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Swede

(39,836 posts)
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 04:53 PM Mar 4

Guy predicting the USA will lose this war.

Iran blocks the Strait of Formuz, blows up the Gulf states desalination facilities. No oil and no water. Threatening the very existence of the gulf states. Dominoes start falling…

https://www.reddit.com/r/TikTokCringe/s/ZXTbca0F5v

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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ABC123Easy

(330 posts)
2. Not gonna happen
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:21 PM
Mar 4

Dump47 has no attention span for a long war. We're gonna bomb the shit out of everything for a little while then he's going to declare victory and be done with it.

PatSeg

(53,291 posts)
3. And he'll probably move across the globe
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:25 PM
Mar 4

to find other countries to intimidate and terrorize, seemingly at random.

As for the attacks on Iran though, I think his puppet master(s) are making most of the decisions. He doesn't seem terribly engaged at all.

PatSeg

(53,291 posts)
9. And he didn't even do the very formal
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:16 PM
Mar 4

and serious presidential announcement that presidents do when there is a major story. Instead he posted a brief video on Truth Social in the middle of the night. Normally he likes all the drama of playing president.

Personally, I think some very powerful people pushed him into it and he seems rather ill at ease talking about it. He may not have even known many of the details.

-misanthroptimist

(1,697 posts)
5. Seems unlikely to me.
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:39 PM
Mar 4

What may (or may not) be more likely is China invading Taiwan when we use up our missiles in Iran. If that happens, I fully expect the Pedo-in-Chief to start tossing nukes.

roamer65

(37,965 posts)
6. Saudi and Qatari energy installations aren't that far away.
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 05:52 PM
Mar 4

1. Drones are quick, easy and cheap for Iran to produce.
2. We are running out of expensive interceptors.
3. Qatari LNG facilities and tankers will be offline because of its highly explosive nature.
4. The Saudi oil refinery at Ras Tanura is easy to keep offline with drones.

The longer this goes, the more it favors Iran.

Wounded Bear

(64,473 posts)
8. Well, since nobody has really defined what "winning" actually means, it seems likely...
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:13 PM
Mar 4

But trump doesn't doesn't really do plans or preparation or any of that silly shit like picking actual objectives.

Melon

(1,572 posts)
10. Iran missile launches down 86%.
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:37 PM
Mar 4

Iran Navy has lost 20 vessels which is most if not all of their heavy displacement vessels.
2/3 of all missile launchers are destroyed.
They have zero vessels in the gulf of Oman. Straights of Hormuz, or Arabian Sea. They frankly have no access to the water or air.

It’s a weird take to me that they can be thought of as winning at this point or have a route to win outside of politics. They are getting destroyed.

Response to Melon (Reply #10)

newdeal2

(5,528 posts)
14. If they get desperate then they can use unconventional means
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:56 PM
Mar 4

I don’t think it’s in anyone’s best interests for that to happen either.

PCB66

(143 posts)
13. Iran's military has been decimated if the reports are accurate
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 07:52 PM
Mar 4

it is only going to get worse for them in the next couple of weeks.

The Kurds just sent a land invasion force. Probably supported by American Special Forces with intelligence and American/Israeli air support.

The European countries are in the game now.

I don't see Mullah leadership hanging on much longer.

However, it all boils down to what the Iranian people do. If they rise up then fine. If they don't don't then no telling how this will play out but probably not what Trump expected.

progressoid

(53,293 posts)
16. Jiang Xueqin
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 08:12 PM
Mar 4

Jiang Xueqin (Chinese: 江学勤[1]; pinyin: Jiāng Xuéqín; born 1976[3]) is a Chinese-Canadian educator, writer, historian, and geopolitical theorist based in Beijing, China. He is known for his contributions to education reform in China—particularly promoting creativity, critical thinking, and global citizenship—as well as for his YouTube channel Predictive History,

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