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Looks like we lost the VA AG race. (Original Post) longship Nov 2013 OP
And your credentials are? itsrobert Nov 2013 #1
120 precincts left to report. longship Nov 2013 #3
Remind me to never listen to longship when it comes to predicting election results. StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #119
MSNBC doesn't have that. elleng Nov 2013 #2
A link below Tx4obama Nov 2013 #4
Now it's 21,000 votes ahead for Obenshain. longship Nov 2013 #5
Looks like game over at 10:08 PM EST rdharma Nov 2013 #6
I'm seeing about 21,000... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #7
Sorry. Typo on my post. Will fix. longship Nov 2013 #8
Sadly, yes... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #11
Now 18,091... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #9
It's getting closer Robbins Nov 2013 #10
Sorry to pop your balloon, but we're going to lose this one. longship Nov 2013 #12
Then so be It Robbins Nov 2013 #14
Still 50 precincts to report... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #16
It's not about the percentage, it's about the vote margin. longship Nov 2013 #18
Oh come on... It's 17,971 now... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #21
This message was self-deleted by its author CreekDog Nov 2013 #123
Back off. It's tightened up. And there's an anomaly in one of the counties that favors Herring. longship Nov 2013 #126
This message was self-deleted by its author CreekDog Nov 2013 #130
Hey, back off! He's the boy who cried "Wolf!" Give him a break. StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #135
Says the person who jumped into the thread at 1:22 am. longship Nov 2013 #174
Okay! Are you going to self-delete, too? longship Nov 2013 #175
You're hilarious. StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #176
BANG! Pretzel_Warrior Nov 2013 #143
not entirely lost yet renegade000 Nov 2013 #17
yeah fairfax county had a pretty lame absentee turnout... renegade000 Nov 2013 #34
actually, fairfax absentee numbers appear to be updating renegade000 Nov 2013 #64
Not giving up yet (n/t) Neurotica Nov 2013 #13
What are the recount rules in VA? Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #15
It can be contested if the margin is within 1% of all votes. StrayKat Nov 2013 #20
This is going to be within 1%. Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #24
A mouse could starve on the difference Aerows Nov 2013 #19
Nope. 18,000 votes and R with over 50%. longship Nov 2013 #22
the math doesn't work Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #25
Norfolk goes very blue, and they have 13 precincts still outstanding. StrayKat Nov 2013 #23
Well, that's why they haven't called it yet. longship Nov 2013 #28
Yeah, it's pretty much done now. StrayKat Nov 2013 #29
22027 with 98.50% (38 precincts left to report) TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #26
Unfortutly this means he probally wins Robbins Nov 2013 #27
Yeah, I know. But it's fun to watch a photo finish. :) TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #30
Probably not close enough for a recount. longship Nov 2013 #32
Shit. calimary Nov 2013 #31
TOTALLY SUCKS ! Due to lower than expected Dem turnout. Simple as that. CHRIST !! RBInMaine Nov 2013 #33
No, ticket splitting... brooklynite Nov 2013 #35
15,681 vote difference with 98.98% reporting and 26 precincts left. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #36
1% = around 20,000 votes Motown_Johnny Nov 2013 #37
its 50% 50% on msnbc kydo Nov 2013 #38
And Obenshain's lead is down to around 12,000 now pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #40
RECOUNT! JaneyVee Nov 2013 #39
I doubt that there will be any recounts. longship Nov 2013 #54
Sorry, you're wrong demwing Nov 2013 #72
I posted that when the margin was a bit larger. longship Nov 2013 #151
Was I "throwing chairs"? demwing Nov 2013 #178
How many times can a person be wrong in their own thread? Pretzel_Warrior Nov 2013 #144
Gees, I am more than willing to be wrong. longship Nov 2013 #146
12,546 at 99.21% with 20 precincts left. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #41
It's a 10,775 vote margin at last count (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #42
OMG...it looks like it is down to 1,337 votes!! We'll have to wait for the MSNBC ticker to come up StevieM Nov 2013 #43
I just saw that wow kydo Nov 2013 #45
Your right Robbins Nov 2013 #47
