General Discussion

CK_John

(10,005 posts) Thu Nov 7, 2013, 06:37 PM Nov 2013

Pre election polls of likely voters prove....we're freakin liars.

So we need them quoted over and over here on DU, NOT.

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Pre election polls of likely voters prove....we're freakin liars. (Original Post) CK_John Nov 2013 OP

I think with regards to VA, if you look at long term polling trends the Gov. results were pretty Warren DeMontague Nov 2013 #1

You mean the closer to the actual vote people lie more. I agree. CK_John Nov 2013 #2

Maybe, but I'm just talking about the specific trends in that race. Warren DeMontague Nov 2013 #3

So the more unsavory the candidate the more outliers we get, Voters don't what to admit CK_John Nov 2013 #4

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)

1. I think with regards to VA, if you look at long term polling trends the Gov. results were pretty

Reply to CK_John (Original post)

Thu Nov 7, 2013, 07:07 PM

Nov 2013

consistent.

It was only in the last week or so that the polls were predicting a larger Mcaullife blowout.

CK_John

(10,005 posts)

2. You mean the closer to the actual vote people lie more. I agree.

Reply to Warren DeMontague (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 7, 2013, 07:15 PM

Nov 2013

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)

3. Maybe, but I'm just talking about the specific trends in that race.

Reply to CK_John (Reply #2)

Thu Nov 7, 2013, 07:16 PM

Nov 2013

I think in some other races, pre-election polls have been more accurate. There's a graph on the NY Times of the VA gov race polls, it shows pretty clearly that the numbers from a week or two ago were outliers.

CK_John

(10,005 posts)

4. So the more unsavory the candidate the more outliers we get, Voters don't what to admit

Reply to Warren DeMontague (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 7, 2013, 07:40 PM

Nov 2013

they are voting for a creep, so we need a creep index.

I think we should not get so obsessive here on DU about polls.

Reply to this discussion