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Orrex

(63,154 posts)
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:20 AM Apr 2015

Is it just possible that people who don't believe Sanders can win aren't "afraid" of him?

Thread after thread and post after post in the past few days has asserted as an article of faith that anyone who doubts Sanders' ability to win the general election must be motivated by fear.

I find that assessment facile and self-serving, as well as a false dichotomy, offering a binary choice between "you must accept that he is a viable candidate" or "you must be afraid of him."

A number of people expressed doubts about Kuchinich's chances back in the day, and they were similarly faulted for their "fear."

If someone can convince me that Sanders is a viable candidate for the general election, then I will happily support him. But simply saying "Barack Obama was a nobody in 2008" is insufficient, because circumstances were very different at that time.


What is gained from the simplistic and off-hand dismissal of sincere and well-informed reservations about Sanders' chances?

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Is it just possible that people who don't believe Sanders can win aren't "afraid" of him? (Original Post) Orrex Apr 2015 OP
+1 n/t FSogol Apr 2015 #1
Yes it is.... daleanime Apr 2015 #2
so what is it that makes a candidate viable? frylock Apr 2015 #3
Those, yes Orrex Apr 2015 #4
I like Sanders, and he will not win. Buzz Clik Apr 2015 #5
In high school, that was called "they're just jealous." NuclearDem Apr 2015 #6
It's the Kucinich comparisons and the 'if he is elected we automatically lose!' nonsense AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #7
I think any "fear" isn't due to Bernie's policies.... JaneyVee Apr 2015 #12
Hillary is definitely a fighter AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #20
Link? I could not find any Sanders vs {insert Republican} polls. n/t ieoeja Apr 2015 #38
I'd like to see that backed up, too. /nt Marr Apr 2015 #49
Thirding the call for sources on that. Ed Suspicious Apr 2015 #80
This message was self-deleted by its author AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #8
Very likely scenario. JaneyVee Apr 2015 #9
I don't think many people believe he can win right now, but many of us are going to fight stillwaiting Apr 2015 #10
Those who say that AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #11
No offense, but bullshit. Adrahil Apr 2015 #25
The primaries haven't even started yet AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #31
Hey, Big portions of the American public ARE shallow. That's why the GOP gets the votes it does. Adrahil Apr 2015 #40
If you believe that courting shallowness is the key to victory AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #41
Never judge a book by it's cover donnasgirl Apr 2015 #74
Thank you Brainstormy Apr 2015 #13
Assessments of a candidate's chances of winning are based MineralMan Apr 2015 #14
Unless you are fooled by the 'Third Way®' AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #33
Well, I'm not fooled by anything. MineralMan Apr 2015 #52
Poorly worded AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #54
Voting machine vote-flip fraud in Ohio in 2004, Voter fiasco in FL in 2000 (hanging chads) Pooka Fey Apr 2015 #15
In what universe does a self-described socialist NuclearDem Apr 2015 #16
Senator Sanders SamKnause Apr 2015 #17
Ah. I stand corrected then. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #18
n/t SamKnause Apr 2015 #22
Although that's true, and it's worth mentioning... Orrex Apr 2015 #26
That is why he has been traveling around the country for months. SamKnause Apr 2015 #35
Just came back from my lunch break in my office's cafeteria Orrex Apr 2015 #44
I was hoping to have a civil conversation SamKnause Apr 2015 #47
I wouldn't be too saddened by the results. ieoeja Apr 2015 #61
Hillary was destroyed by a relative unknown 8 years ago, you know. /nt Marr Apr 2015 #66
From the OP: Orrex Apr 2015 #71
Things are never identical. But if you're going to make name recognition your big argument, then Marr Apr 2015 #77