If the GOP wins, then it is because of their chicanery with disqualifying legitimate voters. StevieM Nov 2013 #55
Sorry, I posted this is in the wrong place. Self-delete (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #57
I just checked again....I believe it was 1,357 votes!!! (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #44
Aside from being right, what are your qualifications? cthulu2016 Nov 2013 #46
I was very confused by your post until I checked inside and saw it was a joke StevieM Nov 2013 #49
D'ya mean other than I can count and do math? longship Nov 2013 #50
This message was self-deleted by its author CreekDog Nov 2013 #124
This message was self-deleted by its author longship Nov 2013 #136
yes, I'll back down CreekDog Nov 2013 #173
Just under 12,000 votes behind and 14 precincts uncounted. longship Nov 2013 #48
If you're reading the Virginia Board of Elections website, it is further behind than the networks.. StevieM Nov 2013 #51
Good point. Thanks. cthulu2016 Nov 2013 #56
7061 on the website... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #52
Per AP, Dem Mark Herring within 1,300 votes in #VAAG. Tx4obama Nov 2013 #53
Wouldn't be a real election without at least one recount.... Rowdyboy Nov 2013 #60
It's probally going to go to recount Robbins Nov 2013 #63
Some hope at last. 7,000 votes and 12 pcts left. longship Nov 2013 #58
It's down to 1,1191 votes. At this point, the GOP voter suppression may decide the race (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #59
bagger supperssion is why this and the gov race are close kydo Nov 2013 #62
What kind of number is that? longship Nov 2013 #67
Eleventy hundred, silly... /nt demwing Nov 2013 #82
dem gov will keep him inline Liberal_in_LA Nov 2013 #61
7 precincts unreported. 7,400+ behind. We're going to lose this one. longship Nov 2013 #65
1,589 vote margin at last count (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #66
Not according to VA dept of elections. eom longship Nov 2013 #68
Down to around 900. The Democrat seems to be picking up a huge amount bluestate10 Nov 2013 #69
The margin is down to 928 votes!!! (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #70
Nope. My posts come from VA Dept of Elections. longship Nov 2013 #71
Here's one... Gravitycollapse Nov 2013 #73
928 at 99%. Thanks for that. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #79
I'm looking at msnbc kydo Nov 2013 #74
The MSNBC ticker is further ahead than the VA Board of Election. I am doing the quick math StevieM Nov 2013 #78
It is down to 778 votes at last count (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #75
800 difference out of 2 million + votes cast? demwing Nov 2013 #77
And a lot of furor over the GOP voter suppression tactics (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #80
99% in kydo Nov 2013 #76
Cite # of precincts left. I have it as 8. longship Nov 2013 #81
2533 of 2541 Precincts Reporting - 99% kydo Nov 2013 #83
Times Dispatch has those #s with 8 outstanding. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #84
The website is showing 7 pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #85
State link BumRushDaShow Nov 2013 #87
That's the one I'm looking at pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #89
Yup BumRushDaShow Nov 2013 #90
Good idea, thanks. I checked the 7 precincts remaining: pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #94
Percent precincts mean nothing now. How many is what counts. nt longship Nov 2013 #86
SBOE says 7 left and 4 of those seem to be Democratic urban areas Neurotica Nov 2013 #88
778 votes behind, 8 precincts left. A squeaker!! nt longship Nov 2013 #91
That's a lot better than 25,000... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #92
I don't get it. The VA site says R ahead by 7,459 votes with 7 pcts not reported. longship Nov 2013 #93
The VA site is behind Robbins Nov 2013 #95
By # of pcts, the VA site is ahead! longship Nov 2013 #97
This link has been updating... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #98
Who knows... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #96
They may be including the latest absentee ballot counts pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #107
the media calls the precincts themselves CreekDog Nov 2013 #127
My last count (via MSNBC ticker) is a 1,164 vote margin (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #99
Same... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #101
Times-Dispatch reports 1,164 votes with 7 pcts unreported. longship Nov 2013 #100
