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edhopper

(37,370 posts)
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:07 AM Mar 2014

What do we do if Russia invades Ukraine?

I am not sure what our response should be. On the one hand i don't think we can sit by and let Russia invade and occupy another sovereign country (yeah I know our track record is poor on this one).
But I don't think we should start WWIII. But I also think Putin fully intends to install a pro-Russian government in the Ukraine.
It is a very narrow diplomatic tightrope we walk.
What do you think Obama's response should be.

110 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What do we do if Russia invades Ukraine? (Original Post) edhopper Mar 2014 OP
"i don't think we can sit by and let Russia invade and occupy" jberryhill Mar 2014 #1
The United States. edhopper Mar 2014 #3
They in Russia are, I believe, Russians jberryhill Mar 2014 #110
But but but ...there are WMD's in the Ukraine. We don't want to wait for the mushroom cloud. L0oniX Mar 2014 #42
Probably not much. Adrahil Mar 2014 #2
Your post is spot on 30cal Mar 2014 #92
Same as we did in the last Administration: invade Iraq, of course! randome Mar 2014 #4
Best response ever, randome! Glorfindel Mar 2014 #10
Or Afghanistan. Russians had already been there, done that, got the Go Home T-shirt. libdem4life Mar 2014 #61
Absolutely.... no1uno Mar 2014 #101
A mild public rebuke. Let Russia get bogged down all by itself. Glorfindel Mar 2014 #5
Except Russia has not been handling the situation. randome Mar 2014 #13
So that treaty we signed in '94 is meaningless? Adrahil Mar 2014 #64
There will be no "bogged down." Igel Mar 2014 #86
You're right, of course...Ukraine is not Afghanistan Glorfindel Mar 2014 #103
Same as they did when we invaded Iraq and Afghanistan elehhhhna Mar 2014 #6
Good answer. libdem4life Mar 2014 #62
We will take Venezuela FarCenter Mar 2014 #7
No troops. Send in all of those "well regulated" militia's instead. JaneyVee Mar 2014 #8
Ted Nugent and Chuck Norris should be able to handle the situation fine by themselves. randome Mar 2014 #20
Blame Obama. earthside Mar 2014 #9
Oh, sweet Jesus, I hadn't even thought about that Nevernose Mar 2014 #27
They are doing that already. Mz Pip Mar 2014 #96
Nothing. This is Russia's step, not ours..n/t monmouth3 Mar 2014 #11
I don't know. We're going to have to leave that MineralMan Mar 2014 #12
Strongly worded disapproval. and that's it. cali Mar 2014 #14
The Ukraine only had 1 of the 1%. Did ya see that palace he lived in? L0oniX Mar 2014 #44
Stay the F out of it! tech3149 Mar 2014 #15
That was why I was terrified about the proposal at the time exboyfil Mar 2014 #79
Do? 1awake Mar 2014 #16
People who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. LisaL Mar 2014 #17
THIS is the main reason the UN was formed...they...NOT the US should respond. Drew Richards Mar 2014 #18
Russia has a seat on the security council and will veto any measure. If anything it will probably okaawhatever Mar 2014 #46
And why should he care about having NATO on his doorstep? randome Mar 2014 #51
No, the UN declining to take action does not mean it's "left to NATO". Scuba Mar 2014 #52
Who will it be left to then? nt okaawhatever Mar 2014 #65
The Ukranians. Scuba Mar 2014 #67
This is just idle speculation edhopper Mar 2014 #19
No B2G Mar 2014 #21
He spent $50 billion to make Sochi edhopper Mar 2014 #26
Clearly you didn't speak with athletes malaise Mar 2014 #32
You're wrong about Sochi. Despite the initial press feeding frenzy, the games Warren Stupidity Mar 2014 #34
He and his cronies stole most of that money. alarimer Mar 2014 #63
Animals roaming the halls of hotels? LisaL Mar 2014 #69
the wolf in the halls was nate night TV RedstDem Mar 2014 #84
And grain. Ukraine is the breadbasket over there; 3rd largest exporter of grain in the world. DebJ Mar 2014 #93
He's pretty embarrassed about the Ukraine situation, actually. TwilightGardener Mar 2014 #33
Okay edhopper Mar 2014 #39
Putin would be invading Canada. After all, they were the ones who took the "big one" okaawhatever Mar 2014 #47
LOL! Nnnnnnope. cherokeeprogressive Mar 2014 #81
There isn't much we can do. LuvNewcastle Mar 2014 #22
Nothing military but alot ecconomically and geopolitically PFunk Mar 2014 #23
Not a damn thing. HappyMe Mar 2014 #24
Russia has a seat on the security council. They can block just about any measures. It will okaawhatever Mar 2014 #48