Name recognition isn't the only factor, obviously. Orrex Apr 2015 #83
I can't convince you, and don't really care to try. Marr Apr 2015 #90
I imagine that you see it that way. Orrex Apr 2015 #92
I don't care if you invoke Kucinich. Marr Apr 2015 #99
Yes, and it takes money to run enough campaign advertising to make him known. Sanders doesn't okaawhatever Apr 2015 #89
And playing on that home turf idea Sheepshank Apr 2015 #60
He brought in the moderate Republican vote in Vermont Pooka Fey Apr 2015 #21
I don't have any problems with the word socialist or the ideology. NuclearDem Apr 2015 #23
... Pooka Fey Apr 2015 #24
Wooing Republicans marginalizes the Democratic base AgingAmerican Apr 2015 #34
It's a silly argument found all over the internet sufrommich Apr 2015 #19
Perhaps some are. bigwillq Apr 2015 #27
If they aren't afraid of "him", they should be afraid of the issues he will raise. PassingFair Apr 2015 #28
people seem to be looking for a life raft? kentuck Apr 2015 #29
538's take is good Capt. Obvious Apr 2015 #30
Very good and clear post. MADem Apr 2015 #32
+1. freshwest Apr 2015 #45
No, it's time to panic! randome Apr 2015 #36
Can't never could do nothing. Or, don't be a Don'tBee and do be a DoBee .... Hiraeth Apr 2015 #37
Like asking a question in a church and the howls erupt of 'You're not really saved!' freshwest Apr 2015 #39
All our candidates will have to prove they can win. hrmjustin Apr 2015 #42
Then why are people wasting their time desperately pushing the issue if he can't win? Zorra Apr 2015 #43
"Desperately?" Nope. That's projection. Orrex Apr 2015 #46
Meh. Whatever. I got two more non-voters to agree to register as Dems and vote for Bernie Zorra Apr 2015 #62
How will those six (and the rest) vote on the off chance that Bernie isn't the candidate? Orrex Apr 2015 #95
I don't think they're afraid of Sanders *winning*. I think they're afraid of Marr Apr 2015 #48
What do you suspect will be the result, then? Orrex Apr 2015 #51
I didn't realize we had anyone here openly arguing against a primary anymore. Marr Apr 2015 #64
I personally like and respect Bernie Sanders but I do not think that he is viable Gothmog Apr 2015 #50
K&R treestar Apr 2015 #53
The only thing I'm afraid of is that the Rethugs could win in 2016. pnwmom Apr 2015 #55
That's a good and pragmatic assessment Orrex Apr 2015 #56
Is it just possible that people who DO believe Sanders can win aren't "fools"? whatchamacallit Apr 2015 #57
Who has called them fools? Orrex Apr 2015 #58
Lots of whatchamacallit Apr 2015 #91
Well... Orrex Apr 2015 #93
Really is just a simple way to think. NCTraveler Apr 2015 #59
Circling the wagons already? Cosmic Kitten Apr 2015 #63
? Orrex Apr 2015 #65
Thread posters are a "who's who" Cosmic Kitten Apr 2015 #67
?? Orrex Apr 2015 #68
Self explanatory Cosmic Kitten Apr 2015 #69
Non sequitur Orrex Apr 2015 #72
"Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore Cosmic Kitten Apr 2015 #73
Sure, Google is awesome Orrex Apr 2015 #85
unta glebin gloutin globin Cosmic Kitten Apr 2015 #86
Now we're getting somewhere. Orrex Apr 2015 #87
Around who? Protecting against who? NuclearDem Apr 2015 #79
I Hope He Does Win! Gamecock Lefty Apr 2015 #70
Kucinich never took himself seriously BainsBane Apr 2015 #75
I, for one, think it's best to believe conservative pundits in this regard. Maedhros Apr 2015 #76
Guess I haven't been keeping up on the threads. There sure are some stupid arguments on DU. Vinca Apr 2015 #78
I'm glad he entered the race. Can he win? Don't ask me tularetom Apr 2015 #81
At this point in time in 2007, Hillary Clinton was the 'inevitable' Democratic nominee too. Now how Purveyor Apr 2015 #82
Well, that doesn't answer the question. Orrex Apr 2015 #84
I like Bernie tiredtoo Apr 2015 #88
No one gave .... Exilednight Apr 2015 #94
I don't think that "they're scared of Bernie" is the right way to phrase it. Orrex Apr 2015 #97
I'm not afraid of him, I adore him. Starry Messenger Apr 2015 #96
Terrific post Orrex Apr 2015 #98

frylock

(34,825 posts)
3. so what is it that makes a candidate viable?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:22 AM
Apr 2015

is it big money, brand recognition, or policy positions?

