Hillary Clinton crushes Republican rivals in new poll

[TheNutcracker]

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hillary-clinton-crushes-republican-rivals-in-new-poll-2015-04-20
​
By Robert Schroeder
Apr 20, 2015

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — If the presidential election were held today, it wouldn’t even be close.

Hillary Clinton is crushing her potential Republican rivals by double digits in a new CNN/ORC International poll. The Republicans’ best showing is by Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, who trails the former senator and secretary of state by 14 points. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who hasn’t declared his candidacy yet, lags Clinton by 17 points. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are each 19 points behind Clinton.

Rubio and Paul have declared their candidacies, but Christie hasn’t said he’ll run.

Clinton is also the overwhelming favorite for the Democratic nomination, with nearly seven in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents supporting her.

Even including the poll’s margin of error, Clinton would still have a double-digit lead on Rubio and the others. The poll was taken April 16-19 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. It was released Monday.

​

"We do better when we work together. Women & men, all of us across every line that is used to divide us.” - Hillary.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. This is going to encourage the Pukes to quadruple down on their efforts to smear her./NT

[MoonRiver]

2. They don't need any encouragement.

Game on for the rat fuckers.

[okasha]

4. Not to mention their little echoes here.

[Tarheel_Dem]

11. +1

[William769]

23. +2.

[leftofcool]

31. +3

[NYC_SKP]

36. +4

[iandhr]

57. +5

[MaggieD]

63. +3

Sadly, that is true.

[NYC_SKP]

3. Meh. A random national sample of 1,018 adult Americans, by telephone.

Unimpressed, but it's quite early in the process.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. How would you contact prospective voters?

NT

[NYC_SKP]

7. I wouldn't. I wouldn't poll people on who they might vote for. It helps the wrong people.

Why would I want to help the opposition?

By opposition, I mean the media who play games promoting their agenda, their narrative, and their choice of candidates.

I don't mind polling, done well, of opinions and publishing these results and the study methodology, as regards issues, but don't support "who would you vote for".

These favor people with name recognition and people with the money to project an image, which may be a false one.

We are seeing that right now, and this poll outcome is evidence of these phenomena.

[pnwmom]

15. It's a poll by a well-respected polling company using a typical sample size and methods.

But of course you reject it.

What's wrong with a telephone poll? Will you only be satisfied with a door-to-door? Or are you trying to imply that users of cell phones weren't included? If so, you're wrong.

"This sample includes 615 interviews among landline respondents and 403 interviews among cell phone respondents."

[NYC_SKP]

30. The poll excludes people without phones and who don't participate in phone polls.

And people who screen their calls, or who only take voice messages, etc.

And it assumes that people answer honestly.

Really, a valid methodology would require a higher N and a mixture of engagement strategies.

The poll is useful in one respect, it can be administered repeatedly and show trends but the trends will only apply to:

people who pick up the phone and participate in the poll, a likely minority of all phone users.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

34. Cellphone and landline phone penetration is like 99%

And there are controls put in place to ensure respondents and non respondents preferences are the same.

[NYC_SKP]

35. It measures a sample limited to people who engage in phone polls. That's a problem.

I can't think of a mechanism that can be build into the methodology to adjust for this factor.

Busy people, hard working people, people who distrust polls or strange numbers calling them are not included in these polls.

I would not be included in this study because I have a life.

I would submit that people with less to do and who just don't care are over-represented.

People with less to do who just don't care people lurve Hillary Clinton!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

43. If the desires of non -respondents and respondents diverged in significant ways

If the desires of non -respondents and respondents diverged in significant ways then all polls would be similarly flawed but everything we know suggests they are very effective.

[pnwmom]

64. ORC has used these polls to predict elections for decades. ORC doesn't have a particular

political agenda, and their results are usually within the stated margin of error.

I'm sure you would be touting them if the results looked bad for HRC.

[procon]

60. Without the sarcasm thingy, I cant tell

if you're joking. Maybe you have an a really impressive idea to share about some other means of conducting a survey that is quicker or better, or maybe just a different methodology that produces the outcome that you'd find more agreeable?

[LanternWaste]

62. I'd "meh" a statistically valid poll if it didn't validate my biases too.

I'd "meh" a statistically valid poll if it didn't validate my biases too. Just wait til they publish polls that do in fact, validate our biases-- then we'll rationalize a distinction without difference and somehow justify holding them to different standards.

[hrmjustin]

5. Impressive but early.

[JaneyVee]

10. He's polling at 1%.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Does that mean he is literally the candidate of the 1% or he has nowhere to go but up?

NT

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. It is interesting that he decided to become a Democrat after his 22% approval ratings...

It is interesting that he decided to become a Democrat after his 22% approval ratings compelled him not to run for re-election for the Rhode Island governorship:

Hard as it is to imagine, Congressman David Cicilline and Gov. Lincoln Chafee have managed to lose even more public support.
Cicilline’s job approval rating has sunk to just 15% among all Rhode Island voters, down from 24% in December, according to a new Brown University poll released Thursday morning. Chafee’s approval rating isn’t much higher at 22%, down from 27%.

