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Capt. Obvious

(9,002 posts)
Fri May 29, 2015, 02:07 PM May 2015

Quinnipiac's latest national poll. Let's dig in.

- Each of the 57 Republican candidates for President is hovering somewhere between 1% and 10% with 20% undecided.

- Among Democrats Clinton declined slightly from %60 to %57.

- Among Democrats Bernie is showing the mo jumping from 8% to 15%.

- Clinton overall seen as dishonest (53%) but also seen as a strong leader (60%).

- Clinton beats all Republican challengers but remains below 50 in all matchups except for Trump.

- Rubio (45-41) and Paul (46-42) are two tough matchups.

- Going to war with Iraq was the wrong thing to do (59%), yet among Republican voters support for the war remains high (62%).

- Generic Senate ballots look good for Dems.

May 28 Release

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Quinnipiac's latest national poll. Let's dig in. (Original Post) Capt. Obvious May 2015 OP
In a related story ... NanceGreggs May 2015 #1
Pretty sure we are seeing what we thought we were going to at this point. NCTraveler May 2015 #2
And Biden is in the poll DemocratSinceBirth May 2015 #3
I said here about a week ago. NCTraveler May 2015 #4
O'Malley is a bigger threat to Bernie. Their message is almost identical. Unless something.... Tarheel_Dem May 2015 #6
Agree and disagree. NCTraveler May 2015 #8
Nothing about Bernie? hootinholler May 2015 #5
O Malley is a threat to Bernie workinclasszero May 2015 #7

NanceGreggs

(27,814 posts)
1. In a related story ...
Fri May 29, 2015, 02:16 PM
May 2015

The GOP is attempting to compile a list of any and all Republicans who will NOT be running for president in the 2016 election.

Thus far, there are only sixteen people who have declared that they will NOT be running - although nine of them did check off the "I reserve the right to change my mind" box on the questionnaire provided.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
2. Pretty sure we are seeing what we thought we were going to at this point.
Fri May 29, 2015, 02:19 PM
May 2015

Warrens support has shifted over to Sanders. Is this the first release omitting Warren?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
3. And Biden is in the poll
Fri May 29, 2015, 02:21 PM
May 2015

Now where does a dispassionate observer believe the lion's share of his support will go?

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
4. I said here about a week ago.
Fri May 29, 2015, 02:30 PM
May 2015

That I felt Warren supporters were going to go to Sanders, as they were mainly supporting her in opposition to Hillary. Somewhat clear considering the number of times she said she wasn't running. I feel Biden supporters will go mainly toward Hillary. I really enjoy watching things like this as the movement of these numbers are often predictable. Here is why it doesn't matter too much right now. O'MALLEY. His announcement is going to change things up big time.

What will happen when he announces? Will Hillary's numbers go in half? Will Sanders sink as supporters of his who are simply anti-Hillary go to a different ship? Will O'Malley even garner large support? I tend to think he will immediately garner 20%.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,233 posts)
6. O'Malley is a bigger threat to Bernie. Their message is almost identical. Unless something....
Fri May 29, 2015, 03:41 PM
May 2015

significant happens to dissuade Hillary, Joe Biden will not announce, and his support will go to her. Bernie & O'Malley will divide up the spoils. She's in a commanding position, and I don't see anything changing that.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
8. Agree and disagree.
Fri May 29, 2015, 03:51 PM
May 2015

I do think O'Malley is being thought of as Hillary's rival. The conversations about him alone often reference to Hillary. Then again, articles of about Sanders and all of the republicans mention Hillary more often than not. Everyone wants their name next to a winner. I think O'Malley also has an opportunity for a huge entrance into the campaign. If he does it correctly, it will be big news. I think his kick-off will determine the remainder of the season. If it is a dud, Hillary will continue to focus on issues that will resonate in the general. If O'Malley knocks it out of the park, she better be ready for the primaries. I do think a poor entrance by O'Malley would be a green light for Hillary to start gearing up for the general. It would hurt Sanders too bad.


"She is in a commanding position" She sure is. Pretty sure she leads in every poll with respect to who the left wants to currently move into the general.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
7. O Malley is a threat to Bernie
Fri May 29, 2015, 03:47 PM
May 2015

not Hillary.

As far as those two teahaddists polling close to Hillary now?

Wait till debates start and they lay out their insane stone age plans for America.

Hillary will soar far above the republican idiots in the polls after that lol!

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