well Robbins Nov 2013 #102
*** Warren DeMontague Nov 2013 #104
Still hope!! RandySF Nov 2013 #103
I see Robbins Nov 2013 #105
last spread I saw was 778 votes chillfactor Nov 2013 #106
It is well within recount territory now nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #108
Welcome, Nadine. Looks like a squeaker. longship Nov 2013 #111
The state at times is behind in releasing the raw data nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #112
Of remaining precincts, 4 are in blue areas, 3 in red pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #113
5 remaining. Last 2 Norfolk in. Chan790 Nov 2013 #116
Those last Norfolk precincts were not blue enough. YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #117
welcome to DU gopiscrap Nov 2013 #120
I think some of Roanoke is still out. The oustanding vote definitely favors Herring. StevieM Nov 2013 #122
Is it? YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #132
The numbers/precinct info keeps changing, it is hard to say. But more good info just came in. StevieM Nov 2013 #137
Latest vote count is a 153 vote margin, not incuding the vote adjustments from mis-reporting StevieM Nov 2013 #139
VA law has no automatic recount. The loser of less than 1% must request one. Gravitycollapse Nov 2013 #114
That latest count has the margin at 820 votes (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #109
Via huff post nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #110
820 votes difference. 5 pcts unreported. longship Nov 2013 #115
Projects to a 1038 vote deficit YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #121
Actually, Obama beat Romney 6456 to 5000 in those 5 precincts StevieM Nov 2013 #125
Ah. Please shred my projections, then. YoDaddyWags Nov 2013 #140
Welcome to DU!! I think that the voter turnout is lower but it should still net him at least StevieM Nov 2013 #152
Potentially big news!! There may have been a reporting error in Loudon County!! StevieM Nov 2013 #118
I can't figure out if this is 600 uncounted votes or a 1,200 swing. longship Nov 2013 #129
It is a 610 vote pickup. There may be another mis-reporting event that cost Obenshain 200 votes, but StevieM Nov 2013 #134
So, with that news, where we now stand is... StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #131
Down to 153 votes... PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #128
where are you getting the feed? grasswire Nov 2013 #133
here are good sources. Chan790 Nov 2013 #138
Good twitter feed. Thanks. ..nt TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #150
Here at the top of the page... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #141
And that is not including the vote corrections (eom) StevieM Nov 2013 #142
How many precincts left to report? longship Nov 2013 #145
Still 5 per Times-Dispatch. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #148
Times-Dispatch has not updated for a while. longship Nov 2013 #153
5 per AP as well. Chan790 Nov 2013 #156
Yeah! When I saw that DU post, I kind of figured that. longship Nov 2013 #159
I think that puts Herring up by 264. StevieM Nov 2013 #147
Everyone will have to wait for the recount... n/t PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #149
Pretty much said as much above nadinbrzezinski Nov 2013 #154
Where are you getting this number? Please provide citation. longship Nov 2013 #155
5 precincts... PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #160
Best not to make absolute statements, particularly when data and information are limited. Zorra Nov 2013 #157
NEW THREAD: Looks like we may have WON the Virginia Attorney General race. Coyotl Nov 2013 #158
Edit: Obenshain now down 616. Chan790 Nov 2013 #161
you mean down... st17011864200074656 Nov 2013 #162
Yeah, i just corrected that. thanks. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #168
You mean Herring is now up 616. n/t PoliticAverse Nov 2013 #164
oops/ Chan790 Nov 2013 #165
Ha! I read it wrong too, lol. pinboy3niner Nov 2013 #169
No. Your post shows Herring ahead. TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #166
Yeah, i just corrected that. n/t Chan790 Nov 2013 #167
I agree. Let's move to another thread. longship Nov 2013 #163
But this is the best thread of the night! alcibiades_mystery Nov 2013 #170
Agreed... TeeYiYi Nov 2013 #172
LOL, good move, longship. Well played. n/t StrictlyRockers Nov 2013 #171
Somebody kick both and grab a screenshot... (nt) Recursion Nov 2013 #177
That would be childish itsrobert Nov 2013 #179

