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Segami

(14,923 posts)
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:13 PM Jun 2015

New Dems And Blue Dogs WHINING It Costs Them More To Run For Congress Than It Costs Real Democrats

Writing for Stars and Stripes and the Washington Post Sunday, Anne Kim, an operative for Wall Street's deceptively named Progressive Policy Institute (a pro-corporate/anti-worker New Dem outfit that was founded by the DLC to promote neoliberal ideas like NAFTA and the TPP), decries how much more it costs reactionary Democrats-- New Dems and Blue Dogs-- to run for election than it costs real Democrats. It costs the Democrats who support the Republican/Wall Street agenda double what it costs actual Democrats to run for office. Kim's research finds that the fake Dems "spent roughly twice as much as their liberal counterparts to win or defend their seats." That trend is getting more pronounced and she pointed out that for every dollar that the average Progressive Caucus member directly spent to defend his or her seat in 2014, the average right-wing Democrat spent $1.93. By comparison, right-wing Democrats shelled out $1.54 for every campaign dollar spent by liberals by 2012 and $1.65 in 2010.

"...Being a moderate costs far more than being extreme. And the increasing expense means most moderates can’t compete.

Consider the case of Democratic members of the House, where long-standing, self-defined coalitions — New Democrats and Blue Dogs on the one hand and the Progressive Caucus on the other — separate moderates and liberals with reasonable clarity. (Members must apply to join, attend regular meetings and remain in good standing.) In the past three election cycles, self-described moderate lawmakers spent roughly twice as much as their liberal counterparts to win or defend their seats...."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its-hard-to-be-a-moderate-politician-its-also-more-expensive/2015/05/28/86bab940-04d9-11e5-a428-c984eb077d4e_story.html


She doesn't get into it, but these figures include the way Wall Street-backed conservaDems gigantically outspend progressives in primaries, often with the help of the Democratic Beltway Establishment which has now entirely abandoned its pretense of being neutral in primaries. Let's look at a few of the most recent examples from the last cycle. Here are 4 notable races that pitted New Dem types who back cutting Social Security benefits against progressives who favor expanding Social Security. In each case, the corporate-backed right-winger seriously outspent the progressive:

• CA-17- Ro Khanna- $4,427,701, Mike Honda- $3,447,979

• CA-31- Pete Aguilar- $2,246,265, Eloise Reyes- $1,029,617

• IL-13- Ann Callis- $1,936,927, George Gollin- $522,126

• VA-08- Don Beyer- $2,688,020, Patrick Hope- $307,599


The New Dem analysis for why they have to spend more than real Democrats never touches on the fact that the New Dems' conservative policy agenda turns off Democratic primary voters. Instead they claim that "moderate districts are by definition competitive... In 2014, outside groups spent an average of $2.2 million per race in New Democrat and Blue Dog districts, compared with an average of $299,339 in Progressive Caucus districts. All told, outside groups spent $121 million on moderate districts, vs. $20.4 million in liberal ones." [Keep in mind that New Dems and Blue Dogs and their propagandists like Kim, always refer to them as "moderate" rather than as the conservatives that they are.] In January, after Long Island Blue Dog and DCCC chair Steve Israel led the House Democrats to a second consecutive electoral donnybrook, he gave Politico an interview indicating he has every intention of following the same catastrophic strategy that tanked the Democrats in 2010, 2012 and 2014 (the Israel years). Several members of Congress have told me that Israel's pointless, policy-free messaging doesn't appeal to real voters and that that's why so many Democrats just don't bother voting. Israel recruits Republican-lite candidates (in some cases, actual Republicans) and then fills the airwaves with ineffective, garbage messaging and still expects to win. He doesn't win; he loses... and loses and loses. And yet, Pelosi left him in charge-- albeit with another title-- of the DCCC again, where he is already talking about how the Democrats won't win back the House in 2016. He's right. The Democrats will never win back the House as long as Steve Israel is running the show, or even partially running the show.

House Democrats will hammer home the message of “middle-class economics” in hopes of reviving their fortunes in 2016.

After three months of griping that their party’s midterm-election message was too complex and often too diluted, lawmakers who gathered here for a three-day Democratic retreat hope they have found the formula for reversing the losses they took in November.

We’re “absolutely unified on three essential messages going forward: It’s middle class, middle class, middle class,” said Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.), who had just surveyed 90 Democratic members about what they want to see in 2016. “Everybody agreed that it has to be about the middle.”

