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RandySF

(83,494 posts) Tue Mar 20, 2012, 05:11 PM Mar 2012

RUMOR: First wave of IL exits put Romney up by 4.

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Sunday polls had Romney up 15% on Santorum Exit pols have Romney up 4%. #

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RUMOR: First wave of IL exits put Romney up by 4. (Original Post) RandySF Mar 2012 OP

Probably not good for Romney, actually. TheWraith Mar 2012 #1

if that's true Romney is utterly failing. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #2

CNN's exit poll shows worse for Santorum. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #3

TheWraith

(24,331 posts)

1. Probably not good for Romney, actually.

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Mar 20, 2012, 05:15 PM

Mar 2012

He always does best in the first wave, and worse subsequently as more and more of the blue collar voters get out of work, since they seem to go for Santorum.

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)

2. if that's true Romney is utterly failing.

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Mar 20, 2012, 05:22 PM

Mar 2012

Which would be par the course for Mitt Romney of course.

Also if that is true Gingrich has likely collapsed.

I found the exit poll they are referring too, it's a private exit poll that does not do a final wave but has been fairly decent in recent contest, and have actually OVERSTATED Romney support in the last few while understating Santo.

From what iv heard Turnout was low which If this is accurate really helped the Froth.

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)

3. CNN's exit poll shows worse for Santorum.

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Mar 20, 2012, 05:53 PM

Mar 2012

Though I have a hard time believing some of these numbers.

Apparently the electorate is 71% suburban and only 11% rural.

And immigration is apparently a top concern (HUH?)

and 37% make over 100 thousand a year. (though that may drop as working class voters tend to vote late)

but Turnout is apparently extremely low making this very volatile.

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