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another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 08:34 AM Feb 2015

IMF not willing to pay for Kiev's civil war.

When the international mega-bankers turn their backs on their own expansionist project, you know the prospective borrower is really busted! Looks like American taxpayers will soon see a big increase in our share of the bill for keeping Ukraine afloat, and its so-called "anti-terrorist operation" operating.



(Reuters)


IMF wary of providing Kiev with extra bailout funds


The International Monetary Fund seems to be getting cold feet about providing Ukraine with more financial aid. With the country teetering on default, funds are desperately needed, but the organization is wary of exposing itself to more debt.

In April, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) pledged $17 billion to Ukraine, which was almost two-thirds of the $27 billion given to Kiev from backers that included the United States and the European Union. However, with Ukraine now in need of new loans in the region of $15 billion, the monetary board doesn’t want to provide more than two-thirds of any new loans and is circumspect due to the lack of any economic growth in the country. “Ukraine from the beginning has been a political issue, not an economic issue,” said Andrea Montanino, who was formerly Italy’s representative to the IMF, as reported by Bloomberg.

The IMF arrived in Ukraine in January for talks on providing Kiev with extra funds. In an interview with the French newspaper Le Monde on January 26, the head of the IMF Christine Lagarde said the fund would provide financial assistance to Ukraine only when the situation in the country is stabilized. According to Lagarde, when the IMF gave financial support in the spring of 2014, experts expected the unrest in the East of the country to end by the winter. This has not proven to be the case, with the conflict still raging in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions of Ukraine.

Neither Kiev nor the IMF has said how much Ukraine has requested, however Montanino says he believes the fund will provide between $5 billion and $6 billion. With new loans in the region of $15 billion needed, this would put pressure on the US, the EU and other institutions such as the World Bank to come up with the remaining $9 billion to $10 billion. Since the New Year, Kiev has already received pledges from the EU to provide €1.8 billion ($2.05 billion) and an extra $1 billion from the US, bringing Washington’s total commitment to $2 billion to Ukraine in aid. Kiev's public debt is growing at a pace much faster than the IMF expected. The sovereign debt of Ukraine could reach 90 percent of GDP in 2015, according to the FT. The IMF estimates this level of debt as unsustainable.

(snip)


Read more at: http://rt.com/news/229515-imf-ukraine-economy-aid/


10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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IMF not willing to pay for Kiev's civil war. (Original Post) another_liberal Feb 2015 OP
Vulture capitalists don't like the 'uncertainty' of not knowing Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2015 #1
Or "taken over" by the indigenous population of eastern Ukraine. another_liberal Feb 2015 #2
I thought you've been saying the 'indigenous population of eastern Ukraine' Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2015 #5
They can ask, of course . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #10
The IMF charter basically states that they can't... MattSh Feb 2015 #3
Thank you for those pertinent details . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #8
You mean the Russian invasion, right?...nt SidDithers Feb 2015 #4
Don't worry.... sendero Feb 2015 #6
It seems Secretary of State Kerry has practically said as much in Kiev today . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #7
RT lol, favorite source for supporters of Russian fascism uhnope Feb 2015 #9

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
1. Vulture capitalists don't like the 'uncertainty' of not knowing
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 09:08 AM
Feb 2015

they'll be able to keep their hands on what they 'buy'. They don't want to pump in billlions, only to have a lot of what they thought they were getting taken over by Russia.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
2. Or "taken over" by the indigenous population of eastern Ukraine.
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 09:33 AM
Feb 2015

I doubt very much if the Russian Federation has plans to annex any of the Donbass. That area would come with a huge amount of very problematic baggage.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
5. I thought you've been saying the 'indigenous population of eastern Ukraine'
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 10:42 AM
Feb 2015

were ethnic Russians, who spoke Russian.

You actually think that if they 'declare their independence', they're going to want to stay a tiny country that's largely devoid of resources, rather than immediately ask to be part of Russia?

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
10. They can ask, of course . . .
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 07:28 PM
Feb 2015

I just don't think Russia will be eager to accept them, at least not any time soon.

MattSh

(3,714 posts)
3. The IMF charter basically states that they can't...
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 10:18 AM
Feb 2015

although massive political pressure can come into play.

Reasons that the IMF are not supposed to lend...

1) Is there a plan that is likely to be implemented that will allow the IMF to get their money back? If they believe they will not be paid back in full, they are not supposed to lend. The only way the IMF could possible get paid back in full is if somebody else pays them back. (Yes, we're talking about taxpayers in the USA or the EU, although both of them would want the Russians to assist). Ukraine was a basket case when the first portion of the loan was given last year. The situation is much worse now. They basically bombed their industrial base back to the Stone Age.

2) Is there a war going on? If there's a war, they are not supposed to lend. Calling it something else does not mean it's not a war.

3) Does the country control their borders? This is a simple yes or no answer. If the answer is no, they are not supposed to lend. Yes but _____________ is not supposed to be an acceptable answer.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
8. Thank you for those pertinent details . . .
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 02:36 PM
Feb 2015

If the IMF is honest to its charter, they clearly cannot give Ukraine the remainder (thirteen out of seventeen billion) of its promised aid.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
7. It seems Secretary of State Kerry has practically said as much in Kiev today . . .
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 02:31 PM
Feb 2015

As we all know: the U.S. has money to spare, billions of dollars to burn now and more to come after that.


(sigh)

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