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
4. Those, yes
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:24 AM
Apr 2015

Also public appeal, baggage, previous statements on public matters, political associations of family members and advisors, as well as a host of other factors.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
6. In high school, that was called "they're just jealous."
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:32 AM
Apr 2015

Didn't actually address any problems, didn't fix anything, just plugged their ears and went LALALALALA.

Some people need to understand that not everyone's default position is "go Bernie go", and if they want a chance in the general election, they're going to have to come up with answers to completely legitimate questions about his appeal and viability.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
7. It's the Kucinich comparisons and the 'if he is elected we automatically lose!' nonsense
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:33 AM
Apr 2015

Those are fear based. Others fear he may unseat Hillary whom they support. I would say there is an element of fear in all that.

Only the 'Third Way®' fears his ideology, which is mainstream Democratic, but alas the 'Third Way®' are a tiny, (but loud) minority within the party and they hold no significant voting bloc.

The days of, 'Vote for us because we are all you got suckers!!!', will soon be a thing of the past. Go Bernie!

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
12. I think any "fear" isn't due to Bernie's policies....
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:39 AM
Apr 2015

It's a fear that a Bernie nomination will result in a Repub prez. And that fear is due to his abysmal polling vs Repub candidates. People gravitate towards Hillary because according to polling she would kick GOP ass.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
20. Hillary is definitely a fighter
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:48 AM
Apr 2015

That is one plus she has. She needs to be more careful in picking her fights, though. Last time she essentially self destructed by going so negative on Obama. All he had to do was stand there and shake his head at her negativity, and her numbers went down the drain.

But the race hasn't even started yet, and folks are running around with their hair on fire just a tad early, IMHO. This has to play out to see who ends up where. People are definitely sick of right wing Democrats.

Response to Orrex (Original post)

stillwaiting

(3,795 posts)
10. I don't think many people believe he can win right now, but many of us are going to fight
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:37 AM
Apr 2015

to TRY to change that perception and reality. It's going to be a difficult fight, but Bernie's going to have a lot of passion supporting him. That passion will hopefully get others attention, and that attention will hopefully result in new supporters for Bernie. Hopeful for a snowball effect here.

Bernie wins on the issues. We just have to get people to know and understand his viewpoints on the issues.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
11. Those who say that
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:39 AM
Apr 2015

Believe he isn't right wing enough. "Vote in right winger Dems or we are dooooomed!" goes against almost every poll. Bernie doesn't have to evolve on issues. He is already there.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
25. No offense, but bullshit.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:58 AM
Apr 2015

I think Bernie is right on most important economic issues. That's not the problem. The problem is a rumpled guy who looks like he slept in his suit with a heavy Brooklyn accent isn't going to win a Presidential election, no matter how good he is on the issues.

We live int he age of Citizens United. It just won't happen.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
31. The primaries haven't even started yet
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:12 PM
Apr 2015

Carter was an unknown peanut farmer. Clinton was an unknown governor.

'Rumpled with an accent dooms him'? Sorry, but that is very shallow.

Bernie polls with the vast majority of Americans on most issues.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
40. Hey, Big portions of the American public ARE shallow. That's why the GOP gets the votes it does.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:27 PM
Apr 2015

If Bernie wins the nomination, I will work hard for him... money and time. And if he wins, I will be HAPPY to come here and eat crow. DELIGHTED in fact.

But it isn't my first rodeo and I'm calling it like I see it.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
41. If you believe that courting shallowness is the key to victory
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:29 PM
Apr 2015

Then go ahead and espouse it. The rest of us are moving away from that nonsense.

Brainstormy

(2,380 posts)
13. Thank you
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:39 AM
Apr 2015

for stating what others won't. I love Bernie. But I don't believe he can win. Frankly, I don't believe most of his cheerleaders believe it either.

MineralMan

(146,241 posts)
14. Assessments of a candidate's chances of winning are based
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:40 AM
Apr 2015

on lots of things, but mostly on history. They're a valid consideration in primary elections and are one of the key things people look at when funding campaigns and putting their support behind a candidate.

Estimates of viability have nothing to do with "fear" or anything else. They're crucial in figuring out what's likely to happen.

