, 2026, 02:00 PM
Feb 1

$40 million production
$35 million marketing

It has been said that a movie must make 3x its production budget to break even, although there are exceptions.
Marketing costs, theaters share of revenue, etc.

Some reports are stating of the $40 million, $28 million was paid to Melania.
Whether she gets a share of gross revenue, I am unsure.

It has raised about $7-8 million this weekend.

Trump has called it a runaway success but that is one more of his long list of lies.

Some critics are calling the movie a bribe.



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