Israel, the new chairman of the House Democrats’ messaging arm, said another problem in 2014 was that news on Ebola, Ukraine and Islamic militants knocked domestic concerns from voters’ minds.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/democrats-unified-economic-message-114723.html


And the DCCC continues spending virtually all its resources trying to reelect and elect Blue Dogs and New Dems who vote with the GOP and have no connection to the Democratic values-driven grassroots. If you contribute to the DCCC, that's the toilet your money gets flushed down. Instead, consider contributing directly to progressive candidates.



http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com
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New Dems And Blue Dogs WHINING It Costs Them More To Run For Congress Than It Costs Real Democrats (Original Post) Segami Jun 2015 OP
I honestly don't understand the DCCC kenfrequed Jun 2015 #1
And these Democrats are the ones that get beaten in midterms too! cascadiance Jun 2015 #4
Oh gods yes. kenfrequed Jun 2015 #5
Stopped reading at, "Real Democrats" ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #2
Could you please define what is the difference between a conservative Democrat BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #6
While these are really broad, to the point of uselessness, terms ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #8
Snow came to mind after I posted BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #9
I agree; but, as much as we would like to argue about it ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #10
Except polling repeatedly shows this claim is wrong. jeff47 Jun 2015 #12
That is a fair point. I should have said ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #13
I would argue that liberals are the majority by a wide margin BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #14
I edited that to what I should have said ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #15
I would edit to say BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #18
+ another Scuba Jun 2015 #22
+1 Scuba Jun 2015 #21
Liberals: you can count on em when the going gets rough BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #24
If you have a quality product, Downwinder Jun 2015 #3
This is precisely why Hillary will have to raise $2 billion plus to run. leveymg Jun 2015 #7
Keep in mind that Bernie got 100,000 volunteers in the first week that he announced... Mr. Robot Jun 2015 #17
Tsk. Tsk. Sad, very sad. Heartbreaking. Tragic. Tierra_y_Libertad Jun 2015 #11
Boo fuckin' hoo. Mr. Robot Jun 2015 #16
Is it because the blue dogs are in redder states and its more difficult for a leftier democrat... aikoaiko Jun 2015 #19
^ Wilms Jun 2015 #20
K&R Scuba Jun 2015 #23

kenfrequed

(7,865 posts)
1. I honestly don't understand the DCCC
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:28 PM
Jun 2015

Too many of their chairs are way too tight with the (practically extinct) Blue Dogs. Rahm was about the worst of them.

I donate money to individual national candidates these days or to state and local elections.

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
4. And these Democrats are the ones that get beaten in midterms too!
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:02 PM
Jun 2015

When the base has to be more motivated to come out and vote for them. A huge majority of those voted out in the 2010 midterms were the corporate Democrats that Rahmbo and his DCCC pushed to get elected earlier. If they were more in line with traditional Democratic values, I think we'd get more motivation for traditional Democrats to come out and vote for them, and perhaps help overall strength in the elections in the midterms as well.

kenfrequed

(7,865 posts)
5. Oh gods yes.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:12 PM
Jun 2015

Rahm picks were just soo bad. He tended to glom onto republican-lite candidates. There were so many here even on this board that would defend him. We continually had better progressive candidates that had a shot but Rahm would just absolutely shower DCCC money on corporate candidates. It was extremely frustrating and all we ended up with were a smattering more blue dogs that gave republicans cover for their fillibusters during President Obama's first two years.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
2. Stopped reading at, "Real Democrats" ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:32 PM
Jun 2015

the Democratic Party has always contained the spectrum of political orientation, from conservative to liberal to progressive ... all with different priorities and ALL of them DEMOCRATS.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
6. Could you please define what is the difference between a conservative Democrat
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:20 PM
Jun 2015

and a moderate Republican? How has that changed in the last few decades specifically?

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
8. While these are really broad, to the point of uselessness, terms ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:36 PM
Jun 2015

but the obvious difference is Party Identification ... your vote for O. Snow (a "moderate republican&quot gets lumped in with the Cruzs, gohmerts and kings of the republican party; your vote for a Blue dog Democrat gets lumped in which the Bernies and Frankens and Graysons of the Democratic Party.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
9. Snow came to mind after I posted
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:51 PM
Jun 2015

Though she played cat and mouse with her vote far too much, she was pushed out by the new guard of her party because they wanted to play Tea Party. A lot of the time, saying a Blue Dog votes with Dems most of the time leaves the party open to being held hostage to the likes of Lincoln, Landrieu, Lieberman on the important stuff. And Blue Dogs are also most prone to losing their seats which sometimes means the party has to spend enormous resources and neglect other areas. I do think the extremism in the Republican party has pushed more Republicans to the other side, to the detriment of our own party as much as theirs. And strangely enough, they still set the agenda even when they are a minority in Congress and not in the White House. Curious.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
10. I agree; but, as much as we would like to argue about it ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 04:29 PM
Jun 2015

each party is captive to the extremes of their respective party, but only to the extent the extreme approaches the political center of their respective base. For example, the teaparty holds sway in the gop because that is where the majority of its base is; whereas, the conservative Democrats hold sway with the Democratic Party because that is closer to the political center of the Democratic Party.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
12. Except polling repeatedly shows this claim is wrong.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 05:04 PM
Jun 2015
whereas, the conservative Democrats hold sway with the Democratic Party because that is closer to the political center of the Democratic Party.

