New poll shows Graham below 50 percent needed to avoid runoff

[Jesus Malverde]

Sen. Lindsey Graham leads his nearest Republican challenger by 28 percentage points, according to a new poll from Wenzel strategies.

But the poll -- paid for and released Thursday by the campaign of state Sen. Lee Bright, one of four Republicans vying to unseat Graham in June's primary -- shows Graham did not get more than 50 percent of the vote, which he would need to avoid a runoff election. That's important because, with a crowded Republican primary field, the only way a challenger has a chance is to get into a runoff.

More than 22 percent of those polled were undecided.

Read more here: http://www.thestate.com/2014/02/06/3248426/election-2014-new-poll-shows-graham.html#storylink=cpy

[Mass]

1. Wenzell Stategies - This is good news for Graham..

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/265355-gop-pollster-romney-up-in-ohio-closing-in-wisconsin

Their results in 2012 was terrible, so the only thing interesting is that an internal poll leaked by the campaign be taken seriously.

[DonViejo]

2. If the election were held today...

that 22% undecided would break for Lindsey the same as this poll shows him currently winning by, 45 percent. IOW, 45% of the 22% (approximately 5.6%) would vote for Graham; giving Lindsey about 50.6% of the total vote.