Will John Ellis Bush's presidential campaign die in the crib?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Last edited Sun May 10, 2015, 09:54 AM - Edit history (1)

He's trailing badly in Iowa:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html


He's trailing in New Hampshire:





http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html


South Carolina is his firewall. But the Palmetto State Republican primary is replete with yahoos, err social conservatives...I'm not convinced they will be down with this Bush...

[beachbum bob]

1. no

mainline GOP sees Jeb as the ONLY chance in winning in 2016...all the others are clowns at this point with zero chance

[roguevalley]

21. They might want it bob but the voters hate him

they hate, hate, hate him because they are insane. Either way, it will be fun to watch.

[hatrack]

2. He bombed at Foulwell U, and he's Catholic, so there go the Thumpers . . .

And they're really the only solid GOP bloc left, given the TeaClowns' penchant for ideological purity and 1824-style government.

Libertarians? Two words - Terri Schaivo.

Wall Street? Doesn't really matter, since all the Clown Train denizens promise the same low, low taxes (We're practically giving away the public trust!!! Our prices are so low, we must be INSANE!!!)

Milennials - Puh-leeze.

He'll stay out as long as he can to grift as many suitcases of cash as possible, but with the name he's dragging around, that may not make much difference.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I missed his speech at Liberty ...

Hey, Ted Kennedy spoke there too:

How did Bush lll foul up?

[Cooley Hurd]

3. If he can't make it out of either Iowa or NH, it'll be a tough row to hoe...

[cherokeeprogressive]

4. It already has. n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. It's a bit early for his political obituary...

It's a bit early for his political obituary but it does give some insight into the relative strengths of the Bush and Clinton brands.

BTW, and Bush lll hasn't taken the press beating Hillary has...

As an aide, how do you like them Clippers?

[cherokeeprogressive]

9. I don't believe the Seedling ever had a snowball's chance in hell.

There is only one reason I'm not a Clippers fan; I have zero interest in bball. It's the only sport I couldn't play. And by "couldn't play" I mean I can't dribble a basketball and breathe at the same time.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. Who is the seedling? Bush ?

I am a transplanted Floridian but since I am in L A I want to see any L A team do well; Kings. Lakers, Clippers, Dodgers as long as it isn't at the expense of my long time favorite teams.

[cali]

7. Certainly not. He is projected to have a $100 million dollar haul- this month alone

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. I suspect he will stick around and while money is very , very, important...

I suspect he will stick around and while money is very , very, ... important it is not always dispositive:

In 1980 John Connally, Richard Nixon's scandal-tainted treasury secretary, raised eleven million dollars, more money than any of the other candidates, including Ronald Reagan. Connally, however, received just one delegate.

In 2004 Howard Dean, the first candidate to tap the Internet for massive campaign donations, surprised the pundits by out-raising the presumed front runners in the second quarter of 2003, pulling in seven and a half million dollars. John Kerry by contrast raised just six million and the other candidates even less. On the eve of the Iowa caucus in 2004 Dean, having raised some twenty-five million dollars, was flush in money while Kerry's campaign was broke.

In 1996 Texas Sen. Phil Gramm raised almost as much money as Bob Dole. Gramm, echoing boss Mark Hanna, famously said, "I have the most reliable friend in politics and that is ready money." But it wasn't enough. Dole went on to win the nomination after the voters took a close look at Gramm and decided he wasn't presidential, no matter his millions.

David Olgilvy, the founder of Ogilvy and Mather, and hailed as the "Father Of Advertising" wrote that the best way to kill a bad product is to heavily advertise and publicize it because people will use it and find it wanting...All those candidates I cited money raised couldn't help them because the voters learned about them and didn't like them...

The Bushes are associated with unpopular wars and recessions...That's a problem that no amount of money may be able to fix.

[hrmjustin]

11. I know there are some determined to get him elected but I don't think the gop base wants him.

[ScreamingMeemie]

12. John Forbes Kerry was trailing until he wasn't in 2004...

I don't know why we are using middles names...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. Jeb seems like an affectionate moniker. I don't feel affection towards him./NT

[okaawhatever]

15. Oh, I thought it was because Jeb was Hispanic for John Ellis and now that we know he isn't

Hispanic.......

[UTUSN]

14. The base is fooled by his fake "moderation".

[Baitball Blogger]

16. I predict that the longer Jeb Bush runs, the more

we'll learn about the screw ups that his brother was responsible for.

[jeff47]

17. Yep. He would represent the "I'm not that insane" wing of the party. But Walker is covering that.

There's really no room for him. And he isn't acting narcissistic enough to run anyway.

[HooptieWagon]

18. He's got enough money to hold on and win a war of attrition.

[OregonBlue]

19. Romney was not looking good either but he got the nomination. The money men have already

decided who they want the candidate to be. It would be very hard for anyone else to overcome Jeb.

[LeftInTX]

22. Exactly

[Gothmog]

20. Normally the winner of the money primary is the nominee

Jeb has a ton of baggage that may keep him from being the nominee

[OregonBlue]

23. He is also going to have billions. I think the money men have already decided. They did well under

Shrub. Made out like bandits. Oh, I guess because they are bandits.