Well, it does give Obama an opportunity to be the worst president in U.S. history, if he quinnox Mar 2014 #25
Agree...n/t KoKo Mar 2014 #107
We'll do two things. Lizzie Poppet Mar 2014 #28
True! A good bottle of 'Jack Daniels' goes a long way toward solving any problem! randome Mar 2014 #30
Not a damn thing seveneyes Mar 2014 #29
More thoughts: MineralMan Mar 2014 #31
The majority are not ethnically Russian. Only 17% are ethnically Russian. More than that speak okaawhatever Mar 2014 #49
The Crimea is part of Ukraine. MineralMan Mar 2014 #54
the Crimean penninsula was only made part of the Ukraine SSR in 1954 independentpiney Mar 2014 #73
Western Ukraine was absorbed after WW II FarCenter Mar 2014 #85
The areas you mention in your first two paragraphs Jenoch Mar 2014 #104
Rural areas and small villages may have been Ukranian FarCenter Mar 2014 #105
I was in Moldova in 1999 and the people I worked Jenoch Mar 2014 #106
Nothing. We are not the world police as hard as it is to Cleita Mar 2014 #35
"Cold War" ...don't make the NSA laugh. L0oniX Mar 2014 #38
I absolutely trust Putin to do the right thing Nevernose Mar 2014 #36
It's not up to us to do anything. Who made us the world police? L0oniX Mar 2014 #37
It's a grave threat to world peace that calls for an immediate weapons embargo or something jsr Mar 2014 #40
We could start by ceasing to try to push NATO to Putin's doorstep. Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #41
In the long-term, however, it's in everyone's best interests to have a more united world. randome Mar 2014 #43
I know of about 5 billion people that strongly disagree with that. Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #45
Oh, I agree we have no moral claim to anything outside our borders. randome Mar 2014 #50
I agree with your general point. Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #55
You may be more well-versed in the political realities than I am. randome Mar 2014 #66
If you idea is for the world to become more united mazzarro Mar 2014 #78
The veto powers should be eliminated, I agree. randome Mar 2014 #91
Democracy didn't win, our version of capitalism did over their state capitalism TheKentuckian Mar 2014 #77
But the best aspects of Democracy still inspire others. randome Mar 2014 #94
Thank our lucky stars George W. Bush is out of office. gulliver Mar 2014 #53
Nothing. Ukraine is clearly in their sphere of influence LittleBlue Mar 2014 #56
Withdraw all diplomatic personnel from Russia, for starters. alarimer Mar 2014 #57
Steal and hide Obama's comfortable cowboy boots. Tierra_y_Libertad Mar 2014 #58
Posture, whine, and not much else is my guess. bemildred Mar 2014 #59
Probably not much now elfin Mar 2014 #60
I call it the re-purposed Manifest Destiny now Global Manifest Destiny. That might be troubling libdem4life Mar 2014 #76
"and the Crimea is felt to be crucial to Russia's need for a warm water port." EX500rider Mar 2014 #82
The warm water port idea driving Russia elfin Mar 2014 #98
Strongly worded letter TheKentuckian Mar 2014 #68
What did we do in 2008 when Russia and Georgia fought over S. Ossetia & Abkhazia ? kenny blankenship Mar 2014 #70
My sentiments exactly exboyfil Mar 2014 #80
What can we do? nilesobek Mar 2014 #71
Give the Ukraine back its nuclear weapons that it gave up in kiranon Mar 2014 #100
Get with the other G8 members and skip summit, deny trade agreements that Russia has asked for davidn3600 Mar 2014 #72
I guess Putin is trying to get back the USSR Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2014 #74
Stay out of it. bigwillq Mar 2014 #75
Every time a conflict has appeared the last several years Jazzgirl Mar 2014 #83
I plan on buying lots of beer and popcorn. AAO Mar 2014 #87
Start the Cold War over again? enlightenment Mar 2014 #88
We get blamed for it all treestar Mar 2014 #89
If ? it's already happened 30cal Mar 2014 #90
Keep pushing the Swiss and other safe money states to freeze suspect accounts. msanthrope Mar 2014 #95
Reason with both parties to the full extent of our abilities and call for a ceasefire. another_liberal Mar 2014 #97
You do know Crimea is Ukraine don't you? DevonRex Mar 2014 #99
Nothing. Its none of our business. bowens43 Mar 2014 #102
Put every Russian in a torture camp? Arrest all war protesters as "terrorists"? Corruption Inc Mar 2014 #108
Party like it's 1999 postatomic Mar 2014 #109
 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
1. "i don't think we can sit by and let Russia invade and occupy"
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:11 AM
Mar 2014

