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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Tue May 1, 2012, 01:36 AM May 2012

Krugman debates Ron Paul

Don’t Know Much About (Ancient) History

The things I do for book sales. I debated, sort of, Ron Paul on Bloomberg.Video here. I thought we might have a discussion of why the runaway inflation he and his allies keep predicting keeps not happening. But no, he insisted (if I understood him correctly) that currency debasement and price controls destroyed the Roman Empire. I responded that I am not a defender of the economic policies of the Emperor Diocletian.

Actually, though, appeals to what supposedly happened somewhere in the distant past are quite common on the goldbug side of economics. And it’s kind of telling.

I mean, history is essential to economic analysis. You really do want to know, say, about the failure of Argentina’s convertibility law, of the effects of Chancellor Brüning’s dedication to the gold standard, and many other episodes.

Somehow, though, people like Ron Paul don’t like to talk about events of the past century, for which we have reasonably good data; they like to talk about events in the dim mists of history, where we don’t really know what happened. And I think that’s no accident. Partly it’s the attempt of the autodidact to show off his esoteric knowledge; but it’s also the fact that because we don’t really know what happened — what really did go down during the Diocletian era? — you can project what you think should have happened onto the sketchy record, then claim vindication for whatever you want to believe.

It’s funny, in a way — except that this sort of thinking dominates one of our two main political parties.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/04/30/dont-know-much-about-ancient-history/

Video: http://www.bloomberg.com/video/91689761/

Yikes!
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Krugman debates Ron Paul (Original Post) ProSense May 2012 OP
I think everybody is wrong. napoleon_in_rags May 2012 #1
That wasn't a debate... MrScorpio May 2012 #2
that's all he knows how to do... Blue_Tires May 2012 #29
Diocletian ended the crisis of the third century and let the Empire survive another century Recursion May 2012 #3
pwned joshcryer May 2012 #4
I might have Diocletian coinage. mmonk May 2012 #5
He just explained 80% of whatever Georege Will says too. JoePhilly May 2012 #6
debate politicaljunkie12 May 2012 #7
Do you support Ron Paul for president? cyberswede May 2012 #8
Ron Paul politicaljunkie12 May 2012 #10
I notice you don't say you're not anti-Obama Morning Dew May 2012 #11
or anti-obama politicaljunkie12 May 2012 #13
I guess you are stuck. Morning Dew May 2012 #14
Having An Unlimited Money Supply Is How We Pay for the Global Military Empire Yavin4 May 2012 #9
ballooning empire politicaljunkie12 May 2012 #15
Who spend locally? Ruby the Liberal May 2012 #16
Crickets. Ruby the Liberal May 2012 #24
... Son of Gob May 2012 #26
The Gold Standard was abandoned because it was a dismal failure and exacerbated the Depression Taitertots May 2012 #20
No Sane Person Will Argue for a Strict Return to the Gold Standard. However... Yavin4 May 2012 #23
But there are insane people who do, i.e. Ron Paul Taitertots May 2012 #25
Ofc the gold standard failed solely Dokkie May 2012 #28
I don't know how Krugman kept a straight face through TBF May 2012 #12
Read that too quick rufus dog May 2012 #17
Gotta feel sorry for Krugman gratuitous May 2012 #18
They're both in outer space. girl gone mad May 2012 #19
haha politicaljunkie12 May 2012 #21
I've heard Krugman say that austerity budgets (while they may reduce deficits) are bad pampango May 2012 #22
trash can HappyMe May 2012 #27

napoleon_in_rags

(3,991 posts)
1. I think everybody is wrong.
Tue May 1, 2012, 03:01 AM
May 2012

The issue is gold standard can't permit growth of economy. Basically gold becomes worth more and more, which means the most profitable thing is to sit on it, which shuts down the economy and causes disaster.

But the 20th century economic models are screwed. Abundant cheap energy and unlimited growth are the axioms they run on. So in this sense, the gold bugs have a good point about the bubble breaking at a certain point. Gold's value is not dependent on endless growth, so when growth becomes impossible, they have something, because inflation will run wild when economic output is too stunted to follow money production.

I'm not an economist, but I feel like this should be an exciting time for them: The world is waiting for a new model, a cyclical model which can describe collaboration and wealth creation in a world with finite but reusable resources.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
3. Diocletian ended the crisis of the third century and let the Empire survive another century
Tue May 1, 2012, 06:30 AM
May 2012

He's on my top-10 list of emperors.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
6. He just explained 80% of whatever Georege Will says too.
Tue May 1, 2012, 08:21 AM
May 2012

Will does the same thing every Sunday.

If we watch the Sunday shows and George Will is on, my son and I cheer anytime Will references some obscure historical event, using it to somehow prove his nonsensical point. He's rarely accurate, but you have to go look it up to actually determine that he's full of BS. Which is why he does it.

Very common right wing pundit tactic. Its part of their "change history" approach to debate. Its how we get their mythical view of Ronald Reagan.

And Ron Paul does the same thing. He just makes crazier references.

 
7. debate
Tue May 1, 2012, 11:31 AM
May 2012

There are solid arguments for and against using some form of monetary standard. In a perfect world the Fed works as a safety net for failing economies and does a pretty good job at helping an economy recover during a recession (much faster than when you have a gold standard). However, in an imperfect world, the Fed is used not only as a safety net during an economic crisis, but as an unchecked funding machine for federal initiatives. When you borrow money in this way, it amounts to a politician reaching into your pocket for money. Hell, if I had a magical piggy bank that had the words "Endless supply of money--Break open upon emergency" scrawled on it I would bust it open immediately and use it whenever I felt like it. This is Ron Paul's issue with the Fed. It's a hidden tax. This is a godsend when you're in a crisis, but it does debase the dollar and minimalize the middle and lower class. The gold standard is an automated check and balance system that prevents power hunger politicians from using the Fed as their personal piggy bank, it prevents hyper-inflation, stabilizes the dollar and would have limited the government in some positive ways over the past 30 years. The real issue though isn't whether or not we go to the gold standard or keep the Fed, it's what we do to keep the politicians out of "our" piggy banks.