longship

(40,416 posts)
3. 120 precincts left to report.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:05 PM
Nov 2013

Obenshain has over 50% (not a good sign).
25,000 votes difference. It's close, but with only 120 precincts left, it is not reasonable to say the Dem has much of a chance.

Those are my credentials. The numbers speak for themselves.

from the VA official results page.

StrictlyRockers

(3,934 posts)
119. Remind me to never listen to longship when it comes to predicting election results.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:03 AM
Nov 2013

OP could not be much more wrongery.

longship

(40,416 posts)
8. Sorry. Typo on my post. Will fix.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:14 PM
Nov 2013

I'm on an iPhone. Forgive me.

The Republican is still going to win this one, I'm afraid.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
10. It's getting closer
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:15 PM
Nov 2013

the more Norhtern Virginia comes In.I wonder if this race could go to recount.

longship

(40,416 posts)
12. Sorry to pop your balloon, but we're going to lose this one.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:20 PM
Nov 2013

There are not enough uncounted votes left to bring it close, let alone win. Remember the uncounted votes will not be all for the Democrat.

Sorry, to bring you bad news. It's just not close enough.

I hope I'm wrong.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
14. Then so be It
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:21 PM
Nov 2013

With democratic areas not all In and a 1 point margain that's not a crazy thought.

TeeYiYi

(8,028 posts)
16. Still 50 precincts to report...
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:23 PM
Nov 2013

Anything's possible.

Maybe you'll get your recount.

TYY

longship

(40,416 posts)
18. It's not about the percentage, it's about the vote margin.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:26 PM
Nov 2013

The Dem is behind by 18,000 votes. There are not enough votes to make up the difference, and the Republican is going to get some of them.

Plus, Obenshain (R) has over 50%.

This looks like a loss to me.

Response to longship (Reply #18)

longship

(40,416 posts)
126. Back off. It's tightened up. And there's an anomaly in one of the counties that favors Herring.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:13 AM
Nov 2013

It was not looking good when I posted the OP. things have changed, remarkably.

So shoot me.

Response to longship (Reply #126)

StrictlyRockers

(3,934 posts)
135. Hey, back off! He's the boy who cried "Wolf!" Give him a break.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:22 AM
Nov 2013

He couldn't help it if he was insistently wrong over, and over and over again.

Could he?

longship

(40,416 posts)
174. Says the person who jumped into the thread at 1:22 am.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 04:02 AM
Nov 2013

I started the thread at 10PM when things were looking grim.

You people who were Johnny come lately and started throwing chairs around the room are not appreciated very much.

This thread is a discussion which evolved over hours before some decided to what I can only call disrupt. It was friendly, and we all got caught up in the excitement as an apparent loss turned into a probable victory.

Unfortunately, there are those here on DU who always have to be right. When they disagree, they don't reason, they throw chairs.

I am not afraid to be wrong. I am glad that I was wrong here. That you missed out on the excitement of this thread as loss turned into victory, I am sorry. I wish you would have joined earlier. Then, maybe you would not be so disappointed. Or so rude.

longship

(40,416 posts)
175. Okay! Are you going to self-delete, too?
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 04:24 AM
Nov 2013

The other disrupters have.

Again, this thread evolved over hours, something of which you apparently are not aware (other than the time stamps on the posts). This thread tells a story about possible victory out of the doldrums of failure.

But you jump in after things have turned around and start screaming "you were wrong!!!!!"

Too bad you did not join the conversation at 10PM.

And too bad that you, too, choose to be rude.

StrictlyRockers

(3,934 posts)
176. You're hilarious.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 04:46 AM
Nov 2013

This is easily the best thread of the night. No, I'm not self-deleting. And yes, you're right, you were very wrong to be so certain, over and over and over, that we lost this race. I can tell it stings.

And BTW, your 1:00 AM is my 10:00 PM.

I'm ready to make a prediction. When you wake up tomorrow morning you will find that you were even more wrongish than before. Our dude is going to win this AG race. You're the one who painted yourself into a corner by stating over and over and over that you were sure he was going to lose.