Except polling shows this claim is wrong. Remember all the articles about the electorate being more liberal than DC thinks? Or all the "crazy liberal" referenda that pass, and the conservative referenda that fail even in Republican wave elections?

Not to mention if your claim was correct, you'd have to come up with a reason why 2010, 2014, 2004, 2002 and 2000 looked nothing like 2012, 2008 and 2006, even though the campaigns for the last three were far more left-of-center than conservative Democrats. (Campaigns. Not policies enacted)

Conservative Democrats hold sway because they got into leadership in the 1990s and have not retired. They really don't like being challenged, and do an excellent job of sandbagging candidates to their left. Even if it means the seat goes to a Republican.
 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
13. That is a fair point. I should have said ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 05:27 PM
Jun 2015
whereas, the conservative Democrats hold sway with the Democratic Party because that is where the Party leadership perceives to be the political center of the Democratic Party.


But I think it naïve to lay the blame at the feet of the leadership ... Democrats do not have a problem showing there independentness (i.e., bucking the leadership) but only a few have the courage to vote against where they perceive the people that put them in office. That is why, we see a direct relationship between the composition of the voter district and the representatives vote ... the safer (bluer) the seat, the more liberal the representatives' votes.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
14. I would argue that liberals are the majority by a wide margin
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 07:47 PM
Jun 2015

1) Centrists are not traditional the Democrats from before the days of Reagan because there was plenty of room for them in the Republican Party. Because the R party has become so extreme, social liberals have switched over and changed the Democratic Party dramatically.

2) When polled on the issues, a majority of Democrats fall into the liberal spectrum, not centrist, by a wide margin.

3) The midterms where centrist Democrats get whooped and liberal Dems fare much better. Liberals ARE the base because they can define the party as different than Republicans. Centrists can't do that and so people have no idea where they stand.

4) Barack Obama ran as a big time liberal and won *twice*. People didn't flock to him becuase he presented himself as a liberal. His campaign managers knew what the people wanted and so created that campaign.

5) Hillary, O'Malley, and Sanders are all running as liberal populists. The most left sounding field I have seen in a long time. She is trying to sound much more liberal than 2008. I assume there is some kind of internal polling in the party that tells them that populism is the way to go (sparked by Elizabeth Warren).

I think there are many people who might poll as more centrists because they have bought the bullshit about deficits and tax cuts. But for just about every other centrist policy, I can't think of one that is too popular.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/166787/liberal-self-identification-edges-new-high-2013.aspx

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
15. I edited that to what I should have said ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 07:52 PM
Jun 2015
whereas, the conservative Democrats hold sway with the Democratic Party because that is where the Party leadership perceives to be the political center of the Democratic Party.


But, after having thought about it more, I'll edit it once again to say, ...

whereas, the conservative Democrats hold sway with the Democratic Party because that is where the elected officials (not just the leadership) perceives to be the political center of the Democratic Party.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
18. I would edit to say
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:02 PM
Jun 2015
the conservative Democrats hold sway in the Democratic Party because that is what the financiers are trying to get everyone to believe is the makeup of the Party, even though it isn't.


leveymg

(36,418 posts)
7. This is precisely why Hillary will have to raise $2 billion plus to run.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:24 PM
Jun 2015

She will not enjoy the sort of mass voluntary grassroots GOTV support that Obama received from progressives, labor and minorities. She will instead rely on a lot of media buys and spend huge amounts on spectacles, professional campaign staff, and hopes to get leverage from corporate news coverage.

It will be huge, and if handled clumsily, turn out to be a huge turn-off.


 

Mr. Robot

(39 posts)
17. Keep in mind that Bernie got 100,000 volunteers in the first week that he announced...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:00 PM
Jun 2015

I would not be surprised to find another 150,000 or more have already signed up in all 50 states and aboard to support Bernie.

That costs FAR less in terms of dollars. FAR less. There are better ways to get people to learn about Bernie.

Bernie continues to earn free publicity and did an admirable job yesterday with Couric and Meyers.

 

Mr. Robot

(39 posts)
16. Boo fuckin' hoo.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 07:55 PM
Jun 2015

It would cost FAR less if progressives were allowed to run to be given a choice, instead of spending dollars bashing them

The fact the DLC/Third Wayers are costing them dollars should give them a big honking clue as to stop insulting the progressives.

aikoaiko

(34,214 posts)
19. Is it because the blue dogs are in redder states and its more difficult for a leftier democrat...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:07 PM
Jun 2015

... to get elected?



I not familiar enough with all these districts.
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