WI poll: Walker, Barrett tied; Obama leads Romney by 9 points. (updated)

[ProSense]

Last edited Thu May 3, 2012, 09:17 AM - Edit history (1)

Walker, Barrett in dead heat in recall showdown, poll says

By Patrick Marley

Madison - Gov. Scott Walker and Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett are locked in a dead-even race for governor, according to a poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School.

The poll also showed Barrett leading his Democratic rivals in Tuesday's primary. The winner of the primary will face the Republican governor in the June 5 recall election.

Among registered voters, Barrett led Walker 47% to 46%. That 1-point lead was reversed when considering only likely voters, with Walker holding 48% and Barrett holding 47%.

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The survey also showed President Barack Obama continuing to lead the all-but-certain Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, in Wisconsin. Obama had 51% to Romney's 42%.

- more -

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/walker-barrett-in-deadheat-in-recall-showdown-poll-says-8l58n4s-149857945.html

Updated to add:

Millions in TV ads, but no poll movement for Scott Walker

By Greg Sargent

A new Marquette Law School poll that’s generating lots of chatter today finds that Scott Walker and his most likely recall opponent, Tom Barrett, are in a dead heat, with Barrett edging Walker by 47-46 among registered Wisconsin voters.

The really important finding here, however, is that Walker’s approval rating, and his head to head numbers with Barrett, have not changed in months — if anything, they’re going down. And this is in spite of the fact that Walker and his allies have vastly outspent rivals in TV ads.

Charles Franklin, a political scientist and expert in Wisconsin politics who directs the Marquette poll, sends over some numbers.

In January, Walker’s job approval was 51 percent; in March, it was 50 percent; and this month, it's 47 percent.

In January, Walker was leading Barrett 50-44; in March, 47-45; and this month, he trails 46-47. (Among likely voters, Walker leads by a point; all of these findings suggest a mostly unchanging dead heat.)

- more -

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/post/millions-in-tv-ads-but-no-poll-movement-for-scott-walker/2012/05/02/gIQA7vaJxT_blog.html

[WI_DEM]

1. Kathleen Falk, Barrett's main Dem challenger, loses to Walker by six-points.

[hifiguy]

2. Perhaps the POTUS might want to swing by Wisconsin

if Mr. Barrett wins the primary. Couldn't hoit.

[WI_DEM]

3. He certainly should try and raise some $$ for the WI Dems because Walker has a huge

financial advantage.

[a kennedy]

4. Yah, 13 million in fact raised......

most by out of Wisconsin donors too I hope he goes down in flames.

[Rectangle]

7. Also Bill Clinton.!!

Can Hillary campaign as SOS?

[hayrow1]

5. This is good news....

My guess is, with the millions Walker has already spent on the campaign, that Walker has hit his ceiling of 46 - 48%. He will only go down from that after Barrett is able to go one-on-one with Walker after next weeks primary. As has been noted numerous times, a huge get-out-the-vote drive by the Democrats, especially in the City of Milwaukee and the UW Campus, will still be absolutely necessary to beat Walker. AND: a close watch on the vote counters on June 5. This election will be a prime target for the tyrants to steal because a Walker victory will take the wind out of the pro-workers movements.

[Robbins]

6. Recall

This race will come down to turnout.More people who turnout better It Is for Barrett.

Once the primary Is over hopefully Obama will come down for a campagin appearance with Barrett.

The presidental race has obama Improving.Once again the more people see Romney the less they like him.

[n2doc]

8. What kind of idiot votes for Walker AND Obama? n/t

[Daniel537]

10. Someone who may like small-govt at the state level

and bigger govt. at the federal level. Happens all the time, although usually the parties are reversed.

[ProSense]

13. Someone willing to get suckered by Walker again. n/t

[SWTORFanatic]

9. Barrett will get a nice bump after the primary. Also Walker has

Chris Crispycreme stumping for him, so we should bring in some dem rockstars.

Obama, Clinton (either), Feingold, etc.

[Daniel537]

11. Can the media stop calling Wisconsin a swing state now?

Any state Bush couldn't win in 2004, Romney ain't winnin' this year.

[Ship of Fools]

12. Oh great. Close enough to steal.