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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRussian govt and RT.com VALIDATE crucial US claim re: MH17
Last edited Mon Jul 21, 2014, 05:28 PM - Edit history (1)
From the US assessement re MH17.
Intercepts of separatist communications posted on YouTube by the Ukrainian government indicate the separatists were in possession of a SA-11 system as early as Monday July 14th. In the intercepts, the separatists made repeated references to having and repositioning Buk (SA-11) systems.
http://ukraine.usembassy.gov/statements/asmt-07192014.html
Today, the Russians put on a dog and pony show they thought shifted the blame to Ukraine. But, they made one startling claim/admission.
http://online.wsj.com/articles/russia-presents-its-account-of-malaysia-airlines-flight-17-crash-1405952441
In other words, the Russians showed satellite photos showing Buk missile systems in rebel-controlled territory--the crash site, Luhansk, and Donetsk are all under rebel control.
Even the hacks at rt.com couldn't overlook this:
http://rt.com/news/174412-malaysia-plane-russia-ukraine/
The Russians try to spin this by claiming these couldn't have been rebels operating those missile systems, even though those positions were inside territory controlled by the rebels and were of zero military use to the Ukrainian military. One would have to believe that the Ukrainian military send small units without protection deep into rebel territory in order to transport missiles that could only shoot down Ukraine's own jets.
Very hard to argue against the rebels being the culprits. One wonders why the Russians released those photos.
Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)considering that the rebels don't have any aircraft.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)jakeXT
(10,575 posts)The Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) has said that a Russian military aircraft launched a missile strike against a Su-25 aircraft of the Ukrainian Armed Forces over Ukrainian territory on Wednesday, July 16.
http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/russian-military-plane-shot-down-ukrainian-su-25-aircraft-in-ukraine-356422.html
Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)"transported northwest from Slavyansk". 90 miles to the northeast of Snizhe where a supposedly rebel-controlled Buk launcher was spotted, and where the rocket that brought down the plane was fired (the crash site is in the same area). So the fact that Ukrainian forces were transporting a launcher from a location 90 miles away, to somewhere in the opposite direction? Is not really what one could call strong evidence of Ukrainian deployment of anti-air assets in rebel-controlled territory, nor is it any kind of evidence in support of the Russian argument that it was a Ukrainian and not rebel launcher that brought down MH17.
jakeXT
(10,575 posts)Is a claim by the Defense Ministry from July 16th, the day before MH17 fell out of the sky , that Russian planes allegedly attacked Ukrainian planes enough of a reason?
Wait Wut
(8,492 posts)Thanks for this.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)Because they had them?
So mean of those Russians, spoiling your expectations.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)for the rebels to be the ones in possession of those missiles.
I mean, come on. Why provide evidence that verifies what the US is saying and then destroy their own credibility by lying about it?
SidDithers
(44,333 posts)who used Google Earth to figure out that it was drunken Ukrainian soldiers.
What to believe?
Sid
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)because it had the same colors as MH17.
That actually got argued here.
Cha
(319,076 posts)first.
William769
(59,147 posts)Cha
(319,076 posts)William769
(59,147 posts)Cha
(319,076 posts)gifted with accelerated built in bullshit detectors.
William769
(59,147 posts)
Cha
(319,076 posts)redqueen
(115,186 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)were at the scene before we rush to judgment . . .
freshwest
(53,661 posts)Definitely vodka bottles. Poor kid.
freshwest
(53,661 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)freshwest
(53,661 posts)Cha
(319,076 posts)Hell Hath No Fury
(16,327 posts)One piece of hard evidence that is confirmed. Time to drill down on the rest.
renegade000
(2,301 posts)a fact that seems to be forgotten. many ukrainian soldiers in eastern ukraine defected to the separatist side: http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/headlines/2014/04/ukraines-offensive-falters-as-elite-units-defect-to-pro-russia-side/
taking with them uniforms, equipment, etc.
at this point arguments that rely on what people are wearing/what people are using are pretty worthless.
the location of the launch point is more telling. i doubt unknown soldiers driving around a highly-valuable mobile SAM-battery would have not aroused the attentions of the rebel forces. i mean, if we really want to get deep into CT speculation, a plausible CT could be that some of the defectors were not really defectors, but rather undercover double-agents that were waiting to basically pull something that would embarrass the separatists/Russia. hard to prove/disprove that without a lot more detailed intelligence about the people responsible.
Igel
(37,535 posts)The claim is that the Ukr Buk systems are outside of Donets'k. The Ukr forces are within a mile of two of both Luhansk and Donets'k. The Russian DefMin has been claiming something like 27 Ukr Buk-M1 systems, and even claimed to have intercepted chatter between two showing that they were linked and active at the time the plane was shot down.
The second plane being a Sukhoi isn't new, either. It's the rebel's claim. They even claim they shot one down. Check the timing, though: the Ukr claim is that one was shot and hurt, but were out of the area before the Malaysian plane was hit. They've gotten facts wrong before, but if two were in the air and one was hit you have a good excuse for the 2nd Sukhoi's climb above 5k.
The claim of the missile fire, though, makes the Sukhoi claim pretty pointless. They're just trying to deflect any blame anywhere. Muddy the waters enough to figure out how to get through this shitstorm.
This is the only evidence that the Ukr had any Buks in operation, it's not clear that they would have had the right kind in operation. A later claim is that the Russians never gave the rebels a Buk-4. What they really need to look for in the rubble is something specific about the shrapnel damage to the plane, location of the shapnel strikes, and anything left from the missile.
Ukr press had reports that "experts" (always taken with some margarita salt and preferably the margarita) looking at photos of the wreckage IDed certain portions of the plane's bottom near a cargo bay that "clearly" showed shrapnel marks on the paint and shrapnel damage to the metal.
SA-11 "Buk" missiles use shrapnel warheads, it seems. So do most air-to-air missiles, apparently (sorry, Hollywood.)
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)as well as the launch area--the latter being the most important obviously.
I don't see how placing a Buk in the vicinity of the crash site isn't incredibly incriminating towards the rebels.
Even rt.com acknowledged this:
http://rt.com/news/174412-malaysia-plane-russia-ukraine/
conservaphobe
(1,284 posts)It was pretty much concluded the next fucking day.
What kind of rock do you live under or how dense do you have to be to not know that?
Jesus Christ, get on the same page with the rest of us.
Cha
(319,076 posts)conservaphobe
(1,284 posts)jeff47
(26,549 posts)so they grab on to anything that can be spun as such.
The plane? It's part of the conspiracy so that the US invades Ukraine.
Syria? It's part of the conspiracy so that the US invades Syria....oh wait, we didn't.....but that's because we caught the conspirators before they could invade!!!!
Every event in the world must be passed through the "massive neocon conspiracy" filter first.
Cha
(319,076 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)"Well, yes, the missile systems were exactly of the kind the Americans said were there, and they were exactly where the Americans said they were, but that just means the Americans are lying."
Cha
(319,076 posts)them to the evidence.
joshcryer
(62,536 posts)Then some idiots edited the Wikipedia page because the Su-25 can't even operate at that altitude.