Pooka Fey

(3,496 posts)
15. Voting machine vote-flip fraud in Ohio in 2004, Voter fiasco in FL in 2000 (hanging chads)
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:41 AM
Apr 2015

so any discussion of "who can win" for me is depends on the integrity of the election process. As long as unverified electronic voting, along with other methods of voter suppression and gerry-mandering - cleansing the voter rolls of African Americans, students, etc, forcing voters to stand in line for 8-12 hours to cast a vote, any discussion of "who can win" is not very productive.

Having said that, the fact that Senator Sanders is an Independent is to his advantage in the Presidential election. He will pull in the moderate Republican voter that will not vote for Hillary Clinton.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
26. Although that's true, and it's worth mentioning...
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:59 AM
Apr 2015

Vermont has the second lowest population of any state in the union, so it's difficult to extrapolate Sanders' success on his (very tiny) home turf to his likely viability among the national electorate, which I suspect is rather more diverse and polarized than Sanders' constituency.

SamKnause

(13,082 posts)
35. That is why he has been traveling around the country for months.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:16 PM
Apr 2015

He wanted to know what working class Americans, unemployed

Americans, poor Americans, union members, teachers, parents,

students, etc. want in a president.

He knows that people in this country want change !!!

He has stately repeatedly that the people are angry.

He knows that people in this country want good paying jobs.

He knows that people in this country want the rich to pay

their fair share.

He knows Free Trade Deals are bad for the U.S. worker.

He knows corporations don't pay their taxes.

He knows that people in this country are sick of war.

He knows that social services have been slashed to keep the

Pentagon fed.

These issues are important to Republican and Democratic voters.

I don't think the Republican politicians represents their constituents

needs.

I don't think all Republicans watch or worship Fox 'News'.

I think the working class Republican voters are finally catching on.

The wealthy Republicans will continue to vote for a Corporate Theocracy.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
44. Just came back from my lunch break in my office's cafeteria
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:41 PM
Apr 2015

I was in a crowd of about two dozen adults, all of them well known to me, so on a whim I asked if they know who Bernie Sanders is.

About 20 had no idea.

Two knew him as the Senator from Vermont--one of whom really likes Sanders.

One made a joke about Kentucky Fried Chicken, then admitted that he has no idea.


Of that crowd, only one (other than me) knew that Sanders has declared his intent to seek the nomination.

Of that crowd, how many do you think know who Hillary is?

To describe Sanders' campaign as "quixotic" is a charitable overstatement. He faces an astonishingly difficult uphill climb simply to attain name recognition, only after which can he actually start campaigning.


Notwithstanding your carefully recited soundbytes, Sanders faces an almost impossible task, to the point that one wonders if he himself actually thinks that he's a viable candidate.

SamKnause

(13,082 posts)
47. I was hoping to have a civil conversation
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:54 PM
Apr 2015

but I don't think that will be possible.

My carefully recited soundbytes come from my research on

Bernie.

I have listened to his speeches.

I have watched him on C-SPAN.

I watched his filibuster.

I have read article after article written by or about Bernie.

I have watched him on Democracy Now.

I have watched him on Real Time with Bill Maher.

Those are his beliefs and positions.

He doesn't waiver.

You are correct.

It is an EPIC uphill battle !!!

I do thank you for conducting that experiment or survey.

I am saddened by the results.

 

ieoeja

(9,748 posts)
61. I wouldn't be too saddened by the results.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:40 PM
Apr 2015

Just days before Super Tuesday Clinton said, "it will all be over Tuesday."

The reasoning was that Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada were small enough that Obama could compete against her. But Super Tuesday was too big of an event. She failed to realize that he did not have to match her campaign resources in each Super Tuesday state simultaneously because people had learned about Obama by watching coverage of the first four primaries.

Same thing will happen next year. Iowa goes to the meet and greet candidates. Meet and greet doesn't work for Hillary. Every time she has attempted it, her poll numbers plumetted. Once Sanders wins Iowa, she will need a comeback in New Hampshire.