 
10. Ron Paul
Tue May 1, 2012, 01:03 PM
May 2012

I don't support Ron Paul for president, but I do believe his ideas on fiscal responsibility are an important message that should resonate within the Republican party more. I don't support Mitt either or Obama, so I'm stuck. I'm not anti-Ron Paul either or anti-Mitt. So, I assume my message may not "resonate" as well with the extremists that seem to occupy both sides of the Fed question. I think it's a mistake to dismiss everything Krug and Paul say as ridiculous. They both make valid points and they both agree that the one factor that can screw up a good thing is the human element. I agree with that. You can have the Fed and it can be very effective. You can also have the gold standard without the Fed and that can be very effective. We've had economic collapse with both in place, so I don't see one as better than the other. They both have strengths and weaknesses that are brought to light when politicians muck it up.

Morning Dew

(6,539 posts)
11. I notice you don't say you're not anti-Obama
Tue May 1, 2012, 01:11 PM
May 2012
I don't support Mitt either or Obama, so I'm stuck. I'm not anti-Ron Paul either or anti-Mitt.



Yavin4

(35,433 posts)
9. Having An Unlimited Money Supply Is How We Pay for the Global Military Empire
Tue May 1, 2012, 12:27 PM
May 2012

Being able to borrow cheaply and spend freely is how we pay for our military empire. Krugman is indeed correct theoretically regarding being able to inflate the money supply and spend freely when there is an economic crisis.

However, in reality, we inflate the money supply and spend freely in order to fight wars and stage bases literally around the world with a professional military.

It would be ideal if we expanded the money supply to improve transportation, education, health care, etc., but that's not what's happening. We're expanding the money supply to pay for the two wars of the past decade as well as the debts of the banks.

 
15. ballooning empire
Tue May 1, 2012, 01:49 PM
May 2012

I agree with that. If we borrowed money from the people and then gave it back to them intelligently in the form of better schools, infrastructure, power grids, etc., then it could result in a net positive gain over time. As you said, if you're going to deflate the dollar to spend money, then it should have an economic value that returns more than it takes. While our military force does provide jobs to those in the military and those industries that support the military, I don't see money spent on the military as a net positive. The question is whether or not the government has the wisdom to spend our money in ways that make our country a better place to live and right now they don't. I feel like they waste our money. I would prefer to keep my money and spend it locally to create a better place right here where I live than to give it to the government to muck up.

Ruby the Liberal

(26,219 posts)
16. Who spend locally?
Tue May 1, 2012, 02:22 PM
May 2012

Defund the Federal government and leave all of the school and infrastructure up to the states?

What do you do in cases like states in the deep south where states bring in more money from the Feds than they contribute?

 

Taitertots

(7,745 posts)
20. The Gold Standard was abandoned because it was a dismal failure and exacerbated the Depression
Tue May 1, 2012, 02:37 PM
May 2012

And it certainly isn't stable at all. It subjects the economy to huge pro-cyclic price level variations (Inflation and Deflation).

Yavin4

(35,433 posts)
23. No Sane Person Will Argue for a Strict Return to the Gold Standard. However...
Tue May 1, 2012, 03:07 PM
May 2012

There should be some check on the Federal Reserve from exploding the money supply in order to pay off banker debts.

 

Taitertots

(7,745 posts)
25. But there are insane people who do, i.e. Ron Paul
Tue May 1, 2012, 03:25 PM
May 2012

And the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate requiring price stability and low unemployment. The legislation controlling the Fed's actions already says they can't explode the money supply.

The Fed isn't in the business of paying off banker debts. Are you under the impression that they have been?

 

Dokkie

(1,688 posts)
28. Ofc the gold standard failed solely
Wed May 2, 2012, 08:54 AM
May 2012

because it wasn't a strict gold standard. When you print more gold receipts than gold in the vault, you are bound to run into some serious problem when the receipt holders come call for their gold.

 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
17. Read that too quick
Tue May 1, 2012, 02:24 PM
May 2012

Thought it was "Krugman debates Ron Wood"

Although that might be more interesting.

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
18. Gotta feel sorry for Krugman
Tue May 1, 2012, 02:29 PM
May 2012

It would be like having a debate with a goat in the middle of the herd. Every time the head goat says "Baaaaa!" the other goats chime in with "Baaaaa!" It doesn't make any sense, but it does make a lot of noise. That much is indisputable. And Krugman correctly points out that the more obscure the historical reference proffered by the Paulbots, the more likely it is a smokescreen, designed to appeal to the dim mists of lost time. Rep. Paul may be an idiot, but he's not quite stupid enough to actually debate economics with a Nobel laureate.

girl gone mad

(20,634 posts)
19. They're both in outer space.
Tue May 1, 2012, 02:35 PM
May 2012

Ron Paul thinks a gold standard could prevent the empire from engaging in reckless war when evidence show otherwise. Paul Krugman thinks we need to worry about deficits, bank credit is irrelevant and the Fed is working on our behalf.

People can only get dumber by listening to these two.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
22. I've heard Krugman say that austerity budgets (while they may reduce deficits) are bad
Tue May 1, 2012, 03:04 PM
May 2012

for the economy and the people in it. I don't see that as indicating that he "thinks we need to worry about deficits".

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