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DemocratSinceBirth

(101,856 posts) Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:33 PM Mar 6

6

Kharg Island

Google Advanced AI says there's a 90% chance there's a sustained aerial blockade and a 60- 70% chance of Physical Seizure/Occupation

14 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Kharg Island (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Mar 6 OP

That is where the oil is managed and exported. ananda Mar 6 #1

Gemini says it's most likely to happen this weekend while the markets are closed DemocratSinceBirth Mar 6 #3

And it confirmed by observation it would be coupled with an attack by the Kurds in the north DemocratSinceBirth Mar 6 #4

I wonder how Russia would take that. ananda Mar 6 #5

Strategically placed dweller Mar 6 #2

Check your geography nt sarisataka Mar 6 #10

Ok dweller Mar 6 #12

I think i missed something. mwmisses4289 Mar 6 #6

The former-the U S. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 6 #7

Thanks. mwmisses4289 Mar 6 #8

Did Gen. Google (ret) sarisataka Mar 6 #9

Just ask Gemini- it's great, free, and open to everyone, snd better thsn Grok. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 6 #11

Possible however there would be two issues sarisataka Mar 6 #13

90-95% of their oil goes through it.Contol that, you control their economy. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 6 #14

ananda

(35,192 posts)

1. That is where the oil is managed and exported.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:37 PM

Mar 6

Wow

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,856 posts)

3. Gemini says it's most likely to happen this weekend while the markets are closed

Reply to ananda (Reply #1)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:47 PM

Mar 6

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,856 posts)

4. And it confirmed by observation it would be coupled with an attack by the Kurds in the north

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #3)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:55 PM

Mar 6

Now the Artesh is fighting on two fronts.

ananda

(35,192 posts)

5. I wonder how Russia would take that.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #3)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:55 PM

Mar 6

???

dweller

(28,433 posts)

2. Strategically placed

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:43 PM

Mar 6

In the Gulf of Hormuz

welp, here we go

✌🏻

sarisataka

(22,696 posts)

10. Check your geography nt

Reply to dweller (Reply #2)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 08:40 PM

Mar 6

dweller

(28,433 posts)

12. Ok

Reply to sarisataka (Reply #10)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 08:58 PM

Mar 6

I guessed wrong

✌🏻

mwmisses4289

(4,222 posts)

6. I think i missed something.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 07:58 PM

Mar 6

Is the u.s./isreal coalition planning on trying to take this place? Or is it the irgc?

Edited to add: not to make light of serious issue, but that islands name sounds rather like something from the klingon language.

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,856 posts)

7. The former-the U S.

Reply to mwmisses4289 (Reply #6)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 08:02 PM

Mar 6

mwmisses4289

(4,222 posts)

8. Thanks.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #7)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 08:04 PM

Mar 6

Escalating the war. Great.

sarisataka

(22,696 posts)

9. Did Gen. Google (ret)

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 08:38 PM

Mar 6

happen to say what forces would be used to seize the island?

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,856 posts)

11. Just ask Gemini- it's great, free, and open to everyone, snd better thsn Grok.

Reply to sarisataka (Reply #9)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 08:56 PM

Mar 6

To answer your question-the 82nd Airborne Division.

sarisataka

(22,696 posts)

13. Possible however there would be two issues

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #11)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 09:20 PM

Mar 6

-Airborne troops can seize an objective but holding it is another matter without further ground support. The British learned that during Operation Market-Garden

-There is no military or strategic purpose to seizing the island. Oil already has stopped moving, we would not in any way be able to use the terminal and the damage to the facilities from fighting could be accomplished with air strikes if the goal is to put it out of action for an extended time.

I have no faith the current administration knows or cares about either of these points.

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,856 posts)

14. 90-95% of their oil goes through it.Contol that, you control their economy.

Reply to sarisataka (Reply #13)

Fri Mar 6, 2026, 09:46 PM

Mar 6

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