I don't want to predict what happens in New Hampshire. On the one hand, it is in Sander's backyard. On the other, New Hampshire is hard right wing on economics and more likely to favor Clinton. On the third hand, will back-to-back defeats in Iowa make them think Clinton is yesterday's news? It is very possible that Clinton's loss in Iowa will make her defeat seem inevitable.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
71. From the OP:
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:16 PM
Apr 2015
If someone can convince me that Sanders is a viable candidate for the general election, then I will happily support him. But simply saying "Barack Obama was a nobody in 2008" is insufficient, because circumstances were very different at that time.
Eight years ago, we were at the tail end of the worst president in history, a widely despised Republican seen worldwide as a dangerous laughingstock.

The GOP offered McCain and Palin as a follow-up, which was effectively a promise that they would work very hard to make everything even worse.

Clinton had not yet been Secretary of State, and Obama had better organization as well as a strong get-out-the-vote team.

Obama was a relative unknown on the national stage, but he was seen as an up-and-comer. Sanders is a relative unknown (in fact, almost an absolute unknown) among the populace, with no indication that he has anything like Obama's level of organization.

In short, almost nothing about 2008 is the same in 2015.
 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
77. Things are never identical. But if you're going to make name recognition your big argument, then
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:27 PM
Apr 2015

sorry, but simply citing the fact that Hillary has already been beaten in a presidential primary by an unknown is enough to blow all that bs away.

Besides, I'd say the electoral deck was considerably more stacked against Obama than it is for Sanders. I mean seriously, a black man with a name that recalled our two biggest national bogeymen? You might as well be running a hasidic jew named Hannibal Manson.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
83. Name recognition isn't the only factor, obviously.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:56 PM
Apr 2015

It's a big one, and it will hurt Sanders here. Am I wrong? Convince me. Citing 2008 is insufficient.

There's also the fact that he'd be our first Jewish presidential candidate; that makes no difference to me, but it will be an issue in a general election in which the Right aggressively plays to its racist base, especially given Sanders' less-than-cozy view of Bibi. Am I wrong? Convince me. Citing 2008 is insufficient.

Things are never identical.
No shit? Then you can't use Obama's victory as an argument in favor of Sanders' electibility, either.



 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
90. I can't convince you, and don't really care to try.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:58 PM
Apr 2015

I'm not convinced myself, to be perfectly honest. He'll have a hell of a hill to climb.

By the way, this:

"Things are never identical."
No shit? Then you can't use Obama's victory as an argument in favor of Sanders' electibility, either.

I hilariously nonsensical, especially when you're also demanding to be convinced of something. According to your rules, we can never say anything about anything, unless it is to compare two completely identical things.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
92. I imagine that you see it that way.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:16 PM
Apr 2015

You invoked 2008 as precedent to show that a semi-anonymous upstart can defeat the "sure thing" candidate, and then you said that nothing is identical.

If I'm not permitted to invoke the similarity of past elections (i.e., Kucinich's doomed-from-the-start pipedream), then why are you?

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
99. I don't care if you invoke Kucinich.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 05:23 PM
Apr 2015

And I can see the similarities. I'd say the difference this time around is that Sanders' main issue (Wall Street regulation and the 1% vs. the 99%) is one that resonates with a much broader range of Americans than Kucinich's foreign policy talk.

okaawhatever

(9,457 posts)
89. Yes, and it takes money to run enough campaign advertising to make him known. Sanders doesn't
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:29 PM
Apr 2015

seem to have the fundraising ability to accomplish that.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
60. And playing on that home turf idea
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:39 PM
Apr 2015

I think truth be know, many Republicans actually like Liberal and especially social policies. In small like minded groups they will admit it and vote in that direction. Walk out of that bubble, enter into batshit RW crazy, bible totin', gun totin' South and regardless of any individual Republican's heart felt hopes, they will NEVER vote for anything but Republican.

Pooka Fey

(3,496 posts)
21. He brought in the moderate Republican vote in Vermont
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:49 AM
Apr 2015

Watch this interview

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=6595115

I would also really appreciate it if Americans could stop reacting to the "Socialist" word like a bunch of pigeons ringing bells. The American media trained us to confuse socialism and communism so that they could destroy the working class. We don't have to fall for it.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
23. I don't have any problems with the word socialist or the ideology.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:51 AM
Apr 2015

Republicans, on the other hand, consider it as bad as Hitler.

