Virginia DUer's: Who do you really think is going to win.

[RandySF]

In a sane time, Ken Cuccinelli would not have a snowball's chance in Hell, but we all know this is America. So what are the odds VA will elect that nutcase?

[cthulu2016]

1. Not to cop-out, but I see it as 50-50

McCauliffe only being up by 4 in the last PPP poll (probably in the ballpark, given that it's PPP) seems like cause for concern.

VA gov races are always in an off-off year (no prez, not even any congress) but we have had a decent Dem record recently despite that turnout depressor, and despite the last election. (McConnell, whose campaign was largely about claiming to be a northern VA moderate)

Cuccinelli is a lunatic... but he was also a lunatic when he won the AG race 4 years ago.

McCauliffe, unlike Warner or Kaine, doesn't have a track record of winning elected offices in Virginia. He will, I suspect, do unusually poorly in the conservative parts of the state because there's no loyalty or personal angle. He's just the guy with a D by his name.

Unless McCauliffe blankets NoVa with ads so scary that they will be decried by inside the beltway fainters as in bad taste I see Cucc probably winning.

Will Hillary (and Bill) campaign for McCauliffe? Might help.

[madinmaryland]

2. Well, its going to be close, by I think McAulliffe will be able to carry the heavily democratic

areas of NoVA, unlike the last democratic candidate who was from southern VA and did not do as well as needed in NoVA, because he was too conservative.

I think he only has to let Cuccinelli and McDonnell sink themselves. Commenting about oral sex should be enough to sink his campaign.