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Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
Tue Sep 23, 2014, 12:42 PM Sep 2014

CDC: Ebola Could Infect 1.4 Million by January VOA

Speaking of threats and "clear and present danger".....

http://www.voanews.com/content/reu-ebola-drug-trials-to-be-fast-tracked-in-west-africa/2459277.html

Between 550,000 and 1.4 million people in West Africa could be infected with the Ebola virus by January 20, 2015, according to a report issued on Tuesday by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

The top range of the estimate, 1.4 million, assumes that the number of cases officially cited so far, 5,864 according to the count kept by the World Health Organization, is significantly underreported, and that it is likely that 2.5 times as many cases, or nearly 20,000, have in fact occurred.

CDC emphasized that the projections, based on an epidemiological model that takes into account how many people each Ebola patient eventually infects as well as other factors, is based on data available in August. They therefore do not account for the recently announced U.S. government Ebola relief effort, which includes sending 3,000 members of the armed forces to the Ebola-stricken region.

"Extensive, immediate actions - such as those already started - can bring the epidemic to a tipping point to start a rapid decline in cases," CDC said in a statement.

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CDC: Ebola Could Infect 1.4 Million by January VOA (Original Post) Tierra_y_Libertad Sep 2014 OP
The predictions keep increasing. What does containment look like after 1.4 million infected? morningfog Sep 2014 #1
Europe must be sooooo happy. nt valerief Sep 2014 #5
At what point will it break out of Africa? grahamhgreen Sep 2014 #2
When one of those Africans is in early infection and gets on a plane and goes somewhere. nt ChisolmTrailDem Sep 2014 #3
Possibly never. morningfog Sep 2014 #4
I have to agree that this should be a very high priority in the world today. MohRokTah Sep 2014 #6
 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
1. The predictions keep increasing. What does containment look like after 1.4 million infected?
Tue Sep 23, 2014, 12:48 PM
Sep 2014

I read up to 1.4 million by January 20, 2015.

Then, what happens in February, March April....

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
4. Possibly never.
Tue Sep 23, 2014, 12:50 PM
Sep 2014

Hopefully never. I don't mean to say, I hope it continues in Africa. I hope it doesn't spread to anymore countries and can be stopped in the three countries where it is spreading. There are 21 million people in the three countries of Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea. I don't know how those three are going to get it under control, but hopefully they will and it won't go any further.

There still isn't a real risk to developed nations.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
6. I have to agree that this should be a very high priority in the world today.
Tue Sep 23, 2014, 12:53 PM
Sep 2014

What's worse is the cost would not be that significant when compared to even minimal military operations conducted by nations other than the US.

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