And I checked the Vermont exit polls for 2006, and indeed, he did pull 21% of the Republican vote. I stand corrected.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
34. Wooing Republicans marginalizes the Democratic base
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:15 PM
Apr 2015

That is how elections are lost. Republicans don't vote for Democrats and if you base your chances on that happening, you have lost before you begin.

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)
19. It's a silly argument found all over the internet
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 11:48 AM
Apr 2015

for a lot of wishful thinking. I'm glad Sanders is in the race,I think he's an important voice on the left,that being said I'll be surprised if he manages to poll higher that 12-15% thoughout the primaries.

 

bigwillq

(72,790 posts)
27. Perhaps some are.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:01 PM
Apr 2015

Perhaps others are just realists.

At this point, I think it's too early to tell if Sanders can win or not. But I would say the same about all other candidates, from all parties, at this point.

PassingFair

(22,434 posts)
28. If they aren't afraid of "him", they should be afraid of the issues he will raise.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:03 PM
Apr 2015

Hillary is a pandering hawk.

This is known.

This will now get an airing.

This is good.

kentuck

(111,036 posts)
29. people seem to be looking for a life raft?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:07 PM
Apr 2015

What changes if Hillary is elected? Do we continue on this downward spiral? Some may think so. Or will she be a true reform candidate?

MADem

(135,425 posts)
32. Very good and clear post.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:13 PM
Apr 2015

Sanders has a very steep hill to climb, and insufficient name recognition, money, support and a "perception of vigor" to make the path easy for him. He also doesn't fit the paradigm of a world leader--he looks like an academic, and he looks older than his actual age, which isn't helpful, either, to sell his brand to the more shallow members of the electorate. Clinton doesn't fit an American paradigm, either, but Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, has done her a MASSIVE favor by being out and about on the world stage--her presence in the big leagues makes it easier for Clinton and inclines people who are squeamish about any kind of change to feel more at ease about the possibility of a female POTUS.

I, too, remember the Kucinich posts. I should think Senator Sanders will gather a few more votes than he managed--Sanders is more beloved in VT than Kucinich was in OH, I think. He'll probably get a bit of traction in NH, too.

Nothing is actually "gained" from the simplistic dismissal of reservations, but it all makes for one hell of a DU catfight/brawl/donnybrook/bust-up. People on DU, some of them, REALLY like to fight. They think that yelling at people via the internet matters.

It's not living, though, when people do that kind of thing--it's an imitation of it!

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
36. No, it's time to panic!
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:18 PM
Apr 2015

[hr][font color="blue"][center]All things in moderation, including moderation.[/center][/font][hr]

freshwest

(53,661 posts)
39. Like asking a question in a church and the howls erupt of 'You're not really saved!'
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:26 PM
Apr 2015


It does not sway many of us. IMO, Sanders' electability will be part of the debate, like anyone else running will face. But negative campaigns don't work except for GOP, Libertarians, Naderites, etc who profit from screwing with the heads of Democrats.

But look at PBO who was a long shot, however people saw the brilliance of his thinking and were willing to give him a chance.

Or the re-election of Clinton, as people didn't buy the smears that were being sold. But we are long way from that time, twenty years ago!

Since then the media dumbing down of the electorate has mulitplied, and that is of concern, people falling for every media trick, when the media is all about RFing Democrats and pushing the nation to agree with the Koch brothers.

Even if Sanders does not get the nomination (and remember HRC's fabled war chest is mostly IOU's and will be for the general, not the primary, so it's not to blame) it will not be the fault of other candidates running in the primary. Not being able to get your party to accept you is proof you are not electable.

So while I support Bernie, I don't support those who are waiving his flag as part of anti-other Democrat campaign style. That is pure RF.

Zorra

(27,670 posts)
43. Then why are people wasting their time desperately pushing the issue if he can't win?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:38 PM
Apr 2015

Is it some kind of ego gotcha thing, or is it that they simply need to get a life?

Posting something positive
about the candidate
they support
would be far more constructive
than

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
46. "Desperately?" Nope. That's projection.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:49 PM
Apr 2015
s it some kind of ego gotcha thing, or is it that they simply need to get a life?
Nope. That's another false dichotomy, because the actual answer is neither of those.

Posting something positive about the candidate they support would be far more constructive
What a lovely and rose-colored world that would be! Perhaps the "positivity" could begin by abandoning the claim that people who don't see Sanders as viable are "afraid" of him."