Who is the "we" in that sentence?

They already occupy Russia. Why aren't you excited about that?

edhopper

(37,370 posts)
3. The United States.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:13 AM
Mar 2014

I am asking what people think the US or specifically Obama should do.

Who is "they" in Russia.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
110. They in Russia are, I believe, Russians
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:52 AM
Mar 2014

But yes of course, President Obama should put an end to all this nonsense.

 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
42. But but but ...there are WMD's in the Ukraine. We don't want to wait for the mushroom cloud.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:51 AM
Mar 2014
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
2. Probably not much.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:12 AM
Mar 2014

It's not a good place for us to try and fight a war. I would think we could cut off Russian trade. But becuase of Russian and Chinese veto power, the UN will do nothing. I suspect this will be South Ossetia 2.0. We'll be outraged, but Pootie will probably just annex the eastern part of Ukraine. To stop him, we'd have to be willing to risk a potentially catastrophic conflict. Putin knows it, and he's willing to pay a political price. He knows he won't have to pay military one.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
4. Same as we did in the last Administration: invade Iraq, of course!
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:13 AM
Mar 2014

Oh, wait, we don't have an idiot for a President anymore. Never mind.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]"There is a crack in everything. That's how the light gets in."
Leonard Cohen, Anthem (1992)
[/center][/font][hr]

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
61. Or Afghanistan. Russians had already been there, done that, got the Go Home T-shirt.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:32 PM
Mar 2014

Remember. We liberate and teach them about Western Culture. Others occupy and invade.

Glorfindel

(10,175 posts)
5. A mild public rebuke. Let Russia get bogged down all by itself.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:13 AM
Mar 2014

Ukraine is not our problem. Russia can handle its own problems just as France does in Africa. We have more than enough on our plate.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
13. Except Russia has not been handling the situation.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:16 AM
Mar 2014

Putin is allowing this to happen on his doorstep and if he steps in, it will be much too late. He's actually shown how weak Russia is today.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]"There is a crack in everything. That's how the light gets in."
Leonard Cohen, Anthem (1992)
[/center][/font][hr]

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
64. So that treaty we signed in '94 is meaningless?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:34 PM
Mar 2014

"errr sorry, Ukraine. We said that just to get you to give up the nukes. We didn't mean it, but good luck!"

Igel

(37,535 posts)
86. There will be no "bogged down."
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:15 PM
Mar 2014

Russia is not bogged down in Abkhazia or S. Ossetia.

If you can't own somebody, cripple them while getting what you can.

The Russians, for all the apparent similarities to what people say the US does, does it "right."

We invade Iraq and set up a government that's not particularly friendly. Same for Karzai in Afghanistan, where China will probably get most of the resources with a government mostly hostile to the US. We only *really* like US intervention when we can find no reason to accuse ourselves--Bosnia, for instance.

Russia invades and sets up puppet governments on a string. If the US did as Russia did, Karzai would have vanished by now. Al-Maliki wouldn't dare say much of what he says. We would have ignored Bosnia, except to send in Serbs to clean the place out in return for a puppet government in Serbia. Or we would have annexed Bosnia.

Some see no difference.

Glorfindel

(10,175 posts)
103. You're right, of course...Ukraine is not Afghanistan
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:10 PM
Mar 2014

All I can say is, thank God we didn't annex Bosnia.

 

elehhhhna

(32,076 posts)
6. Same as they did when we invaded Iraq and Afghanistan
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:15 AM
Mar 2014

fucking stay out of it

Ukraine's been in play politically since before the time of Ivan the Terrible (1500's). Not news.

Plus we don't like to fight white people. Bad optics.

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
8. No troops. Send in all of those "well regulated" militia's instead.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:15 AM
Mar 2014

Perhaps Ted Nugent, Bill Kristol, and Sarah Palin.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
20. Ted Nugent and Chuck Norris should be able to handle the situation fine by themselves.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:25 AM
Mar 2014



[hr][font color="blue"][center]A 90% chance of rain means the same as a 10% chance:
It might rain and it might not.
[/center][/font][hr]

earthside

(6,960 posts)
9. Blame Obama.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:15 AM
Mar 2014

That's what the Repuglicans and Tea Party types will do.

Putin will be excused; Yanukovych dismissed as irrelevant; etc.

We can expect things like: "Ukraine is the consequences of Obama's weakness in Benghazi."

So, be prepared.

Seriously, there isn't much of anything we (the U.S.) can or ought to do.
How the world and our country deals with Putin's more aggressive Russia is going to have to play-out over time.

Nevernose

(13,081 posts)
27. Oh, sweet Jesus, I hadn't even thought about that
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:34 AM
Mar 2014

I'm so glad I've given up everything but the local news. If it wasn't for the comments after online articles, I'd have no idea what the RW nut jobs were thinking anymore.

Mz Pip

(28,454 posts)
96. They are doing that already.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:42 PM
Mar 2014

Today I saw a post on Facebook quoting their darling, Sarah Palin saying if Obama was elected Putin would invade the Ukraine.

So all of this is Obama's fault in their narrow little minds. I doubt Putin is giving much thought to Obama right now.

MineralMan

(151,269 posts)
12. I don't know. We're going to have to leave that
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:16 AM
Mar 2014

to those who have the responsibility for it. It's very delicate.

However, if you know anybody who is a US citizen and is in Ukraine, I'd urge you to urge them to leave there at their earliest possible opportunity. The instability there is going to create violence.

It's not a safe place right now.

