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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPPP: MI Gov race tight Snyder (R) has 1-point lead
It continues to look more and more like the action in Michigan will be in the Governor's race. Rick Snyder is at 43% to 42% for Mark Schauer with third party candidates combining for 6%. Snyder continues to be unpopular with only 43% of voters approving of him to 51% who disapprove. Schauer's name recognition has increased from 51% to 68% over the last couple months but there hasn't been much change in the close divide on his favorability- 35% of voters see him positively, 33% in a negative light.
Snyder finds himself in trouble after winning by an overwhelming margin in 2010 because several of his major accomplishments have proven to be very unpopular. Voters say by a 48/36 margin that they would vote to repeal the right to work law if it was on the ballot. And they oppose the increase in pension taxes that's been highlighted in early campaign ads by a 74/17 spread. One thing that may be helping to keep Snyder afloat is the popularity of Medicaid expansion in the state- five months after it took effect voters support the 'Healthy Michigan' program by 24 points, 50/26. That's one issue where Snyder is winning some favor across party lines.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/09/peters-has-biggest-lead-snyder-and-schauer-tight.html#more
Meanwhile in the MI Senate race the Dem candidate now has his biggest lead in a PPP poll:
PPP's newest Michigan poll finds Gary Peters matching his largest lead ever, which he had last October during the middle of the government shutdown. Peters is at 43% to 36% for Terri Lynn Land with third party candidates combining for 7%. The story of the race is Land's continually declining favorability. She has dropped a net 28 points since December, from starting out at +11 (34/23) to falling all the way down now to -17 (32/49). Michigan is a Democratic state to begin with, and Peters is getting 12% of the Republican vote, while only 5% of Democrats say they're going to vote for Land. Voters remain pretty ambivalent toward Peters himself- 35% have a favorable view of him to 36% with an unfavorable one. But with Land extremely unpopular, he continues to be in good shape. One issue playing to Peters' considerable advantage is the minimum wage- voters support increasing it to $10 an hour by a 58/34 spread
Comrade Grumpy
(13,184 posts)After several disastrous years of this guy.
riversedge
(70,204 posts)The polls are neck to neck. Walker has been a disaster for Wisconsin--its people and its environment.
longship
(40,416 posts)And they pretty much all draw a line explicitly from Land to the Koch bros. And they run them over and over again.
I have seen some Schauer ads, both positive and negative. The best of them have a narrative behind them. Particularly, there are education and retirement ads supporting Schauer. I have not seen as many ads supporting Snyder.
Interestingly, many of the ads do not even mention the candidate they are supporting, only the candidate they are against. If you are going to do a negative ad, not mentioning your candidate is a big mistake, IMHO.
kimbutgar
(21,137 posts)These polls are meaningless unless we GOTV.