I think Belarus will enter the war against Ukraine soon.

[OAITW r.2.0]

Scheduled US military transports to Poland have been canceled.

Is Trump working with his business partner?

[DavidDvorkin]

1. If so, the government of Belarus will be overthrown shortly thereafter.

[House of Roberts]

2. NATO Enhanced Forward Presence

Look that up in your Funk and Wagnalls.

Poland doesn't need the US as much as we might think. There's already quite a bit of firepower right on the Belarus border. They don't want to piss off NATO even without the US.

[Emrys]

3. That'd get Poland's trigger fingers itchy

If the idea were to be any sort of land incursion from the north, they'd have to negotiate bogs and extensive minefields etc., apart from any forces Ukraine's now diverting as a precaution. If it were to take the form of bombardments across the border, that would be another matter, but Belarus is pretty dependent on Russia for armaments, and those aren't in great supply.

As for Belarusian troops, if Lukashenko made any moves as you imagine, I think they'd be quite preoccupied with trying to control their own population.

Lukashenko's hold on power is not cast-iron. I doubt he'd want the complications at this stage, but we'll see.

[OAITW r.2.0]

4. I wonder where the people of Belarus are?

Probably sick of Putin and his lapdog.

[WarGamer]

5. huh? why?

[OAITW r.2.0]

6. Because Putin owns Belarus

Time to help Mother Putin.

[WarGamer]

7. I can't picture it happening

[OAITW r.2.0]

8. It's happening.

And this is how EU/NATO moves to help Ukraine. Poland blocks Belarus.

[WarGamer]

9. We'll see...