 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
44. The Ukraine only had 1 of the 1%. Did ya see that palace he lived in?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:54 AM
Mar 2014

I wonder how many Ukrainians are happy to see that greedy rip off out of power.

tech3149

(4,452 posts)
15. Stay the F out of it!
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:16 AM
Mar 2014

I find it interesting that pretty much all the Western media plays it up that just Russia is imposing influence in Ukraine. Nothing much is said about the original offer by the EU that would have not just opened up Ukraine economically but also included "security" aspects that would have effectively linked them to NATO.
You don't hear much about Victoria Nulands visit to support of the opposition, except her swearing in a phone call, no real discussion about the content or meaning of the call.

exboyfil

(18,359 posts)
79. That was why I was terrified about the proposal at the time
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:57 PM
Mar 2014

and still worried about our link with Poland. We really should have got out of NATO after the Cold War. We keep pushing on the bear, and the bear is going to push back. I am sorry for the people of the Ukraine, but there is not much we can do - perhaps fund an insurgent effort if things really get out of hand.

1awake

(1,494 posts)
16. Do?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:17 AM
Mar 2014

We send troops in or we don't. Since we won't, with very good reason, we will complain and make rude comments. We will try to sanction them in some way and then we will move on. Putin knows this. The best thing we can do besides.. you know, world war 3, is some form of economic sanctions.

While I don't like what Russia has done in the slightest, I cant bring myself to really blame them.

okaawhatever

(9,565 posts)
46. Russia has a seat on the security council and will veto any measure. If anything it will probably
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:02 PM
Mar 2014

be left to NATO. Oddly, one of Putin's biggest concerns was having NATO on his doorstep and didn't want Ukraine to join. While there was support for Ukraine to join NATO in the past, it was pretty much decided that Ukraine wouldn't join NATO but would be given some protection legally in the case of an invasion. If Putin doesn't chill he's going to end up with what he didn't want, NATO on his doorstep.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
51. And why should he care about having NATO on his doorstep?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:15 PM
Mar 2014

The Cold War is over. He should adopt the Gorbachev philosophy. Let the satellite countries to Russia decide their own fate and do what he can to mediate disputes. He has done a poor job on mediation so far.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Don't ever underestimate the long-term effects of a good night's sleep.[/center][/font][hr]

edhopper

(37,370 posts)
19. This is just idle speculation
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:25 AM
Mar 2014

but do you think part of Putin's aggressiveness is to overshadow his embarrassment over Sochi?

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
21. No
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:26 AM
Mar 2014

He's not 'embarrassed'. They kicked our asses in the medal count and the worst thing that happened was some journalists didn't like the accomodations.

This is about port and oil access.

edhopper

(37,370 posts)
26. He spent $50 billion to make Sochi
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:33 AM
Mar 2014

and international destination. All the press about the city was bad. It was embarrassing for Russia. And a failure for the city.

That is not to say you are wrong about his motivations in the Ukraine.

malaise

(296,098 posts)
32. Clearly you didn't speak with athletes
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:38 AM
Mar 2014

or visitors. Sochi was a massive success outside of the US press.

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
34. You're wrong about Sochi. Despite the initial press feeding frenzy, the games
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:39 AM
Mar 2014

were conducted quite well by any standard. By the second day or so, the idiocy about the hotels had stopped. There was no embarrassment outside of the initial nonsense fabricated by our media.

 

alarimer

(17,146 posts)
63. He and his cronies stole most of that money.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:34 PM
Mar 2014

It will NOT be an international destination, not with animals roaming the halls of hotels.

I had hoped it would be a bigger failure than it was. All the corruption was pretty much glossed over in the press.

LisaL

(47,423 posts)
69. Animals roaming the halls of hotels?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:41 PM
Mar 2014

If you are talking about the wolf, it was a hoax.
Most people don't fall for hoaxes like that.

DebJ

(7,699 posts)
93. And grain. Ukraine is the breadbasket over there; 3rd largest exporter of grain in the world.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:30 PM
Mar 2014

Russians need food from Ukraine; Ukraine needs oil from Russia.

TwilightGardener

(46,416 posts)
33. He's pretty embarrassed about the Ukraine situation, actually.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:39 AM
Mar 2014

He's angry about it. It wasn't supposed to happen this way.

okaawhatever

(9,565 posts)
47. Putin would be invading Canada. After all, they were the ones who took the "big one"
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:05 PM
Mar 2014

from him (ice hockey gold medal).

LuvNewcastle

(17,821 posts)
22. There isn't much we can do.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:28 AM
Mar 2014

A military response is out of the question. Isolating Russia economically is a bad idea, too, since our allies in Europe are dependent on Russian oil. I think our military and intel agencies might try to find a way to assist Ukrainians who want to stand up to Russia, but that's also dangerous. I think telling the world we disapprove is all we should do right now.

PFunk

(876 posts)
23. Nothing military but alot ecconomically and geopolitically
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:29 AM
Mar 2014

As in economic sanctions, cooling or Russian/US (and Russian/European) relations, and (of course) cries to increase US military spending.

In short once Russia invades the Cold War is back on (and Putin has to deal with Afghanistan 2.0).

okaawhatever

(9,565 posts)
48. Russia has a seat on the security council. They can block just about any measures. It will
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:07 PM
Mar 2014

likely fall on NATO, but I understand your point.