Zorra

(27,670 posts)
62. Meh. Whatever. I got two more non-voters to agree to register as Dems and vote for Bernie
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:43 PM
Apr 2015

in the Dem primary this morning. That makes six so far.

Tomorrow I pick up voter registration forms so I can register low information non-voters as Democrats immediately, who agree to vote for Bernie. I will be registering them as vote by mail to make it simple for them to vote.

Many people in my red state don't like President Obama and don't like Secretary Clinton and don't like republicans either. Bernie is a chance for them to fuck the system that they are sick and tired of.

The response I've been getting is beyond encouraging, it's absolutely uplifting.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
48. I don't think they're afraid of Sanders *winning*. I think they're afraid of
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 12:55 PM
Apr 2015

having his voice in the debate. His argument is going to sound very good to working people, and it's going to make a DLC Democrat like Hillary look quite far right.

I think they view Sanders and his message the same way they used to view gay marriage; as something that can only undermine their product's brand. They'd prefer these issues not really be raised, except in political platitudes, since it will make it easier for their candidate to win.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
51. What do you suspect will be the result, then?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:13 PM
Apr 2015

Does it seem likely that she'd veer to the left in an effort to woo Sanders' supporters, who would see this as an insincere and opportunistic tactic, or will she move farther to the center-right?

If he makes Hillary look far-right, then how will that affect her chances in the general election, assuming that she wins the nomination?


If there is any "fear" of Sanders, I suspect that it's the "fear" that his involvement will help Republicans win the Whitehouse and thereby hold all three branches of government, along with a prime opportunity to stack the SCOTUS with relatively young justices well to the right of Scalia.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
64. I didn't realize we had anyone here openly arguing against a primary anymore.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:53 PM
Apr 2015

Hillary will have to run against at least one person in a primary, and if you really think that utterly minimal level of effort is enough to wreck her chances, then she's an unbelievably weak candidate.

As for what she'll say in the primaries, I'd say you nailed it. She'll edge as far left as she thinks she needs to in order to win the primary, then march rightward again. Just like every corporate Dem.

Gothmog

(144,833 posts)
50. I personally like and respect Bernie Sanders but I do not think that he is viable
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:13 PM
Apr 2015

The Kochs will be spending $889 million and the GOP will be spending at least that amount. The Democratic nominee will need to raise at least $one billion to be competitive. I do not see Sanders being able to do that.

I am not afraid of Sanders and I am glad that he is running. Primaries and debates are good things. However, I want to support a candidate who can win in November of 2016. We must keep the GOP from gaining control of the SCOTUS. If we lose the 2016, election, the GOP will have a lock on the SCOTUS for a generation

I would be happy to be wrong and find out that Sanders is viable. I just do not see this right now

pnwmom

(108,950 posts)
55. The only thing I'm afraid of is that the Rethugs could win in 2016.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:23 PM
Apr 2015

No Democrat scares me.

But I don't think that Bernie has the campaign organization or fund raising capability to do as well as Hillary. If he agrees to limit himself to Federal matching funds I don't see how he can overcome the Koch advantage.

We shall see.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
56. That's a good and pragmatic assessment
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:25 PM
Apr 2015

All else being equal, there's simply nothing to suggest that Sanders can match the spending power of the GOP and its boosters.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
58. Who has called them fools?
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:29 PM
Apr 2015

I have seen no such accusation. However, I have seen dozens of posts accusing non-supporters of being afraid of Sanders.

whatchamacallit

(15,558 posts)
91. Lots of
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:11 PM
Apr 2015

"Let's get real", "On what planet", "Anyone who thinks Bernie can win..."

You know what I'm talking about.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
93. Well...
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:23 PM
Apr 2015
"Let's get real", "On what planet", "Anyone who thinks Bernie can win..."
I'm not sure the first two qualify as calling someone a fool, because they're general statements without singling anyone out nor questiong anyone's mental capacity.

The third one, I agree, might approach that line, depending on what would appear after the ellipsis.


