Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

arely staircase

(12,482 posts)
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 01:48 PM Jan 2014

Clinton has largest recorded early primary lead in at least 30 years.

Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a commanding 6 to 1 lead over other Democrats heading into the 2016 presidential campaign, while the Republican field is deeply divided with no clear front-runner, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Clinton trounces her potential primary rivals with 73 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, reinforcing a narrative of inevitability around her nomination if she runs. Vice President Biden is second with 12 percent, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) is third with 8 percent.For 2016, Hillary Clinton has commanding lead over Democrats, GOP race wide open

Although Clinton’s favorability rating has fallen since she stepped down as secretary of state a year ago, she has broad Democratic support across ideological, gender, ethnic and class lines. Her lead is the largest recorded in an early primary matchup in at least 30 years of Post-ABC polling.

http://m.washingtonpost.com/politics/for-2016-hillary-clinton-has-commanding-lead-over-democrats-gop-race-wide-open/2014/01/29/188bb3f4-8904-11e3-833c-33098f9e5267_story.html

Damn she is kicking some ass.

39 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Clinton has largest recorded early primary lead in at least 30 years. (Original Post) arely staircase Jan 2014 OP
She's got NOTHING yet the primary is two years away it's just a stupid poll bigdarryl Jan 2014 #1
30 years arely staircase Jan 2014 #2
She will be the next president Gman Jan 2014 #3
she was a clear front runner with 39% in a CNN poll in early February 2006 magical thyme Jan 2014 #4
she has almost twice that now arely staircase Jan 2014 #5
and when Barack Obama showed up, he started with 15% in their 1st poll magical thyme Jan 2014 #10
Who do you think is going to show up and challenge her with these numbers? grantcart Jan 2014 #26
I have no idea. But early front runners are not shoo-ins. magical thyme Jan 2014 #30
FFS, I hope she does not run, we need a real liberal! nt Logical Jan 2014 #6
she sure is popular with democrats nt arely staircase Jan 2014 #7
Did they have time to poll non-millionaires? closeupready Jan 2014 #8
democrats. they polled democrats nt arely staircase Jan 2014 #9
With her support of non-liberal policies, I suspect.... Armstead Jan 2014 #11
I'm sure he would have done just that LordGlenconner Jan 2014 #13
Since she voted for the Iraq War, yiour argunment doesn't hold much weight Armstead Jan 2014 #29
what exactly did the Clintons do arely staircase Jan 2014 #34
"Free Trade"....Deregulation....Welfare Deform....Corporate Health Care "Reform" Armstead Jan 2014 #36
Great! Now we can skip the election. nt nyquil_man Jan 2014 #12
no the election will be awesome arely staircase Jan 2014 #14
Why waste all that money on primaries when it's a done deal? nyquil_man Jan 2014 #16
Open the Pod Bay doors, Hal Fumesucker Jan 2014 #15
we are the 8 percent! 1! arely staircase Jan 2014 #28
Hal, no shit, I'm asking nice, open the damn Pod Bay doors man Fumesucker Jan 2014 #33
I hope some strong contenders emerge elfin Jan 2014 #17
if one does and wins arely staircase Jan 2014 #35
"Damn she is kicking some ass." Wilms Jan 2014 #18
not a fan of the next president I see arely staircase Jan 2014 #20
Or possibly, simply not a fan of prophecy... LanternWaste Jan 2014 #32
Nice, I can't remember a candidate having such a huge lead in a contested primary hughee99 Jan 2014 #19
her lead was roughly half what she has now arely staircase Jan 2014 #21
That's not how apples and oranges works. hughee99 Jan 2014 #23
Actually, her lead over Obama when he first entered the race was about 15 points. StevieM Jan 2014 #37
Yes. She's always the inevitable candidate, never the candidate. closeupready Jan 2014 #22
30 years of polling nt arely staircase Jan 2014 #25
the harder they fall n/t reddread Jan 2014 #24
ah, yes, the "inevitability" meme appears once again. Add "1" to the meme counter. nt antigop Jan 2014 #27
TRANSLATION: Thanks to Chris "Governor Soprano" Christie's Bridge(t)-Gate rocktivity Jan 2014 #31
Christie has done a lot more wrong than just bridge-gate. He's basically a thug (eom) StevieM Jan 2014 #38
I nicknamed him "Governor Soprano" years ago. rocktivity Jan 2014 #39

Gman

(24,780 posts)
3. She will be the next president
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 01:59 PM
Jan 2014

This harkens back to 1984 when there was no question Walter Mondale would get the nomination. Many groups, just like the folks here pushed, back against that kind of inevitability. The AFL CIO pledged after that election never to endorse someone before the primaries were over again. Many of us in labor liked Gary Hart but our hands became tied.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
4. she was a clear front runner with 39% in a CNN poll in early February 2006
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:01 PM
Jan 2014

Barack Obama didn't show up in the CNN poll until late October 2006.

arely staircase

(12,482 posts)
5. she has almost twice that now
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:03 PM
Jan 2014

Hasn't been a candidate so popular with her party's base in more than a generation.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
10. and when Barack Obama showed up, he started with 15% in their 1st poll
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:07 PM
Jan 2014

in a huge field.