 

quinnox

(20,600 posts)
25. Well, it does give Obama an opportunity to be the worst president in U.S. history, if he
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:32 AM
Mar 2014

decided to take military action against Russia. Hopefully that won't happen, because I don't think Obama or his team is that dumb.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
30. True! A good bottle of 'Jack Daniels' goes a long way toward solving any problem!
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:38 AM
Mar 2014

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Aspire to inspire.[/center][/font][hr]

 

seveneyes

(4,631 posts)
29. Not a damn thing
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:36 AM
Mar 2014

And any American who wants to flex their muscles, they should go join the tire burning crowd and keep the US out of it.

MineralMan

(151,269 posts)
31. More thoughts:
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:38 AM
Mar 2014

Ukraine and Russia have been dealing with all of this for a very, very long time, even pre-Soviet era. Ukraine has lots of natural resources of value. Lots. It also is on the Black Sea, which has shipping and naval implications. Today, the majority population of Ukraine is ethnically and linguistically Russian.

This is a local conflict, really, and it's far from a new one. The US is not in a position of strength here, and doesn't have any particular insight into the situation, beyond what is obvious.

What we will do, no doubt, is apply some rhetoric and discuss this in the U.N. Beyond that, we'd be foolish to mess with the situation in other ways. It's not our problem to solve. Expect some violent confrontation in the area, some incursion by Russian forces, and considerable upheaval and unrest for some time to come. There's no quick or simple solution there.

We have no real business interfering in the situation, aside from diplomatically, so that's about all we will do, I'm sure.

okaawhatever

(9,565 posts)
49. The majority are not ethnically Russian. Only 17% are ethnically Russian. More than that speak
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:11 PM
Mar 2014

Russian as a first language, but many are bi-lingual. In the Crimea 58.5% are ethnically Russian but that doesn't necessarily equate to a situation where they would all vote to secede and join Russia. Even in the east where the majority of the Russian speakers live, they didn't have a majority of support for the EU but they didn't have a majority for the Russia trade deal either. Russia's only majority for the Russian trade union was in the South.

MineralMan

(151,269 posts)
54. The Crimea is part of Ukraine.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:22 PM
Mar 2014

Again, the complexities of that region are not something that can be made simple. We in the US are not competent to make good judgments about what happens there. Whenever we get involved in disputes where we have no competency, it ends badly for us. This is not our dispute.

independentpiney

(1,510 posts)
73. the Crimean penninsula was only made part of the Ukraine SSR in 1954
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:49 PM
Mar 2014

It has been a vital part of the Russian Empire since 1783, very close to the time the USA won it's independence. From a Russian perspective, the idea of Crimea and particularly Sevastopol, home of the Black Sea fleet, being controlled by an unfriendly government has to be unacceptable. The western Ukraine has historically aligned against Russia as a part of Lithuania ,Austro-Hungary and Poland before being absorbed by the Bolsheviks in the 1920's. And many of them jumped at the chance to join their Nazi liberators in 1941.

I agree we have no business interfering other than diplomatically, and that very cautiously. I keep remembering that it's the centennial of the start of WW1, the lead up to which involved some of the greatest diplomatic bluster and blunders in history.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
85. Western Ukraine was absorbed after WW II
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:13 PM
Mar 2014

According to my 1924 Funk and Wagnall's atlas, the Polish border is well east of Lemberg (now Lviv). Between WW I and II, what is now western Ukraine was mainly Galicia in Poland, with the exception of Ruthenia, which is the easternmost tail of Czechoslovakia that was chopped off and attached to Ukraine in 1945.

Prior to WW I, all of the above were part of the Austro Hungarian empire.

Also, in 1924, Moldova was part of Rumania, and Transdniester was part of Ukraine. The Dniester River was the boundary between Rumania and Ukraine.

 

Jenoch

(7,720 posts)
104. The areas you mention in your first two paragraphs
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:40 PM
Mar 2014

were always ethnically Ukrainian. My paternal grandparents were born in Austria-Hungary, but they were 100% ethnically Ukrainian.

Moldovans and Romanians are essentially the same ethnicity.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
105. Rural areas and small villages may have been Ukranian
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 10:33 PM
Mar 2014

But there were a lot of rural Poles as well. And the cities were mixed ethnically. See for example the table "Population makeup by ethnicity 1900-2001" in http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lviv . In '31 Lviv was half Polish and almost a third Jewish. It wasn't majority Ukrainian until after WW II and Stalin displaced the Polish population westward.

Before 1918 and also after the union of Bessarabia with Romania, it was not obvious nor universally accepted that Moldovans and the Romanians formed a single ethnic group.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moldovan_language
 

Jenoch

(7,720 posts)
106. I was in Moldova in 1999 and the people I worked
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 10:44 PM
Mar 2014

with told me their was not much difference between Romanians and Moldovans. They said the Romanians had Ceausescu and the Moldovans had Soviet rulers.

Of course their were Polish speaking people in Ukraine, Poland was one of the countries that dominated them.

Judaism is a religion and a culture, not an ethnicity. Ukrainians have historically been quite anti-semitic. It is a stain on their culture.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
35. Nothing. We are not the world police as hard as it is to
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:40 AM
Mar 2014

stand by and watch a sovereign nation invade another. About all we can do is join other nations in placing an embargo on Russian oil and other things it makes it's money on. Or, welcome back to the Cold War. Also, considering the nations we have invaded in the recent past, I don't think we have a high ground to stand on.