I know we are both very glad that you were wrong. And, I am not trying to rub it in. Myself, and some others maybe just find it curious and amusing that you were and are so intent on defending your wrongocity. Please, proceed. snicker

renegade000

(2,301 posts)
17. not entirely lost yet
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:25 PM
Nov 2013

All absentee ballots are considered a single "precinct" within a county, and those are still outstanding for some large NoVA counties....

renegade000

(2,301 posts)
64. actually, fairfax absentee numbers appear to be updating
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:26 AM
Nov 2013

guess they report partial results...

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
15. What are the recount rules in VA?
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:22 PM
Nov 2013

Looks like only about 19,000 votes now with almost 2% left to count.

It does look like we lost this one, but it pretty close.

StrayKat

(570 posts)
20. It can be contested if the margin is within 1% of all votes.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:28 PM
Nov 2013

Last edited Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:47 AM - Edit history (1)

Edited to add quotation from State Board of Elections :

In Virginia, there are no automatic recounts. Only an apparent losing candidate can ask for a recount, and only if the difference between the apparent winning candidate and that apparent losing candidates is not more than one percent (1%) of the total votes cast for those two candidates. (A law change effective 7/1/2009 allows a recount to be requested if the difference is not more than five percent (5%) of the total votes cast for those two candidates if one of those candidates was a write-in candidate for that office). (§ 24.2-800, Code of Virginia)

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
24. This is going to be within 1%.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:31 PM
Nov 2013

With over 2 million votes so 1% will be over 20,000 votes. The margin is smaller than that now and with mostly (D) precincts left to count it should stay well below that threshold.

 

Aerows

(39,961 posts)
19. A mouse could starve on the difference
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:27 PM
Nov 2013

wait until all have reported. This one is closer than a flea's profile.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
25. the math doesn't work
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:34 PM
Nov 2013

less than 2% left to count, so fewer than 40,000 votes out there (in round numbers).

a lead of around 18,000


the (D) needs something like 75% of the remaining votes to win

StrayKat

(570 posts)
23. Norfolk goes very blue, and they have 13 precincts still outstanding.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:30 PM
Nov 2013

It could still be possible to win.

NORFOLK CITY
Precincts Reporting: 37/50

Candidate Votes Percent
REP Party Mark D. Obenshain 9,517 30.29%
DEM Party Mark R. Herring 21,787 69.34%
Write-in 118 0.38%
Total Votes 31,422

http://electionresults.virginia.gov/resultsCTY.aspx?type=SWR&rid=169&osn=6&map=CTY

longship

(40,416 posts)
28. Well, that's why they haven't called it yet.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:39 PM
Nov 2013

But I just saw just 48 precincts left to report and Obenshain still has over 50%. Certainly Obenshain will get many of those votes. When your opponent is over 50, and there are very few precincts left, there is not much hope left.

The latest:
38 precincts left and Herring (D) has lost ground. Now 22,000 behind Obenshain (R).

Like I said.

longship

(40,416 posts)
32. Probably not close enough for a recount.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:41 PM
Nov 2013

You want it in the low thousands or hundreds of votes. 22,000 is too big for a recount. I think.

TeeYiYi

(8,028 posts)
36. 15,681 vote difference with 98.98% reporting and 26 precincts left.
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:46 PM
Nov 2013

Heading back in the right direction. Below 1% now, isn't it?

TYY

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
37. 1% = around 20,000 votes
Tue Nov 5, 2013, 11:49 PM
Nov 2013

so with about 1% left to count he needs almost all of them to win.

It looks like it will be close enough to recount, but it also looks like the first count is not going to go in our favor.

longship

(40,416 posts)
54. I doubt that there will be any recounts.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:17 AM
Nov 2013

It's not close enough and Obenshain has had a consistent majority for much of the night.

It is just not close enough in vote count and it would cost the state a lot of bucks to do it. Not going to happen.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
72. Sorry, you're wrong
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:40 AM
Nov 2013

There's no auto recount in VA, but the losing candidate can ask for a recount if the margin of difference is less than 1%.

As of now--11:37 pm--the difference is only 928 votes. That's .04%.

I'm pretty sure there will be a recount...

longship

(40,416 posts)
151. I posted that when the margin was a bit larger.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:36 AM
Nov 2013

So, those of you who have come into this thread late in the game and seem to be intent on throwing chairs here, are posting with incomplete information.

