General Discussion

RandySF

(86,235 posts) Sat Jul 20, 2013, 03:18 PM Jul 2013

Virginia DUer's: Who do you really think is going to win.

In a sane time, Ken Cuccinelli would not have a snowball's chance in Hell, but we all know this is America. So what are the odds VA will elect that nutcase?

2 replies

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Virginia DUer's: Who do you really think is going to win. (Original Post) RandySF Jul 2013 OP

Not to cop-out, but I see it as 50-50 cthulu2016 Jul 2013 #1

Well, its going to be close, by I think McAulliffe will be able to carry the heavily democratic madinmaryland Jul 2013 #2

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

1. Not to cop-out, but I see it as 50-50

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sat Jul 20, 2013, 03:31 PM

Jul 2013

McCauliffe only being up by 4 in the last PPP poll (probably in the ballpark, given that it's PPP) seems like cause for concern.

VA gov races are always in an off-off year (no prez, not even any congress) but we have had a decent Dem record recently despite that turnout depressor, and despite the last election. (McConnell, whose campaign was largely about claiming to be a northern VA moderate)

Cuccinelli is a lunatic... but he was also a lunatic when he won the AG race 4 years ago.

McCauliffe, unlike Warner or Kaine, doesn't have a track record of winning elected offices in Virginia. He will, I suspect, do unusually poorly in the conservative parts of the state because there's no loyalty or personal angle. He's just the guy with a D by his name.

Unless McCauliffe blankets NoVa with ads so scary that they will be decried by inside the beltway fainters as in bad taste I see Cucc probably winning.

Will Hillary (and Bill) campaign for McCauliffe? Might help.

madinmaryland

(65,775 posts)

2. Well, its going to be close, by I think McAulliffe will be able to carry the heavily democratic

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Sat Jul 20, 2013, 04:33 PM

Jul 2013

areas of NoVA, unlike the last democratic candidate who was from southern VA and did not do as well as needed in NoVA, because he was too conservative.

I think he only has to let Cuccinelli and McDonnell sink themselves. Commenting about oral sex should be enough to sink his campaign.

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