Nevernose

(13,081 posts)
36. I absolutely trust Putin to do the right thing
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:42 AM
Mar 2014

After all, our past President looked him in the eye, saw into his soul, and found him to be trustworthy and honorable. What could possibly go wrong with Dubya's powers of searching souls through eye contact?

 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
37. It's not up to us to do anything. Who made us the world police?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:42 AM
Mar 2014

Why even think that way? Who got us to think that way?

What do we do

jsr

(7,712 posts)
40. It's a grave threat to world peace that calls for an immediate weapons embargo or something
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:48 AM
Mar 2014

Maybe a press release on official letterhead

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
41. We could start by ceasing to try to push NATO to Putin's doorstep.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:48 AM
Mar 2014

We could start by ceasing to use the Ukrainian people as pawns in this silly McKinderite game.

If we hadn't broken the UN during chimpy's reign, we might have used that body to find a solution for the crimea.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
43. In the long-term, however, it's in everyone's best interests to have a more united world.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:54 AM
Mar 2014

Democracy has already won out over Communism. Only N. Korea keeps that corpse moving by artificial means. Even China recognized the need for change.

The end-game should be this: EVERY country belongs to NATO, which renders its original concept meaningless.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
45. I know of about 5 billion people that strongly disagree with that.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:57 AM
Mar 2014

Also, I don't get where "communism" fits into the current troubles. This is geopolitcs that is mostly independent from political ideologies, it's been the same game long before we came to think of us as the torchbearers of humanity under the mantle of democracy. By "we" I mean this elusive thing we call the "West". NATO is just the military arm thereof and has no special moral claim.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
50. Oh, I agree we have no moral claim to anything outside our borders.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:11 PM
Mar 2014

But being completely objective about one's morals doesn't mean ignoring reality: the world really will be better off when -not if- we are more closely united. And that's not going to happen under any other system than the one that promises more freedom than the rest: Democracy.

I foresee the day when Russia itself will 'give up' and join NATO. At that point, NATO will cease to have any meaning. And that's a good thing.

By 'communism', I mean the last vestiges of that failed ideology, which Russia, in some respects, still clings to. Putin still sees Russia as a competitor or a counter to NATO. Why? There is no point to that.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]You should never stop having childhood dreams.[/center][/font][hr]

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
55. I agree with your general point.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:27 PM
Mar 2014

The whole world could profit from coming together and overcoming nationalism. I'm all for that as long as it isn't just a veil for the "West"'s (or anyone else's) hegemonic ambitions.

OTH, I think that Putin has a point in seeing us as his competitors. As do the Chinese. We are competing; just now we are trying to wrestle a Russian client state away from them and into our sphere of influence. It is not different from what happened in 1916 and 1941, it's just a different method.

I'd take any bet that NATO being dissolved is more likely to happen than Russia joining NATO.

The UN was supposed to be the body to accomplish what you are arguing for here. But we ruined that option for good by using it for petty geo-politics instead of the advancement and unification of humanity. (This time, the "we" stands for humanity, or at least the great powers and their client states).

Again, I agree with your general point. But we should be extremely careful with moralizing the term "democracy" though, especially in the sphere of geopolitics. I don't think that the US's hegemonic ambitions are prima facie more legit than those of Russia or the Chinese. Also, I'm not sure that the whole world is waiting to be empowered by democracy, especially if "democracy" means that peculiar sort that the US likes to practice at home and peddle outside of its borders.
What most people strive for is a life in material comfort, free from harm and oppression, I don't think they particularly care for which institutional mechanisms provide that. (That is, at least, my reading of modern Asian and Eurasian history).


 

randome

(34,845 posts)
66. You may be more well-versed in the political realities than I am.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:39 PM
Mar 2014

Mine is just a conceptual view and I could be missing some of the subtleties.

It just seems to me that Gorbachev was a President with much more openness and farsightedness. I'd say he had more to do with ending the Cold War than Reagan did.

And Putin is no Gorbachev, which makes the situation more complicated than it should be.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]I'm always right. When I'm wrong I admit it.
So then I'm right about being wrong.
[/center][/font][hr]

mazzarro

(3,450 posts)
78. If you idea is for the world to become more united
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:54 PM
Mar 2014

Then why will there be a need for NATO? It is part of the division that should be done away with in a more united world.

If the world is more united, then the UN should be strengthened and restructured to be truly democratic as well with the veto powers modified appropriately or eliminated. Don't you agree?

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
91. The veto powers should be eliminated, I agree.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:25 PM
Mar 2014

A truly united world would have no need of one country being able to say 'No' to the other countries. But I don't see the U.N. as being that democratic for a long time to come.

In the meantime, we have NATO, which has its uses and encourages other countries -along with the European Union- to join a more united world. Security is important to most countries and NATO offers at least a semblance of that.