It is an exciting night for the VA AG race. It looked very bad when I started this thread, but we have all moved on since then.

Follow along, but please be nice.

Thanks.


Best regards.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
178. Was I "throwing chairs"?
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 07:55 AM
Nov 2013

Or being mean in some way?

You said "no way" to the recount at 11:17pm. At that time there were well over 2,000,000 votes cast. One candidate would have had to have received more than 20,000 more votes than his opponent to disallow a recount.

At 11:00pm, no one had the two anywhere that far apart.

 

Pretzel_Warrior

(8,361 posts)
144. How many times can a person be wrong in their own thread?
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:28 AM
Nov 2013

We may be about to find out.

Heheheh

longship

(40,416 posts)
146. Gees, I am more than willing to be wrong.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:31 AM
Nov 2013

There's nothing I would like than to be wrong about this race.

Are you willing to be less confrontational?

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
43. OMG...it looks like it is down to 1,337 votes!! We'll have to wait for the MSNBC ticker to come up
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:07 AM
Nov 2013

again for the AG race. But I am pretty sure that is what I saw.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
47. Your right
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:11 AM
Nov 2013

This Isn't being called till all votes are in.And even then there could be recount.

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
55. If the GOP wins, then it is because of their chicanery with disqualifying legitimate voters.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:18 AM
Nov 2013

40,000 of them, I believe, and they were estimated to favor the Democrats. This may be a stolen election, by voter suppression.

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
46. Aside from being right, what are your qualifications?
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:09 AM
Nov 2013

<joke>

Only 14 precincts out and about 12,00 votes behind.

Very, very close... but insurmountable.

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
49. I was very confused by your post until I checked inside and saw it was a joke
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:12 AM
Nov 2013

I don't have any qualifications....I just read what I saw on the MSNBC ticker.

Response to longship (Reply #50)

Response to CreekDog (Reply #124)

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
173. yes, I'll back down
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 03:25 AM
Nov 2013

and I'll delete my messages.

i have certainly made mistakes here before.

longship

(40,416 posts)
48. Just under 12,000 votes behind and 14 precincts uncounted.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:11 AM
Nov 2013

Sorry, DUers, that's not enough.

Obenshain still has over 50%. No matter what the difference, that's not good enough.

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
51. If you're reading the Virginia Board of Elections website, it is further behind than the networks..
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:13 AM
Nov 2013

They have us down by 1,357 votes at last count.

TeeYiYi

(8,028 posts)
52. 7061 on the website...
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:16 AM
Nov 2013

It must be updating slower than what they're showing on tv. (I don't have tv.)

Keep watching.

TYY

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
53. Per AP, Dem Mark Herring within 1,300 votes in #VAAG.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:16 AM
Nov 2013

Daily Kos Elections ‏@DKElections

Per AP, Dem Mark Herring within 1,300 votes in #VAAG. Was pessimistic and would love to be wrong.

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/397939037924634624


Rowdyboy

(22,057 posts)
60. Wouldn't be a real election without at least one recount....
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:22 AM
Nov 2013

I had given this one up for lost much earlier tonight so at least its possible....

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
59. It's down to 1,1191 votes. At this point, the GOP voter suppression may decide the race (eom)
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:21 AM
Nov 2013

kydo

(2,679 posts)
62. bagger supperssion is why this and the gov race are close
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:26 AM
Nov 2013

cooch went out of his way to help himself and his party steal this election.

longship

(40,416 posts)
65. 7 precincts unreported. 7,400+ behind. We're going to lose this one.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:30 AM
Nov 2013

Unless something crazy happens.

I hope it gets crazy crazy.

bluestate10

(10,942 posts)
69. Down to around 900. The Democrat seems to be picking up a huge amount
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:32 AM
Nov 2013

the vote that is being counted.

TeeYiYi

(8,028 posts)
79. 928 at 99%. Thanks for that.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:46 AM
Nov 2013

Virginia Board of Elections website has been slow to update.