Nothing to say another Barack Obama won't appear and immediately turn it into a contest.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
30. I have no idea. But early front runners are not shoo-ins.
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 03:03 PM
Jan 2014

She was the front-runner before, and a dark horse appeared "out of nowhere."

It happened before and it could happen again. It all depends on the 1% wars, imo.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
11. With her support of non-liberal policies, I suspect....
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:09 PM
Jan 2014

The former president depicted in your icon would have brought her into his famous woodshed

 

LordGlenconner

(1,348 posts)
13. I'm sure he would have done just that
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:15 PM
Jan 2014

Right after he got done escalating the war in Vietnam.

And frankly, our 60s era campus activists of the time would be taking all of us to the woodshed for completely ignoring the other not so nice things Johnson did while in office.



 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
29. Since she voted for the Iraq War, yiour argunment doesn't hold much weight
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:43 PM
Jan 2014

Yes, Johnson did a lot of not nice things, but on balance he advanced a liberal agenda that did much more good on balance.

However, Clintons did a lot to reverse the progress LBJ made.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
36. "Free Trade"....Deregulation....Welfare Deform....Corporate Health Care "Reform"
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 05:49 PM
Jan 2014

They basically led the charge to push the Democratic Party to the right and into the hands of Wall St.

nyquil_man

(1,443 posts)
16. Why waste all that money on primaries when it's a done deal?
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:19 PM
Jan 2014

Let's just declare her the nominee right now!

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
33. Hal, no shit, I'm asking nice, open the damn Pod Bay doors man
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 04:12 PM
Jan 2014

This monolith has a strange inevitability about it, I can't shake the feeling I've seen it before.

It's a feeling of DejaMoo.

Somewhere I've heard this bull before.


elfin

(6,262 posts)
17. I hope some strong contenders emerge
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:20 PM
Jan 2014

I would welcome her Presidency, albeit with reservations of her corporatist slant.

However, if something godawful should happen to her between now and then, we could be screwn.

Adore Joe, but age and past health crises would be very real problems.

I think it is too early for Warren, plus I think she is now in the right place at the right time.

We need more younger, energetic, experienced Progressives with national recognition on our bench.

May still be too early for the Castro guys, but I yearn for more national exposure for them.

arely staircase

(12,482 posts)
35. if one does and wins
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 05:46 PM
Jan 2014

they will be called sell out corporatists here before their hand comes off the Bible.

hughee99

(16,113 posts)
19. Nice, I can't remember a candidate having such a huge lead in a contested primary
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:23 PM
Jan 2014

since 2008. The plan to "clear the field" well in advance didn't go well then, I'm not convinced it will work this time either.

hughee99

(16,113 posts)
23. That's not how apples and oranges works.
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:32 PM
Jan 2014

This is an oranges / bigger oranges comparison.... and I'm still not sold on the idea that the size of your orange is a great indicator of anything this far away from the election.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
37. Actually, her lead over Obama when he first entered the race was about 15 points.
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 05:55 PM
Jan 2014

She was polling in the mid-30s, he was polling at about 20 percent. That is a significantly lesser advantage than the one that George Bush or Al Gore had in 1999-2000, or than Bob Dole had in 1995-1996. She did well over the first 9 months and by the fall of 2007 her lead was about 25 points.

Her current lead is 55-60 points. That is much more than Bush, Gore or Dole had.

I think that the race for the nomination will be between Clinton and former Montana governor Brian Schweitzer. I think that Biden, Warren and O'Malley will sit it out.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
22. Yes. She's always the inevitable candidate, never the candidate.
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 02:28 PM
Jan 2014

Always the bridesmaid, never the bride, lol.

rocktivity

(44,572 posts)
31. TRANSLATION: Thanks to Chris "Governor Soprano" Christie's Bridge(t)-Gate
Thu Jan 30, 2014, 03:58 PM
Jan 2014

The 2016 GOP presidential candidate field is the poorest in 30 years.


rocktivity

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Clinton has largest recor...