If Gorbachev was President, he would be more willing to let Ukraine determine its own alliances. Putin has mismanaged or simply not managed events for too long, making things much worse.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]The truth doesn’t always set you free.
Sometimes it builds a bigger cage around the one you’re already in.
[/center][/font][hr]

 

TheKentuckian

(26,314 posts)
77. Democracy didn't win, our version of capitalism did over their state capitalism
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:53 PM
Mar 2014

Not much democracy in China and it is diminishing in the west, including right here and being replaced by corporate dominance over man and government worldwide.

Our Laissez Fare leaning capitalism is not one and the same as democracy, not even close, in fact it encourages money to drown out the will of the many before the first vote is ever cast.

We live under the golden rule, those with the gold rule.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
94. But the best aspects of Democracy still inspire others.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:37 PM
Mar 2014

Our 30 year experiment with loosening restrictions has not been a success. With Republicans gradually losing clout -too slowly, I agree- I think (and hope) we will see more of a return to common-sense regulations so that the monetary aspect of Capitalism will again be on par with the best aspects of Democracy.

They used to go hand in hand and I think they will again.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Birds are territorial creatures.
The lyrics to the songbird's melodious trill go something like this:
"Stay out of my territory or I'll PECK YOUR GODDAMNED EYES OUT!"
[/center][/font][hr]

gulliver

(13,985 posts)
53. Thank our lucky stars George W. Bush is out of office.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:18 PM
Mar 2014

Obama and Kerry will handle it. Imagine this had happened under Bush. Cheney and Bush would be in the Oval Office formulating Cheney's response. Bush would be nodding. Rice taking notes.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
56. Nothing. Ukraine is clearly in their sphere of influence
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:27 PM
Mar 2014

It would be the same if China tried to move in to set up a puppet government in Mexico. Mexico is so squarely within our discomfort zone that we would stop at nothing to prevent that, no matter the consequences. We threatened a nuclear apocalypse over Cuba.

And the difference in Ukraine are the ethnic Russians who may have tolerated Yanukovych but won't tolerate an anti-Russian ultra-nationalist government.

 

alarimer

(17,146 posts)
57. Withdraw all diplomatic personnel from Russia, for starters.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:30 PM
Mar 2014

Isolate them economically to the extent possible by making it a crime for companies to do business there.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
59. Posture, whine, and not much else is my guess.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:31 PM
Mar 2014

Perhaps Ms "Fuck the EU" Nuland can lead the whining.

elfin

(6,262 posts)
60. Probably not much now
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:32 PM
Mar 2014

Ukraine is deeply and historically related to Russia. The fort of Kiev was the first capital, and the Crimea is felt to be crucial to Russia's need for a warm water port.

If the EU were in better financial shape, it might work to assist Ukraine in leaving Russia's sphere of influence. But no way can the EU take care of Ukraine's huge debt----- now. Nor can we.

I think that long term, the slide to the west will be accomplished, but not now, and probably will not include the Crimea.

It is similar to Russia's interpretation of our Monroe Doctrine for themselves.

More worrisome to me is how the Monroe Doctrine is being challenged by Russia now in Venezuela and elsewhere. Putin is on the move.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
76. I call it the re-purposed Manifest Destiny now Global Manifest Destiny. That might be troubling
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:50 PM
Mar 2014

him, as well as it does me ... my taxes to patrol the world? 1,000 foreign bases already? a quarter of a million troops around the globe? Four miles to the gallon for gasoline to run the behemoths and the nifty new war jets screaming in the sky when there is no war? No wonder we need a new pipeline. Cutting food stamps at home. No funds for wounded warriors. Certainly no jobs for them. Can't afford it, sorry.

Social events...see above..not military might brought down the Roman Empire.

EX500rider

(12,583 posts)
82. "and the Crimea is felt to be crucial to Russia's need for a warm water port."
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:01 PM
Mar 2014

I have seen that rational before and wonder why Russia just can't build a deep water port on the 200 miles of Black Sea coastline they already own? And put their navy base there.. (or the 270 miles of Sea of Azov they own while leads to the Black Sea & while shallow could have channels dredged.)

elfin

(6,262 posts)
98. The warm water port idea driving Russia
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 04:19 PM
Mar 2014

Is from the Deutscher (sp?) thesis posited after WWII.

Learned it in an International Relations class long, long ago. Such overarching ideas such as this propelled much academic thought and framed political actions, responses,and interpretations for years, ala Fremont's frontier thesis for the US.

While Fremont's thesis is now questioned, Deutscher's thesis may still be operative by analysts and their recommendations to political leaders.

Despite the outlets you mentioned, it may be embedded in the Russian historical and political psyche as it were, to be a bit paranoid as to the prospect of losing a warm water access. Their military installations at Sev(b) astopol speak to the importance of Crimea to them.



kenny blankenship

(15,689 posts)
70. What did we do in 2008 when Russia and Georgia fought over S. Ossetia & Abkhazia ?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:42 PM
Mar 2014

Russia overran those two breakaway provinces of Georgia, occupied them, and as punishment partially invaded and bombed targets located in Georgia proper. The West did not ride to the rescue. Georgia did not retake these two regions. Russia recognized them as "independent" states, extending Russian citizenship to the Russian speaking populations of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, and Russia now keeps bases and troops stationed in them under "bilateral agreements".