TYY

kydo

(2,679 posts)
74. I'm looking at msnbc
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:40 AM
Nov 2013

and stevem's math is right. the va election site is slow. Its been that way most of the night

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
78. The MSNBC ticker is further ahead than the VA Board of Election. I am doing the quick math
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:45 AM
Nov 2013

to establish the vote margin, but they are putting up the vote totals.

pinboy3niner

(53,339 posts)
85. The website is showing 7
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:48 AM
Nov 2013

Precincts still out are mixed; some in places going heavily Cooch, some heavily McAuliffe.

On the Statewide results page, you can click on Local Results for the AG race to see which precincts are out and how the vote has gone in the other precincts in that district.

BumRushDaShow

(169,727 posts)
90. Yup
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:54 AM
Nov 2013

Wanted to post it in the thread since you mentioned it (I have had it and the governor one up too)!

pinboy3niner

(53,339 posts)
94. Good idea, thanks. I checked the 7 precincts remaining:
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:03 AM
Nov 2013

I've marked them BLUE or RED depending on how other princincts in those areas have voted in the AG race.

BEDFORD COUNTY - RED
Precincts Reporting: 31/32

MECKLENBURG COUNTY - RED
Precincts Reporting: 23/24

NORFOLK CITY - BLUE
Precincts Reporting: 48/50

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY - BLUE
Precincts Reporting: 77/78

ROANOKE CITY - BLUE
Precincts Reporting: 32/33

ROCKINGHAM COUNTY - RED
Precincts Reporting: 29/30



longship

(40,416 posts)
93. I don't get it. The VA site says R ahead by 7,459 votes with 7 pcts not reported.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:02 AM
Nov 2013

Where are the news media getting their numbers?

TeeYiYi

(8,028 posts)
96. Who knows...
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:05 AM
Nov 2013

Probably the same place Christie got his votes. It's a mystery.

I just hope the news media is correct. I don't have tv so I'm following the VA site and DU.

TYY

pinboy3niner

(53,339 posts)
107. They may be including the latest absentee ballot counts
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:26 AM
Nov 2013

It doesn't look like the state website has added them yet. That may account for some reports of more votes reported, but from the same number or fewer precincts, than what is reported at the state website.

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
127. the media calls the precincts themselves
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:15 AM
Nov 2013

and tallies before the state elections board has compiled all the #'s.

that's why the state lags the media.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
102. well
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:21 AM
Nov 2013

If republican has picked up again then unfortuntly It may be over and we lost the AG race although possable a recount could
happen.

RandySF

(84,260 posts)
103. Still hope!!
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:22 AM
Nov 2013

Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 2m
Final Bedford Co. precinct reports in, Obenshain (R) lead expands from 778 to 1,184. But other remainders less favorable.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict

chillfactor

(7,694 posts)
106. last spread I saw was 778 votes
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:24 AM
Nov 2013

Herring definetly wining absentee voting count..so do NOT throw the towel in yet.....

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
108. It is well within recount territory now
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:32 AM
Nov 2013

0.21%

In California that triggers an automatic recount. Virginia residents how about your state?

longship

(40,416 posts)
111. Welcome, Nadine. Looks like a squeaker.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:38 AM
Nov 2013

Might take a while. The news media seems to have different numbers than the official VA site. We've got about 1,100 vote difference with 7 precincts left to report -- apparently all in blue territory.

The VA site has divergent data.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
112. The state at times is behind in releasing the raw data
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:42 AM
Nov 2013

On their website. Media war rooms have a link straight to the raw data. I expect a recount at this point. Whoever is behind at 100% would be an idiot to concede

pinboy3niner

(53,339 posts)
113. Of remaining precincts, 4 are in blue areas, 3 in red
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:42 AM
Nov 2013

Based on how the other precincts in those areas voted in the AG race. See #94.

YoDaddyWags

(4 posts)
117. Those last Norfolk precincts were not blue enough.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:54 AM
Nov 2013

Came in at 62-38, when the rest of the county had been 70-30.

YoDaddyWags

(4 posts)
132. Is it?
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:19 AM
Nov 2013

AP has Roanoke all in; still out, single precincts in Mecklenburg, Rockbridge and Rockingham (red), and Newport News and Prince William (blue). H. would have to outdo his countywide numbers in the two blues to have a shot at closing the gap, if the AP is correct.

