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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(135,846 posts)
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 03:26 PM Mar 20

The bond market is flashing a signal not seen since before the 2008 crisis

Troubling developments unfolded in the U.S. bond market on Thursday that had some investors drawing comparisons with the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis.

The current problems start with rising oil prices as a result of the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, which is raising the risk of stagflation and the prospect of a 2026 interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Brent crude the global oil benchmark, briefly blew past $119 a barrel on Thursday as attacks escalated on oil-and-gas infrastructure in the Persian Gulf. West Texas Intermediate crude-oil futures briefly crossed $100 a barrel.

But even as oil prices have spiked and stock prices come down, Treasurys, often seen as a haven during times of market unease, haven’t rallied on a continual basis. Instead, fears that the war in the Middle East could morph into a full-blown energy crisis pushed the policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury yield above the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate target on Thursday. Bond yields move inversely with prices and rise during selloffs.

Thursday’s bond-market selloff caused the Treasury yield curve to exhibit what traders describe as a “bear-flattening” pattern. This actually began back in early February. Typically, the pattern emerges when bond traders are bracing for a difficult economic environment ahead.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/the-bond-market-is-flashing-a-signal-not-seen-since-before-the-2008-crisis/ar-AA1Z0IQA

Gee what's the commonality here?

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The bond market is flashing a signal not seen since before the 2008 crisis (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 20 OP
I'm very happy to have sold my ebonds Ponietz Mar 20 #1
"I did my own research and trump is better on the economy" Klarkashton Mar 20 #2
"I did my own research" Wednesdays Mar 20 #3
Well, how's he doing now? calimary Mar 20 #7
About As Effective As modrepub Mar 20 #11
They don't have brains to surgery on..... AZ8theist Mar 20 #12
Am I evil stage left Mar 20 #13
Heckuva job, Donnie! regnaD kciN Mar 20 #4
And all the while, Putin Quanto Magnus Mar 20 #5
The Evil Bastard. stage left Mar 20 #14
Precious metals like gold and silver are also taking a beating now. TheRickles Mar 20 #6
This is what I want to know! mahina Mar 20 #16
You could get in now with gold and silver, as they're down quite a bit at the moment. TheRickles Mar 21 #17
"DOW 50,000!" The Madcap Mar 20 #8
I saw a story the other day Diraven Mar 20 #9
Investing in donOLD trump and the MAGAt regime is not an appealing bet to most people. MLWR Mar 20 #10
Not surprised, everything Fatso has done has beern a fucking disaster Warpy Mar 20 #15

Ponietz

(4,343 posts)
1. I'm very happy to have sold my ebonds
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 03:30 PM
Mar 20

They might turn out to be worth even less than the paper they weren’t even printed on.

calimary

(90,100 posts)
7. Well, how's he doing now?
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 05:15 PM
Mar 20

Besides not so well?

When that’s the way, karma tends to step in at some point, especially when one’s “feelings of invincibility” start wobbling.

TheRickles

(3,401 posts)
6. Precious metals like gold and silver are also taking a beating now.
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 05:08 PM
Mar 20

So I'm not sure where the safe haven is for investors.

mahina

(20,647 posts)
16. This is what I want to know!
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 09:01 PM
Mar 20

Money market funds?

Sell everything and buy Swiss francs?

A bit late...

I've asked the question of the general body here with no response, I am so not ma'a (familiar, easy) with financial stuff. But I would like what I have not to become wallpaper!

TheRickles

(3,401 posts)
17. You could get in now with gold and silver, as they're down quite a bit at the moment.
Sat Mar 21, 2026, 07:04 AM
Mar 21

Many doomsayers feel that the stock market is only riding an AI bubble that will soon burst, so tangible assets like property and metals are the way to go as we ride out the storm. Unless you want to invest in the MIC, which seems to be doing quite well at the moment.

Diraven

(1,910 posts)
9. I saw a story the other day
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 05:30 PM
Mar 20

That said just interest on the national debt will exceed total tax receipts in only 5 years. I wonder will happen to the bond market then?

Warpy

(114,616 posts)
15. Not surprised, everything Fatso has done has beern a fucking disaster
Fri Mar 20, 2026, 06:52 PM
Mar 20

but now his main exp0sure is in government bonds as he's slowly been converting his ill gotten crypto billions into them

OIr maybe I want to live to see him broke as well as disgraced and isolated.

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