An underlying reason for the war was NATO's attempt to recruit Georgia into alliance against Russia. Georgia applied for NATO membership, with US sponsorship, and Russia's response (backing separatist militias, and invasion) has made that look like not such a good move for NATO. In Oct. 2013, NATO Secretary General A. F. Rasmussen announced memberships for Georgia -and Ukraine- would not be ratified. Georgia has not dropped their bid and wants in this year.

During the Russo-Georgian war over Ossetia and Abkhazia, the United States issued routine condemnations and criticisms. from Wikipedia. "U.S. president George W. Bush's statement to Russia was : "Bullying and intimidation are not acceptable ways to conduct foreign policy in the 21st century." Yes, he actually said that.

And that is what "we" did during the most recent, most parallel example of conflict and invasion involving our old enemy Russia in her immediate periphery of small potato countries and regions. We issued strongly worded statements - and that is all. For the alternative is to go to war and to get many people killed, perhaps tens of millions of people killed, over some people we don't actually give a fuck about.

This is why the policy of instigating shit that "we" have been pursuing -pushing NATO's military frontier into the ring of old border states around the USSR, or into actual former USSR republics- is reckless and irresponsible. Maybe admitting Georgia to NATO will be what "we" do to retaliate against Russia over the Ukraine conflict, although it would extremely foolish of "us" to do so. When "we" succeed in inciting some Georgians and Ukrainians into a bloody conflict with their big, bad neighbor, "we" are invariably going to leave them to face the music alone.

exboyfil

(18,359 posts)
80. My sentiments exactly
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:01 PM
Mar 2014

Even extending NATO to Poland is terrifying in its implications. We should have been moving the other direction since the end of the Cold War. Western Europe (like S. Korea and Japan) is rich enough to defend itself. Screw spending 2 to 3 times what our allies spend on defense.

nilesobek

(1,423 posts)
71. What can we do?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:42 PM
Mar 2014

MAD, (Mutually Assured Destruction) doctrine dictates that, as previously stated above in comments, that the US do nothing.

The top ten largest nuclear bombs in history belong to Russia. Russia is now equipped with missiles that change their attitude and trajectory in order to foil anti-missile shields.

It would be like if the US had a regional conflict that was just too risky for the Russians to get involved with.

kiranon

(1,739 posts)
100. Give the Ukraine back its nuclear weapons that it gave up in
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 04:39 PM
Mar 2014

return for guarantees of its territorial integrity by the U.S, Britain and Russia. Maybe Russia will back down if it thinks that is a possibility. Or, ask the Ukraine if it wants to become the 51st state and invite other Eastern European states if they wish to join the U.S. also. Just thinking outside the box - invite others to do so also. There have to be more options than war vs. diplomacy.

 

davidn3600

(6,342 posts)
72. Get with the other G8 members and skip summit, deny trade agreements that Russia has asked for
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 12:42 PM
Mar 2014

Jazzgirl

(3,744 posts)
83. Every time a conflict has appeared the last several years
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:03 PM
Mar 2014

I read thread after thread about "what should the United States' response be?" Um...why do we have to do anything? We do not have to save the world. The interesting thing is that all of them seem to use the same formula. What does that mean? I don't know but it sure seems to me the same groups or entities are manipulating all of these conflicts lately.

enlightenment

(8,830 posts)
88. Start the Cold War over again?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:19 PM
Mar 2014

Sometimes I think that the PTB in Russia and the US want that. It's as if they don't know what to do with themselves without it. Of course for full effect Putin would have to reestablish Communism, but I don't think he'd be bothered by that.

30cal

(99 posts)
90. If ? it's already happened
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:22 PM
Mar 2014

There's nothing we can do .

Obama can't do anything against a super power like Russia nor should he.

It would be the same question is what should Putin do if the U.S invades a country in the middle east.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
95. Keep pushing the Swiss and other safe money states to freeze suspect accounts.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:38 PM
Mar 2014

Ramp up NATO, isolate Russia in the UN, and bring the economic force of the EU to bear. Keep up the destabilization of the Russian economy. Drive the wedge further between Russia and China.

Right now we are doing the diplomatic route, as we should. But I think in the end, Putin is going to regret this.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
97. Reason with both parties to the full extent of our abilities and call for a ceasefire.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 01:52 PM
Mar 2014

Or we could attack Russia, bring on World War III and end all life on planet.

Gee, I wonder which we will pick?

DevonRex

(22,541 posts)
99. You do know Crimea is Ukraine don't you?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 04:24 PM
Mar 2014

The invasion happened. The Duma authorized Putin to invade the REST of Ukraine.

 

Corruption Inc

(1,568 posts)
108. Put every Russian in a torture camp? Arrest all war protesters as "terrorists"?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:02 PM
Mar 2014

Pretend like a corporate president gives a hoot about what I think should be done?

Take your pick, they're all just as serious as you are.

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