Of course, the absentees may make this nailbiting moot.

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
137. The numbers/precinct info keeps changing, it is hard to say. But more good info just came in.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:24 AM
Nov 2013

See my new post at the bottom of the thread (that I am about to put up).

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
110. Via huff post
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:37 AM
Nov 2013

This is going to recount (my opinion, no candidate concedes this close)

Virginia Attorney General
Mark Herring and Mark Obenshain, both state senators, are competing in what is expected to be the closest of Virginia's three statewide races.

Mark Obenshain 1,096,746 50.0%
Mark Herring 1,095,926 50.0%
99% reporting

longship

(40,416 posts)
115. 820 votes difference. 5 pcts unreported.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:43 AM
Nov 2013

Now the percent precincts is irrelevant. Please report the actual number of precincts. They'll all be 99%. We need to know how many are left.

YoDaddyWags

(4 posts)
121. Projects to a 1038 vote deficit
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:08 AM
Nov 2013

. . . If the remaining five precincts come in at the same percentages as the rest of their counties. H. Looks to pick up 180 votes in Newport and 99 in Prince William; O. looks to add 55 in Mecklenburg, 80 in Rockbridge and 362 in Rockingham.

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
152. Welcome to DU!! I think that the voter turnout is lower but it should still net him at least
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:37 AM
Nov 2013

an additional 800 votes.

longship

(40,416 posts)
129. I can't figure out if this is 600 uncounted votes or a 1,200 swing.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:17 AM
Nov 2013

The former would bring Herring within 200 votes; the latter would give Herring the lead.

I think this puppy is going to end up in court.

What say you, DUers?

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
134. It is a 610 vote pickup. There may be another mis-reporting event that cost Obenshain 200 votes, but
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:21 AM
Nov 2013

overall it is still a pickup. And the outstanding precincts went for Obama over Romney 6456 to 5000.

StrictlyRockers

(3,934 posts)
131. So, with that news, where we now stand is...
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:19 AM
Nov 2013

Taniel ‏@Taniel 5m
The situation, as described by @redistrict: 5 precincts remain. Obama carried them by 1456 votes. Herring needs to net 208 votes out of them
Retweeted by Dave Wasserman


https://twitter.com/Redistrict

longship

(40,416 posts)
145. How many precincts left to report?
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:29 AM
Nov 2013

And please cite your source.

We've got some some flyin' to do here, so let's get things on the hump.


This is exciting.

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
156. 5 per AP as well.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:43 AM
Nov 2013

I'm guessing that everybody's source is AP and AP is not updating while they review their records to make sure there are no more transcription errors.

longship

(40,416 posts)
159. Yeah! When I saw that DU post, I kind of figured that.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:46 AM
Nov 2013

They'll not likely update things until they get things resolved. Too bad.

StevieM

(10,578 posts)
147. I think that puts Herring up by 264.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:32 AM
Nov 2013

I think Herring picks up 610 from the Loudon vote adjustment, drops 193 from Buchanan County and that ads up to +264 for Herring. In the meantime, MSNBC seems to be trying to figure this all out--they have taken the VA AG race off their ticker.

longship

(40,416 posts)
155. Where are you getting this number? Please provide citation.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:42 AM
Nov 2013

Many thanks. Also, how many precincts are left to report?


Zorra

(27,670 posts)
157. Best not to make absolute statements, particularly when data and information are limited.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:43 AM
Nov 2013

It's simply not sound science.



Go Herring!

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
161. Edit: Obenshain now down 616.
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:47 AM
Nov 2013

Virginia - 2537 of 2541 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Herring, Mark Dem 1,098,388 50%
Obenshain, Mark GOP 1,097,772 50%

Margin: 616

http://www.timesdispatch.com/news/state-regional/

TeeYiYi

(8,028 posts)
172. Agreed...
Wed Nov 6, 2013, 03:08 AM
Nov 2013

It shows the play by play drama of a photo finish race. From 25,000 down to real potential for a Dem sweep!

This thread rocks!

TYY

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