Polls differ on Christie's victory margin

[FarCenter]

Gov. Chris Christie is expected to win Tuesday’s election based on the latest polls, but his predicted victory margin varies widely.

A Monmouth University Poll gives Republican Christie a 20-point lead over Democrat Sen. Barbara Buono. Those polled favored Christie 57 percent to 37 percent over Buono. That lead has narrowed since three weeks ago, when the poll had Christie 24 points ahead.

But a new Rutgers-Eagleton Poll gives Christie a 36-point lead, which increased by 10 points in the past month. Christie has a 66 percent to 30 percent lead.

The Monmouth University Poll says Republican voters are more likely to participate in Tuesday’s election than they did for the Oct. 16 U.S. Senate special election. Christie has the support of 92 percent of Republicans, 61 percent of independents and 23 percent of Democrats, the poll says.

http://www.app.com/article/20131104/NJNEWS/311040027/Polls-differ-Christie-s-victory-margin

[Mass]

1. So, I say that a 20 point lead will be a setback for Christie.

After all, this is what they are trying with McAuliffe, pushing the poll that showed him 15 points ahead so that if he only wins by 6 or 7, they can claim that it is because of Obamacare.

[hrmjustin]

2. I hope the dems keep the legislature.

[FarCenter]

3. It is very unlikely that control of the legislature will change

Democrats enjoy a 24 to 16 majority in the Senate. The Republicans need a net gain of four seats to tie and five to take control.

In the Assembly, the score is 48 to 32. The GOP needs to add eight seats to pull even and nine to take the lead.

Pundits have said that maybe a few seats are in play, but the most likely scenario is that almost all incumbents get re-elected.

About half of registered voters are independents, and NJ voter are very good at splitting tickets. Local media often endorse candidates from both parties.

[hrmjustin]

4. I hope you are right but we need to see.

Do you know what is happening in the VA legislature?

[FarCenter]

5. Don't know about VA; I'm in NJ.

[hrmjustin]

6. I wish you guys the best tomorrow.

I am in NY and we will get a Democratic mayor.