I suppose we can weigh it against being called a Third Wayer or the like.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
59. Really is just a simple way to think.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 01:33 PM
Apr 2015

Making a claim others are in fear because they don't fall in line behind you. It would actually be in direct contrast to fear if those people were being honest with themselves. Fear over what. A great person entering the primary. It's just others projecting.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
73. "Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:19 PM
Apr 2015

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
85. Sure, Google is awesome
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:03 PM
Apr 2015

Und die Scham fiel auf ihre Seite, oh, wir können sie schlagen für alle Zeiten.

BainsBane

(53,010 posts)
75. Kucinich never took himself seriously
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:23 PM
Apr 2015

which made it impossible for others to take him seriously. Note that in debates K. often spoke in the conditional tense when responding to questions. He didn't believe he could win. Sanders has said he wouldn't run if he didn't think he could win. That already signals a big difference. I plan to watch the debates and evaluate the candidates then, but I see no reason for people online to write off Sanders so soon. There is a great deal of frustration in the country. We are no longer in Cold War or post-Cold War America. Let's see what happens.

 

Maedhros

(10,007 posts)
76. I, for one, think it's best to believe conservative pundits in this regard.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:24 PM
Apr 2015

I mean, if the Koch's are going to spend so much money to defeat him, we should just not try. Amirite?

tularetom

(23,664 posts)
81. I'm glad he entered the race. Can he win? Don't ask me
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:38 PM
Apr 2015

Whether we're talking about the primary or the general election, he's up against people with a lot more money, and access to even more money, than he'll ever have.

But if he does well, it may empower other good candidates to enter the race. Including those who have consistently denied that they are running.

I'm happy to see that he has decided to run.

 

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
82. At this point in time in 2007, Hillary Clinton was the 'inevitable' Democratic nominee too. Now how
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 02:50 PM
Apr 2015

did THAT work out for her come 2008?

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
84. Well, that doesn't answer the question.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:01 PM
Apr 2015

Why are questions about Sanders' electability dismissed as "fear?"

tiredtoo

(2,949 posts)
88. I like Bernie
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 03:19 PM
Apr 2015

And I also have fears. He will receive my support in his efforts. In November 2016 i will support and vote for the Democratic candidate for president of the United States.

Exilednight

(9,359 posts)
94. No one gave ....
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:24 PM
Apr 2015

Reagan a chance, either. He was a not so we'll known governor who was best remembered, when he was remembered, for playing second banana to a chimp, or second rate westerns.

Yet, he burst out of nowhere espousing a doctrine that took his party where it is today - pushing through libertarion economic policy and forcing us to continually fight the culture wars.

How did Reagan do it?

Simple. He was passionate and truly believed in what he was selling. So is Bernie. I can't say the same for Hillary, thus my belief that she is unelectable in a GE, and I truly believe that many of her supporters feel the same way, and are thus scared of Bernie.

Orrex

(63,154 posts)
97. I don't think that "they're scared of Bernie" is the right way to phrase it.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:33 PM
Apr 2015

Something like "they find Bernie mildly inconvenient" is probably more accurate.

No one gave Reagan a chance, either. He was a not so we'll known governor who was best remembered, when he was remembered, for playing second banana to a chimp, or second rate westerns.
Really? You dismiss him too lightly. Also, you ignore the apparatus that worked to funnel him into office. Does Sanders have anything to compare with that? And would Sanders be running in the wake of the opposing party's first-term adminstration perceived as weak and ineffectual?

Incidentally, Reagan was governor of California. Sanders is a Senator from Vermont.

California has the largest economy in the union, at least as of 2015.

Know which state has the smallest?


I'm not sure that you can draw an effective comparison between the two campaigns, not least because Sanders is a moral human being while Reagan was an opportunistic, divisive puppet.

Starry Messenger

(32,342 posts)
96. I'm not afraid of him, I adore him.
Thu Apr 30, 2015, 04:28 PM
Apr 2015

I wish we lived in the world where he wins.

The "Obama in 2008" argument is nonsense. Obama had been tapped as far back as 2004. I knew when he gave the keynote at the DNC for Kerry that his star potential had been noticed and that he'd be running. He had Presidential material written all over him.

That said, I think it is great Bernie is running. I'm looking forward to more articles in WaPo where they have to dust off their reporting skills and actually talk about the American relationship with socialism. I'll bet it cramped someone's finger today to have to type "Eugene Debs."

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