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dkf

(37,305 posts)
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 02:25 AM Apr 2012

Charges shifted online opinion about George Zimmerman's guilt in Trayvon Martin case



Updated at 1:07 p.m. ET: As soon as George Zimmerman was formally charged last week in the shooting death of Florida teenager Trayvon Martin, public opinion began shifting online, and for much of this week, a slight majority of those expressing an opinion indicated they believed he probably wasn't guilty of violating Florida law, according to msnbc.com's computer-assisted analysis of 2.6 million Internet postings.


The findings are best read as a snapshot of how the lodging of charges influenced public opinion online. As it has several times since Feb. 26, opinion began shifting again after the bond hearing, and a small majority of Friday's commentary indicated a belief that Zimmerman is, in fact, guilty.



The msnbc.com analysis of online forum posts, Facebook posts and Twitter messages since the shooting indicates a striking willingness among commenters to strongly sympathize with the Martin family while at the same time remaining open to the possibility that Zimmerman — who claims he shot Martin in self-defense — may not have committed a crime.


http://usnews.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/04/20/11289911-charges-shifted-online-opinion-about-george-zimmermans-guilt-in-trayvon-martin-case?lite
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Charges shifted online opinion about George Zimmerman's guilt in Trayvon Martin case (Original Post) dkf Apr 2012 OP
With all due respect... Nostradammit Apr 2012 #1
Public sentiment is more nuanced than I expected. dkf Apr 2012 #2
Oh. Thanks for letting us know. Nostradammit Apr 2012 #3
what are the mechanics of this analysis? grasswire Apr 2012 #4
Computer scan says nothing Weare0ne Apr 2012 #5
What would the "online opinion" consensus been had Trayvon Boabab Apr 2012 #6

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
4. what are the mechanics of this analysis?
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 03:06 AM
Apr 2012

They say they "sifted" through 2.6 million Internet postings to arrive at their "computer assisted analysis". I guess this means they were searching for key phrases.

But wouldn't it be pretty impossible to determine by this methodology the complicated conclusion that commenters may "strongly sympathize with the Martin family while at the same time remaining open to the possibility that Zimmerman — who claims he shot Martin in self-defense — may not have committed a crime."

What keyword search would produce that conclusion?


I'm calling bogus.

Weare0ne

(2 posts)
5. Computer scan says nothing
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 03:20 AM
Apr 2012

As a web programmer, I would say that unless msnbc has a custom revolutionary search algorithm it would not be possible with any statistical certainty to make such a statement. Microsoft, if one judges by Bing, is not able to display results based on a query where sympathy to family is shown in first part of a post/message yet doubt of conviction is shown in second part. Most likely they used a pattern which is likely to have a very significant margin of error making it as valid and reliable as a guesstimate.

Boabab

(120 posts)
6. What would the "online opinion" consensus been had Trayvon
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 06:17 AM
Apr 2012

shot GZ under identical circumstances, then claimed protection under "stand your ground"?

Answer: he would have been arrested and charged that very night, and would still be sitting in a jail cell, with no bail forthcoming.

This is blatantly unequal and biased "justice" playing out in front of the entire world.

The message has already been delivered -- Trayvon's life wasn't worth much at all to a system that wants badly to sweep the entire episode under the rug.

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