To put those numbers in perspective, President Richard Nixon’s approval rating was 24% a week before he resigned over Watergate in 1974. Slightly more voters rated Chafee’s job performance as poor (45%) than said so about Cicilline’s (43%).

http://wpri.com/blog/2012/02/23/cicilline-chafee-approval-ratings-now-worse-than-nixon-in-1974/

[1StrongBlackMan]

39. I was going to ask about this ...

Don't forget that probably the biggest reason that Senator Obama, at the time, defeated Hillary Clinton in '08 was because of the Iraq war vote. That was the issue,” Chafee said on CNN.

But the poster is gone.

But if Chaffee thinks that HRC's IW vote was the "biggest reason" she lost to Candidate Obama, then, I suspect he's been hanging out on DU to get his HRC attack points; rather than, talking to the Democratic base.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

40. African Americans were/are an essential part of her base

African Americans were/are an essential part of her base. Once Barack Obama demonstrated he was a viable general election candidate by beating Hillary in the Iowa caucus was when her campaign went south , figuratively of course.

[1StrongBlackMan]

44. I can tell you, HRC's IW vote had zero to do with ...

my vote for Candidate Obama. And it will likely to have the same effect on whomever I vote for in 2016.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

50. LOL

I can tell you, HRC's IW vote had zero to do with my vote for Candidate Clinton. And it will likely to have the same effect on whomever I vote for in 2016.


But I still love you and President Obama.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

25. Will you please...

No, I will vote my conscience regardless of how I am smeared by others

Will you please let us know who is smearing you?

[NYC_SKP]

37. Damn. We'll never know!

They are poof, gone.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

54. If I ever smeared you I apologize. I intend to use my scintillating personality...

If I ever smeared you I apologize. I intend to use my scintillating personality to win you over to our side.

[NYC_SKP]

55. I consider us to be buds, despite our tastes in candidates!

My dog, your baby, at least our avatars are a cute match!





💛🐾🐶🌝🍬🏄💃🏊🏻🎉🍼🍴🍸

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

22. Rim shot

[Tarheel_Dem]

12. Doesn't stand a chance. I find it curious that the folks who have most recently evolved from Repuke

to Dem seem to be the ones that certain "progressives" are pushing the hardest. Chafee, Webb, Warren? Really? WTF?

[Dr Hobbitstein]

27. Chafee supports privitization of Social Security.

http://www.ontheissues.org/Lincoln_Chafee.htm#Social_Security

End of discussion.

[TheNutcracker]

33. YES...END of Chafee, for he does support privatizing Soc Sec. DONE!

Dems don't want you Mr. Chafee for even entertaining this!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. Welcome to Democratic Underground./NT

[Dr Hobbitstein]

49. Didn't seem to last... N/T

[DemocratSinceBirth]

51. At least I gave him a proper welcome. "Welcome back" would have been more appropriate./NT

[Dr Hobbitstein]

52. I didn't recognize the tone of their text...

I assume you've scrapped with this one before, though. I saw your post about contacting MIRT. Had a feeling it was this one.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

53. I didn't have much contact with him because I ignore the Obama Bashers./NT

[NYC_SKP]

59. You can tell by their toes and their feet.

Ingrown nails, purple toe tips, and mud between the toes.

These are all indicators.

[misterhighwasted]

13. Impressive considering She hasn't appeared on any Sunday morning talk shows.

..and She hasn't spoken to a staged media group with pre-approved questions.

Far ahead in the polls with barely an appearance & only simple small gatherings along a slow moving campaign trail.
No lights cameras nor profound statements splashed across the News to be picked apart.

And She holds double digit numbers above the rest.
Pretty impressive indeed.

[FiveGoodMen]

16. And once she's in office, her policies will crush us (unless we're CEOs)

What's to get happy about?

[snooper2]

20. I think by June we will just about be done with fucking polls LOL

[NYC_SKP]

42. You should turn this question into a DU poll!

[lewebley3]

24. Yep! You cannot count on GOP going Neg early!Bring up her neg!!

All the GOP has to pay off the New York time reporters, they
are happy to leave things out of a story, and leave the wrong impression,
and when they get called wrong, they just pretend they fixed it by
reporting errors days later, but not before the sell their news papers with
lies first.

[underpants]

28. But Hurricane Huckabee and the Santorum Storm are on the horizon

[NYC_SKP]

32. Ewww, a tidal surge of Santorum?

RUN AWAY!!!

[SCantiGOP]

41. I'll write a check to Santorum

IF.........he will promise to go on Jon Stewart before he leaves the show.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

38. I believe Name Removed was Will Twain.

Same m.o.

[Tarheel_Dem]

45. Dammit, I missed it. MIRT is on the ball. Were you able to see his response to me?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

47. This was one of Will's posts. Don't know if it was directed to you./NT

No, I will vote my conscience regardless of how I am smeared by others

[Tarheel_Dem]

48. Goodness, how many socks can one troll have? He really likes this place. A+++ for persistence.

[NYC_SKP]

58. 17. One troll can have as many as 17 socks, which is amusing.

As socks are usually found in pairs!

[realFedUp]

46. At least, Americans still recognize intelligence

Sometimes I think this country has a majority of stupid people.....

[Richardo]

56. Unless they break out the respondents by state so we can add up electoral votes, it's meaningless

[IdiotsforPalin]

61. LMAO

What? Cruz and Trump didn't even register?