Can Russia start a 2nd front against the Baltic States?

[OAITW r.2.0]

With what? I see no credible threat that Russia has the ability to move against any of the States. Your thoughts?

[CentralMass]

1. It depends on the rest of the world standing up to stop Putin if he tries.

[OAITW r.2.0]

8. The EU is triggered. Just waiting for Putin to follow through on his threats.

Can't happen, conventionally.

[surfered]

2. They're transporting supplies to the front on donkeys and...

…cannibalising tank crews for infantry assaults. They still have drones and missiles, but not the manpower for another front.

[OAITW r.2.0]

4. And, can you imagine the NATO response if Putin makes a move against Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia?

Instant annihilation. With Ukraine's help.

[Chasstev365]

3. Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are NATO nations

An attack on any of them by Putin would have all NATO European nations and Canada fighting to defend them Shithead Trump would have the US sit it out.

However, Putin can't even take Ukraine after 3 years of fighting. I doubt he'd try to attack NATO nations.

[OAITW r.2.0]

5. Me too. No real Russian army left. Putin is quickly entering the nuclear endgame. I hope that the Russian military

can block this option.

[Happy Hoosier]

6. Not sustainably.

The Russian Army is essentially destroyed. They manage to keep up pressure on Ukraine with constant human wave attacks, but a modern, well-trained and well-equipped army would grind them to bits.

However, any modern army had better be paying VERY close attention to the drone war in Ukraine. It has changed modern ground war tactics forever.

[OAITW r.2.0]

9. Ukraine's game has changed.

From Defense to Offense. Took them 3 years to reinvent themselves as an army. but they have done that. The best tactical, war-proven army in Europe at this moment.

[Happy Hoosier]

20. 100% agree

I work in the defense aerospace industry, including with our European (former) partners. It's made less news than it servers, but Europe has assisted Ukrain in developing a sophisticated and innovative arms industry, and they have worked closely with Ukraine to develop and modify tactics and strategies. This conflict will be written about for generations.

Many in the US are interested to in partnering with theUkraininas as well. Thecurrent admin is making that difficult Between you, me, and the lampost, a lot of senior defense industry folks are NOT happy with the current admin's approach to international partnerships.

And despite the facing of some of ensenior leadershp of companies trying to make nice, many of them had feared this would happen.

The US risks between several steps behind the innovation curve. Smaller companies like mine are trying to remain agile, but the big lumbering companies will need to find a way to move faster. The deployment cycle is now months, not years or decades.

[OAITW r.2.0]

15. Russia can no longer produce enough recruits economically to die. Forced conscription has to happen....that includes

Moscow and St, Pete;s. Let's see what happens.

[Happy Hoosier]

21. I can't see how they can keep this up.

Ukraine is hurting too, but rather than doubling down, like Moscow, they are actively seeking different approaches.

[sarisataka]

7. Why would Russia want a second front?

A second front is used to dilute an enemy's strength; it would dilute Russia's efforts.

[OAITW r.2.0]

10. They make threats daily....especially a key strategic city of Narva in Estonia. That may be the point of attack.

I don't expect a direct military assault.....more like an intense war based on heritage, lies, and propaganda,

[WarGamer]

13. I've actually been there... Narva Castle on the Estonian side of the river

And Ivangorod on the Russian side.

[OAITW r.2.0]

14. Twin Cities, Right?

Or maybe used to be.

[WarGamer]

22. During the Soviet era they were on the "same side"

But the other 500 years, they've always been opposing each other.

There have been MASSIVE battles fought near there multiple times... last one in WW2 where most of Narva was destroyed.

[mr715]

11. Russia can barely keep the beets on the table.

[WarGamer]

12. you're 100% correct... they can't do a thing.

[Efilroft Sul]

16. Russia has the second-most powerful army in Ukraine. So, no.

[OAITW r.2.0]

17. Truth.

Why will Russia allow more of their future to die?

[The Madcap]

26. Because Putin is never wrong...

or so he believes.

Sounds familiar, doesn't it?

[LudwigPastorius]

18. No.

However, Putin will annex Belarus in the near future, and continue to try to politically destabilize Moldova.

[OAITW r.2.0]

19. Moldova is moving to neutralize Russia by reintegrating with Romanian.

Sorry Vlad.

[Boo1]

23. No

he has no reason to do that because Belarus is a puppet state already. Unless they look to truely be ready to move out of the Russian sphere there will be no reason to annex them.

[LudwigPastorius]

24. The plan has been drawn up, and is being executed.

https://www.dw.com/en/russia-plans-belarus-absorption-by-2030-media-reports/a-64771429

[Boo1]

25. That as article is 3 years old,

And references a possible document that is even older. And none of it has happened...

[OAITW r.2.0]

30. Kinda like the "Project for a New American Century". Or project 202X

Lofty goals, no one to implement.

[J_William_Ryan]

27. "I see no credible threat"

That there’s no credible threat goes to the fact that NATO is both important and vital.

Absent NATO, the Baltic states could easily be attacked by Putin even in Russia’s depleted state.

[OAITW r.2.0]

31. That is why Russia is weak and can't possibly initiate a 2nd front.

They've got nothing left...but NATO. oh boy.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

28. Putin has lost too many troops and too much equipment to start another war

[CanonRay]

29. Every day the Baltic states are more ready for an armed conflict

while Russia is more depleted. They're using 60 year old equipment, plus horses and mules. No time for training anyone. The officer corp is corrupt and depleted. As a conventional military power they are done. They could still cause problems with cyber and political infiltration, but there will be no 2nd front.

[OAITW r.2.0]

32. No one fears the Russian Army.

Nuke forces,,,unknown.