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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2012 or Never
...look at these faces...Newt Gingrich supporters listen to his stump speech at a campaign event in South Carolina.
(Photo: Christopher Anderson/Magnum Photos/New York Magazine)
2012 or Never
Republicans are worried this election could be their last chance to stop history. This is fear talking. But not paranoia.
By Jonathan Chait
New York Magazine
Feb. 26 2012
Of the various expressions of right-wing hysteria that have flowered over the past three yearsgoldbuggery, birtherism, death panels at home and imaginary apology tours by President Obama abroadperhaps the strain that has taken deepest root within mainstream Republican circles is the terror that the achievements of the Obama administration may be irreversible, and that the time remaining to stop permanent nightfall is dwindling away.
America is approaching a tipping point beyond which the Nation will be unable to change course, announces the dark, old-timey preamble to Paul Ryans The Roadmap Plan, a statement of fiscal principles that shaped the budget outline approved last spring by 98 percent of the House Republican caucus. Rick Santorum warns his audiences, We are reaching a tipping point, folks, when those who pay are the minority and those who receive are the majority. Even such a sober figure as Mitt Romney regularly says things like We are only inches away from no longer being a free economy, and that this election could be our last chance.
The Republican Party is in the grips of many fever dreams. But this is not one of them. To be sure, the apocalyptic ideological analysisthat freedom is incompatible with Clinton-era tax rates and Massachusetts-style health careis pure crazy. But the panicked strategic analysis, and the sense of urgency it gives rise to, is actually quite sound. The modern GOPthe party of Nixon, Reagan, and both Bushesis staring down its own demographic extinction. Right-wing warnings of impending tyranny express, in hyperbolic form, well-grounded dread: that conservative America will soon come to be dominated, in a semi-permanent fashion, by an ascendant Democratic coalition hostile to its outlook and interests. And this impending doom has colored the partys frantic, fearful response to the Obama presidency.
The GOP has reason to be scared. Obamas election was the vindication of a prediction made several years before by journalist John Judis and political scientist Ruy Teixeira in their 2002 book, The Emerging Democratic Majority. Despite the fact that George W. Bush then occupied the White House, Judis and Teixeira argued that demographic and political trends were converging in such a way as to form a natural-majority coalition for Democrats.
The rest: http://nymag.com/news/features/gop-primary-chait-2012-3/
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2012 or Never (Original Post)
WilliamPitt
Feb 2012
OP
Pirate Smile
(27,617 posts)1. Great article. Everyone should read it.
The Chait article and the Heilemann articles should be read by EVERYBODY this week.
Heilemann's article:
The Lost Party
The strangest primary season in memory reveals a GOP thats tearing itself apart.
-snip-
That Mitt Romney finds himself so imperiled by Rick SantorumRick Santorum!is just the latest in a series of jaw-dropping developments in what has been the most volatile, unpredictable, and just plain wackadoodle Republican-nomination contest ever. Part of the explanation lies in Romneys lameness as a candidate, in Santorums strength, and in the sudden efflorescence of social issues in what was supposed to be an all-economy-all-the-time affair. But even more important have been the seismic changes within the Republican Party. Compared to 2008, all the candidates are way to the right of John McCain, says longtime conservative activist Jeff Bell. The fact that Romney is running with basically the same views as then but is seen as too moderate tells you that the base has moved rightward and doesnt simply want a conservative candidateit wants a very conservative one.
The transfiguration of the GOP isnt only about ideology, however. It is also about demography and temperament, as the party has grown whiter, less well schooled, more blue-collar, and more hair-curlingly populist. The result has been a party divided along the lines of culture and class: Establishment versus grassroots, secular versus religious, upscale versus downscale, highfalutin versus hoi polloi. And with those divisions have arisen the competing electoral coalitionsshirts versus skins, regulars versus red-hotsrepresented by Romney and Santorum, which are now increasingly likely to duke it out all spring.
Few Republicans greet that prospect sanguinely, though some argue that it will do little to hamper the partys capacity to defeat Obama in the fall. Its reminiscent of the contest between Obama and Clinton, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell recently opined. [That] didnt seem to have done [Democrats] any harm in the general election, and I dont think this contest is going to do us any harm, either.
Yet the Democratic tussle in 2008, which featured two undisputed heavyweights with few ideological discrepancies between them, may be an exception that proves the rule. Certainly Republican history suggests as much: Think of 1964 and the scrap between the forces aligned with Barry Goldwater and Nelson Rockefeller, or 1976, between backers of Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan. On both occasions, the result was identical: a party disunited, a nominee debilitated, a general election down the crapper.
http://nymag.com/news/features/gop-primary-heilemann-2012-3/
The strangest primary season in memory reveals a GOP thats tearing itself apart.
-snip-
That Mitt Romney finds himself so imperiled by Rick SantorumRick Santorum!is just the latest in a series of jaw-dropping developments in what has been the most volatile, unpredictable, and just plain wackadoodle Republican-nomination contest ever. Part of the explanation lies in Romneys lameness as a candidate, in Santorums strength, and in the sudden efflorescence of social issues in what was supposed to be an all-economy-all-the-time affair. But even more important have been the seismic changes within the Republican Party. Compared to 2008, all the candidates are way to the right of John McCain, says longtime conservative activist Jeff Bell. The fact that Romney is running with basically the same views as then but is seen as too moderate tells you that the base has moved rightward and doesnt simply want a conservative candidateit wants a very conservative one.
The transfiguration of the GOP isnt only about ideology, however. It is also about demography and temperament, as the party has grown whiter, less well schooled, more blue-collar, and more hair-curlingly populist. The result has been a party divided along the lines of culture and class: Establishment versus grassroots, secular versus religious, upscale versus downscale, highfalutin versus hoi polloi. And with those divisions have arisen the competing electoral coalitionsshirts versus skins, regulars versus red-hotsrepresented by Romney and Santorum, which are now increasingly likely to duke it out all spring.
Few Republicans greet that prospect sanguinely, though some argue that it will do little to hamper the partys capacity to defeat Obama in the fall. Its reminiscent of the contest between Obama and Clinton, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell recently opined. [That] didnt seem to have done [Democrats] any harm in the general election, and I dont think this contest is going to do us any harm, either.
Yet the Democratic tussle in 2008, which featured two undisputed heavyweights with few ideological discrepancies between them, may be an exception that proves the rule. Certainly Republican history suggests as much: Think of 1964 and the scrap between the forces aligned with Barry Goldwater and Nelson Rockefeller, or 1976, between backers of Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan. On both occasions, the result was identical: a party disunited, a nominee debilitated, a general election down the crapper.
http://nymag.com/news/features/gop-primary-heilemann-2012-3/
frylock
(34,825 posts)2. i've seen happier people on 'the walking dead'
WillyT
(72,631 posts)3. GMTA !!! - K & R !!!