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LetMyPeopleVote

(182,091 posts)
Wed May 20, 2026, 10:56 AM 16 hrs ago

Trump endorsement makes Dem Senate candidate the favorite in deep red state

Paxton is a major league asshole with a ton of dirt. Until yesterday, Cornyn was running some very effective attack ads on Paxton. There have been at least two Cornyn ads attacking Paxton for every one Paxton ad. Talarico is a great candidate and we may flip Texas blue

Trump endorsement makes Dem Senate candidate the favorite in deep red state #RawStory

#TuckFrump (@realtuckfrumper.bsky.social) 2026-05-19T18:44:22.000Z

https://www.rawstory.com/talarico-trump-paxton/

President Donald Trump's endorsement of Republican Ken Paxton on Tuesday could backfire in the Texas Senate primary race — putting Democrat Rep. James Talarico in the lead for the first time, according to a Kalshi Prediction Market report.

Kalshi has signaled that the president's move could flip the ruby-red Senate seat to blue.

"The Trump endorsement likely carries clear, quantifiable weight in Paxton's chances, as shown by the absurd 40% rise in odds of Paxton's chances to win the nomination," Kalshi reported.

"Likely as a result, traders in the market on the general election for the open Senate seat in Texas have perceived this as good news for James Talarico, who is now favored for the first time ever," according to Kalshi.

If elected, Talarico would be the first Democrat to hold a Senate seat in Texas since 1993.
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Trump endorsement makes Dem Senate candidate the favorite in deep red state (Original Post) LetMyPeopleVote 16 hrs ago OP
I really hope so. drray23 15 hrs ago #1
If Talarico wins it's good news ITAL 15 hrs ago #2
Who knows fujiyamasan 6 hrs ago #5
This makes me smile LetMyPeopleVote 7 hrs ago #3
Please Texas Dems GOTV!!! Cha 6 hrs ago #4
Dems are never the favorite in Texas newdeal2 6 hrs ago #6

drray23

(8,823 posts)
1. I really hope so.
Wed May 20, 2026, 12:03 PM
15 hrs ago

But I am skeptical. For years now, we are told Texas is about to flip. Beto was also supposed to win..

Somehow the polls are tight but at the end the republicans asshole voters always come out .

ITAL

(1,379 posts)
2. If Talarico wins it's good news
Wed May 20, 2026, 12:06 PM
15 hrs ago

However, I tend to think Paxton will prevail and we'll be kicking ourselves that we only had a fairly normal Republican in the seat and now we'll have a complete whackjob.

fujiyamasan

(2,047 posts)
5. Who knows
Wed May 20, 2026, 08:35 PM
6 hrs ago

Paxton is so corrupt, he’ll likely commit some crime or the other. It’s be great if he’s forced to resign after a democratic DOJ takes him down.

newdeal2

(5,614 posts)
6. Dems are never the favorite in Texas
Wed May 20, 2026, 08:39 PM
6 hrs ago

They will have some dirty tricks up their sleeves. Let's not kid ourselves.

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